Miami @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

MIA vs PHI Picks

MLB Picks
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI -1.5 (+100)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Chris Vasile image
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor

It's time to start picking on the bad teams as we wrap up the regular season. The Miami Marlins have a slim shot at catching the final WC spot, so I expect them to mail it in here. Cristopher Sanchez has been lights out, and the Phillies at home are legit. 

Total RBIs
Agustin Ramirez logo
Agustin Ramirez o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
Projection 0.54 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Agustin Ramirez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The #7 field in the majors for boosting home runs to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for batters.
Total RBIs
Bryce Harper logo
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+134)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Bryce Harper projects as the 11th-best hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Citizens Bank Park projects as the #7 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for batters.
Total RBIs
Max Kepler logo
Max Kepler o0.5 Total RBIs (+172)
Projection 0.56 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Citizens Bank Park projects as the #7 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for batters.. Max Kepler will have the handedness advantage against Edward Cabrera in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber o0.5 Total RBIs (+119)
Projection 0.75 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as the majors's 3rd-best home run hitter.. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Citizens Bank Park projects as the #7 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.
Total RBIs
J.T. Realmuto logo
J.T. Realmuto o0.5 Total RBIs (+153)
Projection 0.61 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. J.T. Realmuto is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #7 field in the majors for boosting home runs to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.
Total Bases
Max Kepler logo
Max Kepler u1.5 Total Bases (-178)
Projection 0.84 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 12th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Max Kepler is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. Max Kepler's average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 90.7-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 86.2-mph over the past week.. Grading out in the 1st percentile, Max Kepler has posted a .234 BABIP this year.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Max Kepler logo
Max Kepler o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+110)
Projection 1.95 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Citizens Bank Park projects as the #7 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for batters.. Max Kepler will have the handedness advantage against Edward Cabrera in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Griffin Conine logo
Griffin Conine o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160)
Projection 1.37 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Citizens Bank Park projects as the #7 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for batters.. By putting up a .336 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Griffin Conine has performed in the 86th percentile.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-135)
Projection 2.33 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as the majors's 3rd-best home run hitter.. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Citizens Bank Park projects as the #7 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Bryce Harper logo
Bryce Harper o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-145)
Projection 2.37 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Bryce Harper projects as the 11th-best hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Citizens Bank Park projects as the #7 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for batters.
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MIA vs PHI Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

66% picking Philadelphia

34%
66%

Total PicksMIA 207, PHI 409

Moneyline
MIA
PHI
Moneyline
Total

68% picking Miami vs Philadelphia to go Over

68%
32%

Total PicksMIA 251, PHI 120

Total
Over
Under

MIA vs PHI Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Javier Sanoja Total Hits Props • Miami

Javier Sanoja
J. Sanoja
second base 2B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.87
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Javier Sanoja will have an advantage in today's matchup. Javier Sanoja has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 88.9-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal figure of 86.5-mph.

Javier Sanoja logo

Javier Sanoja

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.87
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.87

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Javier Sanoja will have an advantage in today's matchup. Javier Sanoja has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 88.9-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal figure of 86.5-mph.

Connor Norby Total Hits Props • Miami

Connor Norby
C. Norby
third base 3B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.95
Best Odds

Connor Norby's BABIP talent is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Connor Norby is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 74% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for batters. Connor Norby will have the handedness advantage over Cristopher Sanchez today.

Connor Norby logo

Connor Norby

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.95
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.95

Connor Norby's BABIP talent is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Connor Norby is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 74% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for batters. Connor Norby will have the handedness advantage over Cristopher Sanchez today.

Xavier Edwards Total Hits Props • Miami

Xavier Edwards
X. Edwards
shortstop SS • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.09
Best Odds

Xavier Edwards's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for batters. By putting up a .277 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Xavier Edwards is ranked in the 84th percentile. By putting up a .278 batting average this year, Xavier Edwards is ranked in the 84th percentile.

Xavier Edwards logo

Xavier Edwards

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.09
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.09

Xavier Edwards's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for batters. By putting up a .277 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Xavier Edwards is ranked in the 84th percentile. By putting up a .278 batting average this year, Xavier Edwards is ranked in the 84th percentile.

Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Bryson Stott
B. Stott
second base 2B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.88
Best Odds

Bryson Stott's batting average skill is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for batters. Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage against Edward Cabrera today. Bryson Stott has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Bryson Stott will hold that advantage today.

Bryson Stott logo

Bryson Stott

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.88
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.88

Bryson Stott's batting average skill is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for batters. Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage against Edward Cabrera today. Bryson Stott has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Bryson Stott will hold that advantage today.

Eric Wagaman Total Hits Props • Miami

Eric Wagaman
E. Wagaman
first base 1B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.87
Best Odds

Eric Wagaman's batting average talent is projected to be in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for batters. Eric Wagaman will have the handedness advantage over Cristopher Sanchez in today's game. Eric Wagaman has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94.2-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 91-mph average.

Eric Wagaman logo

Eric Wagaman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.87
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.87

Eric Wagaman's batting average talent is projected to be in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for batters. Eric Wagaman will have the handedness advantage over Cristopher Sanchez in today's game. Eric Wagaman has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94.2-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 91-mph average.

Otto Lopez Total Hits Props • Miami

Otto Lopez
O. Lopez
second base 2B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.09
Best Odds

Otto Lopez's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Otto Lopez is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Otto Lopez will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Otto Lopez logo

Otto Lopez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.09
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.09

Otto Lopez's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Otto Lopez is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Otto Lopez will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Agustin Ramirez Total Hits Props • Miami

Agustin Ramirez
A. Ramirez
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.97
Best Odds

Agustin Ramirez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Agustin Ramirez will have an advantage in today's matchup. Agustin Ramirez has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 11% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the last 7 days.

Agustin Ramirez logo

Agustin Ramirez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.97
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.97

Agustin Ramirez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Agustin Ramirez will have an advantage in today's matchup. Agustin Ramirez has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 11% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the last 7 days.

Max Kepler Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Max Kepler
M. Kepler
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.84
Best Odds

Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for batters. Max Kepler will have the handedness advantage against Edward Cabrera in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Max Kepler will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Max Kepler has made notable improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 12% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the last 7 days.

Max Kepler logo

Max Kepler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.84
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.84

Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for batters. Max Kepler will have the handedness advantage against Edward Cabrera in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Max Kepler will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Max Kepler has made notable improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 12% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the last 7 days.

Jakob Marsee Total Hits Props • Miami

Jakob Marsee
J. Marsee
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.89
Best Odds

Jakob Marsee is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for batters. Jakob Marsee has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Jakob Marsee has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 93.1-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 89.9-mph. Jakob Marsee grades out in the 96th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (56% rate this year).

Jakob Marsee logo

Jakob Marsee

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.89
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.89

Jakob Marsee is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for batters. Jakob Marsee has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Jakob Marsee has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 93.1-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 89.9-mph. Jakob Marsee grades out in the 96th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (56% rate this year).

Griffin Conine Total Hits Props • Miami

Griffin Conine
G. Conine
left outfield LF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.74
Best Odds

Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for batters. By putting up a .336 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Griffin Conine has performed in the 86th percentile. Posting a .270 batting average since the start of last season, Griffin Conine finds himself in the 87th percentile.

Griffin Conine logo

Griffin Conine

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.74
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.74

Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for batters. By putting up a .336 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Griffin Conine has performed in the 86th percentile. Posting a .270 batting average since the start of last season, Griffin Conine finds himself in the 87th percentile.

J.T. Realmuto Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J.T. Realmuto
J. Realmuto
catcher C • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.94
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. J.T. Realmuto is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

J.T. Realmuto logo

J.T. Realmuto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.94
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.94

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. J.T. Realmuto is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Otto Kemp Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Otto Kemp
O. Kemp
first base 1B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.77
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Kemp in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Otto Kemp will hold that advantage today. Otto Kemp's launch angle of late (41° over the past week) is a considerable increase over his 11.8° seasonal angle.

Otto Kemp logo

Otto Kemp

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.77
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.77

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Kemp in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Otto Kemp will hold that advantage today. Otto Kemp's launch angle of late (41° over the past week) is a considerable increase over his 11.8° seasonal angle.

Weston Wilson Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Weston Wilson
W. Wilson
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.73
Best Odds

Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Weston Wilson will hold that advantage in today's game. Weston Wilson has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.8-mph to 91.1-mph over the past 14 days. Weston Wilson's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, rising from 49.3% on the season to 55.6% over the last 14 days.

Weston Wilson logo

Weston Wilson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.73
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.73

Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Weston Wilson will hold that advantage in today's game. Weston Wilson has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.8-mph to 91.1-mph over the past 14 days. Weston Wilson's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, rising from 49.3% on the season to 55.6% over the last 14 days.

Harrison Bader Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Harrison Bader
H. Bader
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.93
Best Odds

Harrison Bader is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 87% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for batters. Harrison Bader pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.7% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Harrison Bader will hold that advantage in today's game. Harrison Bader has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 96.8-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 93.9-mph.

Harrison Bader logo

Harrison Bader

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.93
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.93

Harrison Bader is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 87% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for batters. Harrison Bader pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.7% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Harrison Bader will hold that advantage in today's game. Harrison Bader has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 96.8-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 93.9-mph.

Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Bryce Harper
B. Harper
first base 1B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.99
Best Odds

Bryce Harper projects as the 11th-best hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Bryce Harper will have the upper hand today. Bryce Harper has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Bryce Harper logo

Bryce Harper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.99
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.99

Bryce Harper projects as the 11th-best hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Bryce Harper will have the upper hand today. Bryce Harper has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Alec Bohm
A. Bohm
third base 3B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Alec Bohm is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for batters. Alec Bohm will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Alec Bohm logo

Alec Bohm

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Alec Bohm is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for batters. Alec Bohm will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Heriberto Hernandez Total Hits Props • Miami

Heriberto Hernandez
H. Hernandez
left outfield LF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.73
Best Odds

Heriberto Hernandez is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for batters. Heriberto Hernandez will have the handedness advantage over Cristopher Sanchez in today's game. Heriberto Hernandez has made notable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 11.3% seasonal rate to 25% in the past week.

Heriberto Hernandez logo

Heriberto Hernandez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.73
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.73

Heriberto Hernandez is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for batters. Heriberto Hernandez will have the handedness advantage over Cristopher Sanchez in today's game. Heriberto Hernandez has made notable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 11.3% seasonal rate to 25% in the past week.

Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Brandon Marsh
B. Marsh
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.84
Best Odds

When estimating his BABIP skill, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brandon Marsh has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (79% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for batters. Brandon Marsh will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Edward Cabrera today. Brandon Marsh has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

Brandon Marsh logo

Brandon Marsh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.84
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.84

When estimating his BABIP skill, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brandon Marsh has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (79% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for batters. Brandon Marsh will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Edward Cabrera today. Brandon Marsh has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Kyle Schwarber
K. Schwarber
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 12th-best batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for batters. Kyle Schwarber will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Edward Cabrera today.

Kyle Schwarber logo

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 12th-best batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for batters. Kyle Schwarber will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Edward Cabrera today.

Dane Myers Total Hits Props • Miami

Dane Myers
D. Myers
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.67
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for batters. Dane Myers will hold the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's game. In the last 7 days, Dane Myers's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.2% up to 16.7%.

Dane Myers logo

Dane Myers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.67
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.67

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for batters. Dane Myers will hold the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's game. In the last 7 days, Dane Myers's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.2% up to 16.7%.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Miami Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 MatroxSD 7-3-0 +33200
2 JayAcosta20 5-5-0 +28490
3 chuluckus 3-6-1 +28010
4 Alexandr1966 6-4-0 +26360
5 northlv6238 6-3-1 +23335
6 ewatson15 6-4-0 +22000
7 Forkball1 7-3-0 +20245
8 purple_stars 6-4-0 +16950
9 dogeatdog 6-4-0 +16115
10 jwwong 8-2-0 +16110
All Marlins Money Leaders

Philadelphia Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 fatrats 8-2-0 +21045
2 jlayne089 5-5-0 +20155
3 jakringle 4-6-0 +19940
4 Alayne 9-1-0 +19467
5 dragon5868 5-5-0 +19235
6 tonloc4554 6-4-0 +17610
7 KSBreview 6-4-0 +15789
8 JL023 3-7-0 +15387
9 DavePaliwoda 7-3-0 +15330
10 nolajay 7-3-0 +15250
All Phillies Money Leaders
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