Tampa Bay @ Baltimore Picks & Props

TB vs BAL Picks

MLB Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Drew Rasmussen logo
Drew Rasmussen o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+134)
Projection 4.91 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Baltimore Orioles have 4 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jorge Mateo, Alex Jackson, Coby Mayo, Colton Cowser).. It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Adam Hamari) in charge of the strike zone in this game.. Drew Rasmussen's 94.8-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 78th percentile out of all starters.. Drew Rasmussen's 2481-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 88th percentile among all starting pitchers.. Considering the 0.76 gap between Drew Rasmussen's 7.56 K/9 and his 8.32 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the least fortunate pitchers in Major League Baseball this year in terms of strikeouts and should see better results in future games.
Total RBIs
Junior Caminero logo
Junior Caminero o0.5 Total RBIs (+127)
Projection 0.78 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run ability, Junior Caminero ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs.. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats.
Total RBIs
Christopher Morel logo
Christopher Morel o0.5 Total RBIs (+168)
Projection 0.57 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Christopher Morel as Major League Baseball's 20th-best home run batter.. Christopher Morel is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs.. The weather report predicts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats.
Total RBIs
Brandon Lowe logo
Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+143)
Projection 0.65 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #10 park in MLB for left-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report predicts the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.
Total Bases
Junior Caminero logo
Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.17 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run ability, Junior Caminero ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs.. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats.
Total Bases
Colton Cowser logo
Colton Cowser o0.5 Total Bases (-135)
Projection 1.46 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 91st percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #10 park in MLB for left-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats.. Batting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Colton Cowser will have the upper hand today.
Total Bases
Coby Mayo logo
Coby Mayo o0.5 Total Bases (-130)
Projection 1.39 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Coby Mayo in the 83rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs.. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats.. Hitters such as Coby Mayo with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Drew Rasmussen who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
Total Bases
Christopher Morel logo
Christopher Morel o0.5 Total Bases (-155)
Projection 1.58 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Christopher Morel as Major League Baseball's 20th-best home run batter.. Christopher Morel is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs.. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Coby Mayo logo
Coby Mayo o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-165)
Projection 1.63 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Coby Mayo in the 83rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs.. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats.. Hitters such as Coby Mayo with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Drew Rasmussen who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
Total Bases
Brandon Lowe logo
Brandon Lowe o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.81 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #10 park in MLB for left-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report predicts the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.
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TB vs BAL Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Total

61% picking Tampa Bay vs Baltimore to go Under

39%
61%

Total PicksTB 117, BAL 180

Total
Over
Under

TB vs BAL Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Josh Lowe Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Josh Lowe
J. Lowe
right outfield RF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.91
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Lowe in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Josh Lowe is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Josh Lowe has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .221 rate is a fair amount lower than his .257 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Josh Lowe logo

Josh Lowe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.91
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.91

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Lowe in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Josh Lowe is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Josh Lowe has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .221 rate is a fair amount lower than his .257 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jorge Mateo Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Jorge Mateo
J. Mateo
shortstop SS • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.69
Best Odds

The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Jorge Mateo hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Jorge Mateo will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jorge Mateo's true offensive skill to be a .284, suggesting that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .062 gap between that mark and his actual .222 wOBA.

Jorge Mateo logo

Jorge Mateo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.69
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.69

The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Jorge Mateo hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Jorge Mateo will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jorge Mateo's true offensive skill to be a .284, suggesting that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .062 gap between that mark and his actual .222 wOBA.

Coby Mayo Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Coby Mayo
C. Mayo
first base 1B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.78
Best Odds

The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Hitters such as Coby Mayo with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Drew Rasmussen who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Coby Mayo will hold that advantage in today's game. Coby Mayo's launch angle lately (25.5° over the past 14 days) is considerably higher than his 21.3° seasonal mark.

Coby Mayo logo

Coby Mayo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.78
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.78

The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Hitters such as Coby Mayo with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Drew Rasmussen who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Coby Mayo will hold that advantage in today's game. Coby Mayo's launch angle lately (25.5° over the past 14 days) is considerably higher than his 21.3° seasonal mark.

Colton Cowser Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Colton Cowser
C. Cowser
left outfield LF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.79
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Colton Cowser will have the upper hand today. Colton Cowser has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays has just 1 same-handed RP.

Colton Cowser logo

Colton Cowser

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.79
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.79

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Colton Cowser will have the upper hand today. Colton Cowser has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays has just 1 same-handed RP.

Bob Seymour Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Bob Seymour
B. Seymour
first base 1B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.82
Best Odds

In Major League Baseball, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's right field dimensions are the shallowest. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Bob Seymour has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 102.9-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal EV of 97.3-mph.

Bob Seymour logo

Bob Seymour

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.82
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.82

In Major League Baseball, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's right field dimensions are the shallowest. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Bob Seymour has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 102.9-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal EV of 97.3-mph.

Richie Palacios Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Richie Palacios
R. Palacios
left outfield LF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Richie Palacios is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Richie Palacios pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.6% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Sporting a 1.43 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Richie Palacios has demonstrated impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 95th percentile.

Richie Palacios logo

Richie Palacios

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Richie Palacios is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Richie Palacios pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.6% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Sporting a 1.43 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Richie Palacios has demonstrated impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 95th percentile.

Junior Caminero Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Junior Caminero
J. Caminero
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.11
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Junior Caminero ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Junior Caminero will have an advantage today.

Junior Caminero logo

Junior Caminero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.11
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.11

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Junior Caminero ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Junior Caminero will have an advantage today.

Dylan Beavers Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Dylan Beavers
D. Beavers
right outfield RF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.95
Best Odds

Dylan Beavers has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (67% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. In Major League Baseball, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's right field dimensions are the shallowest. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Dylan Beavers will have an edge today.

Dylan Beavers logo

Dylan Beavers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.95
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.95

Dylan Beavers has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (67% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. In Major League Baseball, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's right field dimensions are the shallowest. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Dylan Beavers will have an edge today.

Brandon Lowe Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Brandon Lowe
B. Lowe
second base 2B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.97
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Brandon Lowe pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.5% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Brandon Lowe logo

Brandon Lowe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.97
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.97

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Brandon Lowe pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.5% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Carson Williams Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Carson Williams
C. Williams
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.75
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Williams in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Carson Williams will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Carson Williams's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (21.1° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is considerably higher than his 17° seasonal angle.

Carson Williams logo

Carson Williams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.75
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.75

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Williams in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Carson Williams will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Carson Williams's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (21.1° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is considerably higher than his 17° seasonal angle.

Jeremiah Jackson Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Jeremiah Jackson
J. Jackson
second base 2B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.83
Best Odds

Jeremiah Jackson is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Jeremiah Jackson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Jeremiah Jackson will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Jeremiah Jackson logo

Jeremiah Jackson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.83
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.83

Jeremiah Jackson is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Jeremiah Jackson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Jeremiah Jackson will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Alex Jackson Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Alex Jackson
A. Jackson
catcher C • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.63
Best Odds

The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Alex Jackson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Alex Jackson will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Alex Jackson has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95.4-mph average to last season's 93.3-mph average.

Alex Jackson logo

Alex Jackson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.63
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.63

The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Alex Jackson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Alex Jackson will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Alex Jackson has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95.4-mph average to last season's 93.3-mph average.

Everson Pereira Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Everson Pereira
E. Pereira
center outfield CF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.68
Best Odds

The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Everson Pereira will have an advantage today.

Everson Pereira logo

Everson Pereira

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.68
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.68

The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Everson Pereira will have an advantage today.

Ryan Mountcastle Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Ryan Mountcastle
R. Mountcastle
first base 1B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.97
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Ryan Mountcastle is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Ryan Mountcastle has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's shallowest RF fences today.

Ryan Mountcastle logo

Ryan Mountcastle

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.97
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.97

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Ryan Mountcastle is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Ryan Mountcastle has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's shallowest RF fences today.

Gunnar Henderson Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Gunnar Henderson
G. Henderson
shortstop SS • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.01
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Gunnar Henderson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Drew Rasmussen in today's game.

Gunnar Henderson logo

Gunnar Henderson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.01
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.01

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Gunnar Henderson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Drew Rasmussen in today's game.

Christopher Morel Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Christopher Morel
C. Morel
left outfield LF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.78
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Christopher Morel ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christopher Morel is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Christopher Morel will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cade Povich in today's matchup.

Christopher Morel logo

Christopher Morel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.78
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.78

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Christopher Morel ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christopher Morel is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Christopher Morel will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cade Povich in today's matchup.

Adley Rutschman Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Adley Rutschman
A. Rutschman
catcher C • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.88
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. In Major League Baseball, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's right field dimensions are the shallowest. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Adley Rutschman will hold that advantage in today's game.

Adley Rutschman logo

Adley Rutschman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.88
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.88

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. In Major League Baseball, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's right field dimensions are the shallowest. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Adley Rutschman will hold that advantage in today's game.

Chandler Simpson Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Chandler Simpson
C. Simpson
center outfield CF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.25
Best Odds

When it comes to his batting average talent, Chandler Simpson is projected as the 16th-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chandler Simpson is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Chandler Simpson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.9% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Chandler Simpson logo

Chandler Simpson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.25
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.25

When it comes to his batting average talent, Chandler Simpson is projected as the 16th-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chandler Simpson is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Chandler Simpson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.9% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Tyler O'Neill Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Tyler O'Neill
T. O'Neill
right outfield RF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.84
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Tyler O'Neill is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Tyler O'Neill will hold that advantage in today's game.

Tyler O'Neill logo

Tyler O'Neill

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.84
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.84

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Tyler O'Neill is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Tyler O'Neill will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jordan Westburg Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Jordan Westburg
J. Westburg
second base 2B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.98
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Jordan Westburg is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Jordan Westburg hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences today.

Jordan Westburg logo

Jordan Westburg

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.98
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.98

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Jordan Westburg is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Jordan Westburg hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences today.

Yandy Diaz Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Yandy Diaz
Y. Diaz
first base 1B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

When it comes to his batting average ability, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 7th-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yandy Diaz is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Yandy Diaz will hold the platoon advantage against Cade Povich in today's game.

Yandy Diaz logo

Yandy Diaz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

When it comes to his batting average ability, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 7th-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yandy Diaz is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Yandy Diaz will hold the platoon advantage against Cade Povich in today's game.

Nick Fortes Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Nick Fortes
N. Fortes
catcher C • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.75
Best Odds

The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Nick Fortes will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Nick Fortes has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 87.6-mph average to last year's 84.1-mph average. In the last 14 days, Nick Fortes's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.6-mph over the course of the season to 100.3-mph in recent games.

Nick Fortes logo

Nick Fortes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.75
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.75

The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Nick Fortes will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Nick Fortes has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 87.6-mph average to last year's 84.1-mph average. In the last 14 days, Nick Fortes's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.6-mph over the course of the season to 100.3-mph in recent games.

Jake Mangum Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Jake Mangum
J. Mangum
left outfield LF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.12
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Mangum in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Jake Mangum has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (67% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Jake Mangum has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Jake Mangum logo

Jake Mangum

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.12
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.12

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Mangum in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Jake Mangum has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (67% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Jake Mangum has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Tampa Bay Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 funaki 7-3-0 +19280
2 pokersquirrel 2-7-1 +17755
3 kowalabear 8-2-0 +15775
4 vladislav1968 5-4-1 +15330
5 kenpitch 5-4-1 +13015
6 Smmiou07 7-2-1 +12845
7 adgadg222 5-4-1 +12550
8 Mexicali72 4-6-0 +11420
9 brandydump1 6-4-0 +11345
10 mm76ers 5-5-0 +11325
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Baltimore Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 Sandsaver727 5-5-0 +31435
2 stumpmaker 4-5-1 +24450
3 reddog6008 7-2-1 +20117
4 coach_d5 7-3-0 +18885
5 jnc3lb 5-5-0 +16895
6 mccabe40 3-7-0 +16810
7 MLBFan8848 5-5-0 +16285
8 R_MUNDO 4-6-0 +16065
9 Enelra18 4-5-1 +15445
10 Queefs4 5-4-1 +15185
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