Atlanta Braves Picks

When assessing his home run ability, Agustin Ramirez ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Agustin Ramirez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. In the league, LoanDepot Park's centerfield fences are the 6th-shallowest.. Agustin Ramirez will have the handedness advantage over Joey Wentz in today's game.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Agustin Ramirez will hold that advantage today.

+170 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Marcell Ozuna o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)

Projection 0.6 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +160

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.. Utilizing Statcast data, Marcell Ozuna is in the 86th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .351.. By putting up a 24.600 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Marcell Ozuna is ranked in the 76th percentile for power.. Marcell Ozuna has displayed good plate discipline this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile with a 1.35 K/BB rate.

+165 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Jurickson Profar o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)

Projection 0.5 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +200

Pick made: 4 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +195

o0.5 +200

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jurickson Profar ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.. Jurickson Profar has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 8.2% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last week's worth of games.. Over the last 7 days, Jurickson Profar's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 34.7%.. In notching a 24.400 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Jurickson Profar is ranked in the 82nd percentile for power.

+200 at Caesars

Total RBIs

Matt Olson o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)

Projection 0.6 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +175

Pick made: 4 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +155

o0.5 +175

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Matt Olson ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Matt Olson is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Matt Olson will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Gusto today.. Matt Olson has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.9-mph average to last year's 94-mph average.. Matt Olson has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 19.4 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is significantly deflated relative to his 24.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

+175 at FanDuel

Total Bases

Heriberto Hernandez u1.5 Total Bases (-180)

Projection 0.7 (Under)

Best Odds

u0.5 +135

Pick made: 5 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u1.5 -180

u0.5 +135

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 7th-worst stadium in baseball for boosting offensive stats to righties.. LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.. Heriberto Hernandez pulls many of his flyballs (34.2% — 84th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-deepest LF fences today.. Among every team today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves.. Heriberto Hernandez has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.9-mph dropping to 85.8-mph in the past two weeks.

+135 at Caesars

Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Derek Hill o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160)

Projection 1.4 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 -160

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 -160

o0.5 -161

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Derek Hill is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In the league, LoanDepot Park's centerfield fences are the 6th-shallowest.. Hitting from the opposite that Joey Wentz throws from, Derek Hill will have an edge today.. Derek Hill will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.. In comparison to his 88.3-mph average last year, Derek Hill's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 91.9 mph.

-160 at DraftKings

Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Eric Wagaman o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+125)

Projection 1.8 (Over)

Best Odds

o1.5 +125

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +125

o1.5 +115

+125 at DraftKings

Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Ronald Acuna Jr. o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-145)

Projection 2.5 (Over)

Best Odds

o1.5 -145

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -145

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ronald Acuna Jr. ranks as the 5th-best hitter in the game.. Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Ronald Acuna Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences today.. Ronald Acuna Jr. has made big improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 9.5% rate last year to 16.5% this year.. Ronald Acuna Jr. has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.9-mph to 97.6-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

-145 at DraftKings

Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Marcell Ozuna o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-110)

Projection 2.1 (Over)

Best Odds

o1.5 -105

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -110

o1.5 -105

-105 at Caesars

Consensus Picks

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Top User Picks

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Moneyline

'purple_stars' picks Miami at (116)

purple_stars is #10 on picking games that Miami is in with a record of (2-2-0) and +15430 units on the season.

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ATL

MIA

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'Alexandr1966' picks Miami at (116)

Alexandr1966 is #3 on picking games that Miami is in with a record of (0-0-0) and +24170 units on the season.

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ATL

MIA

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'JayAcosta20' picks Miami at (116)

JayAcosta20 is #4 on picking games that Miami is in with a record of (72-46-1) and +22430 units on the season.

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ATL

MIA

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Total

'JayAcosta20' picks Atlanta vs Miami to go Over (8.5)

JayAcosta20 is #4 on picking games that Miami is in with a record of (72-46-1) and +22430 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

8.5 -103

8.5 -104

Moneyline

'northlv6238' picks Miami at (116)

northlv6238 is #5 on picking games that Miami is in with a record of (49-39-3) and +19110 units on the season.

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ATL

MIA

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'northlv6238' picks Atlanta vs Miami to go Over (8.5)

northlv6238 is #5 on picking games that Miami is in with a record of (49-39-3) and +19110 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

8.5 -103

8.5 -104

Moneyline

'ewatson15' picks Miami at (116)

ewatson15 is #7 on picking games that Miami is in with a record of (1-1-0) and +18365 units on the season.

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ATL

MIA

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Total

'samua' picks Atlanta vs Miami to go Under (8.5)

samua is #9 on picking games that Miami is in with a record of (61-52-4) and +15745 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

8.5 -103

8.5 -104

Moneyline

'samua' picks Miami at (115)

samua is #9 on picking games that Miami is in with a record of (61-52-4) and +15745 units on the season.

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ATL

MIA

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