Pittsburgh @ Cincinnati Picks & Props

Nick Yorke's BABIP ability is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Great American Ball Park grades out as the #9 ballpark in MLB for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Great American Ball Park has the 5th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league stadiums. This game is projected to have the 5th-highest humidity on the slate today (85%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Over the last two weeks, Nick Yorke's maximum exit velocity (a good measure of recent form and raw power) has been 113-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in the game.

Great American Ball Park grades out as the #9 ballpark in MLB for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). This game is projected to have the 5th-highest humidity on the slate today (85%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Henry Davis pulls many of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Henry Davis's quickness has improved this season. His 27.73 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.3 ft/sec now. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Henry Davis has suffered from bad luck this year. His .226 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .299.

Spencer Horwitz is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best stadium in baseball for left-handed batting average. This game is projected to have the 5th-highest humidity on the slate today (85%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Greene throws from, Spencer Horwitz will have an advantage today. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Spencer Horwitz can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Jared Triolo's BABIP skill is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jared Triolo has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (71% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #9 ballpark in MLB for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). This game is projected to have the 5th-highest humidity on the slate today (85%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Jared Triolo has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Bryan Reynolds's BABIP ability is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best stadium in baseball for left-handed batting average. The 8th-shallowest RF fences among all stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park. This game is projected to have the 5th-highest humidity on the slate today (85%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best stadium in baseball for left-handed batting average. The 8th-shallowest RF fences among all stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park. This game is projected to have the 5th-highest humidity on the slate today (85%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.

When assessing his BABIP talent, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best stadium in baseball for left-handed batting average. This game is projected to have the 5th-highest humidity on the slate today (85%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his strong side against Paul Skenes in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #9 ballpark in MLB for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). This game is projected to have the 5th-highest humidity on the slate today (85%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Matt McLain has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #9 ballpark in MLB for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). This game is projected to have the 5th-highest humidity on the slate today (85%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Andrew McCutchen pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 82nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Spencer Steer has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (60% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #9 ballpark in MLB for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). This game is projected to have the 5th-highest humidity on the slate today (85%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Spencer Steer pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.7% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today.

Great American Ball Park grades out as the #9 ballpark in MLB for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). This game is projected to have the 5th-highest humidity on the slate today (85%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Ke'Bryan Hayes has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Ke'Bryan Hayes will hold that advantage in today's game.

TJ Friedl is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best stadium in baseball for left-handed batting average. This game is projected to have the 5th-highest humidity on the slate today (85%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. TJ Friedl will hold the platoon advantage against Paul Skenes today. The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so TJ Friedl has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best stadium in baseball for left-handed batting average. The 8th-shallowest RF fences among all stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park. This game is projected to have the 5th-highest humidity on the slate today (85%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that Hunter Greene throws from, Jack Suwinski will have the upper hand today. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jack Suwinski has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #9 ballpark in MLB for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). This game is projected to have the 5th-highest humidity on the slate today (85%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Tyler Stephenson has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Gavin Lux is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best stadium in baseball for left-handed batting average. The 8th-shallowest RF fences among all stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park. This game is projected to have the 5th-highest humidity on the slate today (85%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.

Noelvi Marte is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #9 ballpark in MLB for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Great American Ball Park has the 5th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league stadiums. This game is projected to have the 5th-highest humidity on the slate today (85%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today.

Austin Hays has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.