Miami @ Texas Picks & Props

MIA vs TEX Picks

MLB Picks
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Eric Wagaman logo
Eric Wagaman o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-165)
Projection 1.69 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eric Wagaman in the 80th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Globe Life Field has the 8th-lowest fence height (on average) in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters.. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers.. Eric Wagaman has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.6-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 91.1-mph figure.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Graham Pauley logo
Graham Pauley o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-135)
Projection 1.37 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Globe Life Field has the 8th-lowest fence height (on average) in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Mahle throws from, Graham Pauley will have an edge in today's game.. Out of every team on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers.. Graham Pauley has a low rate of hitting "too-high" (above 38° launch angle) balls, enabling him to avoid making easy outs; his 23.2% rate puts him in the 75th percentile among MLB hitters this year.
Total Bases
Joc Pederson logo
Joc Pederson o0.5 Total Bases (-165)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Joc Pederson is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Globe Life Field has the 8th-lowest fence height (on average) in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters.. Joc Pederson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Janson Junk today.
Total Bases
Jake Burger logo
Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jake Burger projects as the 20th-best home run batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jake Burger is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. Globe Life Field has the 8th-lowest fence height (on average) in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters.. Jake Burger will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Jake Burger logo
Jake Burger o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-135)
Projection 2.29 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jake Burger projects as the 20th-best home run batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jake Burger is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. Globe Life Field has the 8th-lowest fence height (on average) in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters.. Jake Burger will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Outs Recorded
Janson Junk logo
Janson Junk o15.5 Outs Recorded (+125)
Projection 15.81 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Globe Life Field grades out as the #29 stadium in baseball for batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all stadiums, Globe Life Field's CF dimensions are the 7th-deepest.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the 5th-best pitching conditions on the slate.. In his previous start, Janson Junk was in good form and allowed 0 ER.. Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Janson Junk must realize this, because he has utilized his off-speed and breaking pitches a lot this year: 62.6% of the time, ranking in the 83rd percentile.
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MIA vs TEX Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

71% picking Texas

29%
71%

Total PicksMIA 203, TEX 504

Moneyline
MIA
TEX
Moneyline

MIA vs TEX Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Eric Wagaman Total Hits Props • Miami

Eric Wagaman
E. Wagaman
first base 1B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.86
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eric Wagaman in the 80th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. Eric Wagaman has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.6-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 91.1-mph figure.

Eric Wagaman logo

Eric Wagaman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.86
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.86

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eric Wagaman in the 80th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. Eric Wagaman has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.6-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 91.1-mph figure.

Javier Sanoja Total Hits Props • Miami

Javier Sanoja
J. Sanoja
second base 2B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.91
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. Over the past two weeks, Javier Sanoja's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 86.4-mph over the course of the season to 89.6-mph recently. Javier Sanoja has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .243 figure is a good deal lower than his .281 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Javier Sanoja logo

Javier Sanoja

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.91
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.91

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. Over the past two weeks, Javier Sanoja's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 86.4-mph over the course of the season to 89.6-mph recently. Javier Sanoja has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .243 figure is a good deal lower than his .281 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Graham Pauley Total Hits Props • Miami

Graham Pauley
G. Pauley
third base 3B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.67
Best Odds

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Mahle throws from, Graham Pauley will have an edge in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. Graham Pauley has a low rate of hitting "too-high" (above 38° launch angle) balls, enabling him to avoid making easy outs; his 23.2% rate puts him in the 75th percentile among MLB hitters this year. Graham Pauley has displayed strong plate discipline this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile with a 1.83 K/BB rate.

Graham Pauley logo

Graham Pauley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.67
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.67

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Mahle throws from, Graham Pauley will have an edge in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. Graham Pauley has a low rate of hitting "too-high" (above 38° launch angle) balls, enabling him to avoid making easy outs; his 23.2% rate puts him in the 75th percentile among MLB hitters this year. Graham Pauley has displayed strong plate discipline this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile with a 1.83 K/BB rate.

Connor Norby Total Hits Props • Miami

Connor Norby
C. Norby
third base 3B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.88
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. In comparison to his 86.2-mph average last year, Connor Norby's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 88.3 mph. Connor Norby has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .295 rate is considerably lower than his .316 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Connor Norby logo

Connor Norby

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.88
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.88

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. In comparison to his 86.2-mph average last year, Connor Norby's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 88.3 mph. Connor Norby has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .295 rate is considerably lower than his .316 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Josh Smith Total Hits Props • Texas

Josh Smith
J. Smith
shortstop SS • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.97
Best Odds

Josh Smith is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Josh Smith will hold the platoon advantage against Janson Junk in today's matchup. Josh Smith will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Josh Smith's launch angle lately (20.8° over the past 14 days) is significantly higher than his 12.1° seasonal angle.

Josh Smith logo

Josh Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.97
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.97

Josh Smith is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Josh Smith will hold the platoon advantage against Janson Junk in today's matchup. Josh Smith will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Josh Smith's launch angle lately (20.8° over the past 14 days) is significantly higher than his 12.1° seasonal angle.

Jonah Heim Total Hits Props • Texas

Jonah Heim
J. Heim
catcher C • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.84
Best Odds

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Jonah Heim will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jonah Heim's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 11.1% to 15.9%.

Jonah Heim logo

Jonah Heim

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.84
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.84

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Jonah Heim will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jonah Heim's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 11.1% to 15.9%.

Wyatt Langford Total Hits Props • Texas

Wyatt Langford
W. Langford
left outfield LF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.01
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wyatt Langford is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Wyatt Langford will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the last 14 days, Wyatt Langford has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 13.6% to 25.9%.

Wyatt Langford logo

Wyatt Langford

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.01
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.01

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wyatt Langford is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Wyatt Langford will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the last 14 days, Wyatt Langford has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 13.6% to 25.9%.

Alejandro Osuna Total Hits Props • Texas

Alejandro Osuna
A. Osuna
left outfield LF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.87
Best Odds

Alejandro Osuna has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (80% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Janson Junk throws from, Alejandro Osuna will have an advantage in today's game. Alejandro Osuna will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Alejandro Osuna has had some very poor luck this year. His .264 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .332.

Alejandro Osuna logo

Alejandro Osuna

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.87
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.87

Alejandro Osuna has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (80% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Janson Junk throws from, Alejandro Osuna will have an advantage in today's game. Alejandro Osuna will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Alejandro Osuna has had some very poor luck this year. His .264 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .332.

Liam Hicks Total Hits Props • Miami

Liam Hicks
L. Hicks
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Liam Hicks is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Mahle throws from, Liam Hicks will have an edge in today's matchup. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. Liam Hicks has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 90.1-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 84.7-mph mark.

Liam Hicks logo

Liam Hicks

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Liam Hicks is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Mahle throws from, Liam Hicks will have an edge in today's matchup. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. Liam Hicks has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 90.1-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 84.7-mph mark.

Otto Lopez Total Hits Props • Miami

Otto Lopez
O. Lopez
second base 2B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.04
Best Odds

Otto Lopez's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Otto Lopez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Otto Lopez has had bad variance on his side this year. His .297 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .335.

Otto Lopez logo

Otto Lopez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.04
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.04

Otto Lopez's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Otto Lopez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Otto Lopez has had bad variance on his side this year. His .297 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .335.

Cody Freeman Total Hits Props • Texas

Cody Freeman
C. Freeman
third base 3B • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.82
Best Odds

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Cody Freeman will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Cody Freeman logo

Cody Freeman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.82
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.82

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Cody Freeman will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Agustin Ramirez Total Hits Props • Miami

Agustin Ramirez
A. Ramirez
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.96
Best Odds

Agustin Ramirez is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. Agustin Ramirez has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.6-mph average over the past week to his seasonal average of 93.9-mph. Agustin Ramirez has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .233 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .263 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Agustin Ramirez logo

Agustin Ramirez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.96
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.96

Agustin Ramirez is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. Agustin Ramirez has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.6-mph average over the past week to his seasonal average of 93.9-mph. Agustin Ramirez has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .233 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .263 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jake Burger Total Hits Props • Texas

Jake Burger
J. Burger
first base 1B • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jake Burger ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Burger is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Jake Burger will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Jake Burger has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 100.2-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal mark of 94.2-mph.

Jake Burger logo

Jake Burger

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jake Burger ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Burger is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Jake Burger will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Jake Burger has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 100.2-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal mark of 94.2-mph.

Josh Jung Total Hits Props • Texas

Josh Jung
J. Jung
third base 3B • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Josh Jung's BABIP talent is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Josh Jung will hold that advantage in today's game. Josh Jung has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 89-mph average to last year's 86.2-mph average. In the past 14 days, Josh Jung's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.3-mph over the course of the season to 99.6-mph lately.

Josh Jung logo

Josh Jung

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Josh Jung's BABIP talent is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Josh Jung will hold that advantage in today's game. Josh Jung has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 89-mph average to last year's 86.2-mph average. In the past 14 days, Josh Jung's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.3-mph over the course of the season to 99.6-mph lately.

Heriberto Hernandez Total Hits Props • Miami

Heriberto Hernandez
H. Hernandez
left outfield LF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.79
Best Odds

Heriberto Hernandez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. In the last week's worth of games, Heriberto Hernandez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.9% up to 18.2%. Over the past 14 days, Heriberto Hernandez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.7-mph over the course of the season to 99.5-mph in recent games.

Heriberto Hernandez logo

Heriberto Hernandez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.79
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.79

Heriberto Hernandez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. In the last week's worth of games, Heriberto Hernandez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.9% up to 18.2%. Over the past 14 days, Heriberto Hernandez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.7-mph over the course of the season to 99.5-mph in recent games.

Joc Pederson Total Hits Props • Texas

Joc Pederson
J. Pederson
first base 1B • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Joc Pederson is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Joc Pederson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Janson Junk today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Joc Pederson will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Joc Pederson has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .180 mark is considerably lower than his .217 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Joc Pederson logo

Joc Pederson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Joc Pederson is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Joc Pederson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Janson Junk today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Joc Pederson will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Joc Pederson has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .180 mark is considerably lower than his .217 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Adolis Garcia Total Hits Props • Texas

Adolis Garcia
A. Garcia
right outfield RF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.91
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Adolis Garcia's true offensive talent to be a .325, providing some evidence that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .035 difference between that figure and his actual .290 wOBA.

Adolis Garcia logo

Adolis Garcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.91
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.91

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Adolis Garcia's true offensive talent to be a .325, providing some evidence that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .035 difference between that figure and his actual .290 wOBA.

Jakob Marsee Total Hits Props • Miami

Jakob Marsee
J. Marsee
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.84
Best Odds

Jakob Marsee is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Jakob Marsee will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Mahle in today's matchup. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. Jakob Marsee has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 99.5-mph average in the last week to his seasonal average of 90.2-mph.

Jakob Marsee logo

Jakob Marsee

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.84
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.84

Jakob Marsee is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Jakob Marsee will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Mahle in today's matchup. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. Jakob Marsee has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 99.5-mph average in the last week to his seasonal average of 90.2-mph.

Troy Johnston Total Hits Props • Miami

Troy Johnston
T. Johnston
right outfield RF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Tyler Mahle throws from, Troy Johnston will have an edge today. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. In the past week, Troy Johnston's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.6% up to 33.3%. Over the past week, Troy Johnston's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.5-mph over the course of the season to 104.9-mph recently.

Troy Johnston logo

Troy Johnston

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Tyler Mahle throws from, Troy Johnston will have an edge today. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. In the past week, Troy Johnston's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.6% up to 33.3%. Over the past week, Troy Johnston's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.5-mph over the course of the season to 104.9-mph recently.

Michael Helman Total Hits Props • Texas

Michael Helman
M. Helman
center outfield CF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.69
Best Odds

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Michael Helman will hold that advantage today.

Michael Helman logo

Michael Helman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.69
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.69

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Michael Helman will hold that advantage today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Miami Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 MatroxSD 7-3-0 +33200
2 JayAcosta20 5-5-0 +28490
3 chuluckus 3-6-1 +28010
4 Alexandr1966 6-4-0 +26360
5 northlv6238 6-3-1 +23335
6 ewatson15 6-4-0 +22000
7 Forkball1 7-3-0 +20245
8 purple_stars 6-4-0 +16950
9 dogeatdog 6-4-0 +16115
10 jwwong 8-2-0 +16110
All Marlins Money Leaders

Texas Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 KingScorpio 7-3-0 +24325
2 mojonaciosoy 8-2-0 +20585
3 bigosports12 7-3-0 +19655
4 hennryh 7-3-0 +17895
5 Whiteyr 4-6-0 +17780
6 MexicanBettor 5-5-0 +16866
7 cameleon53 6-4-0 +16495
8 DODBUCKSTEEL 5-5-0 +15755
9 chensucht 6-4-0 +15755
10 dude18555 6-4-0 +15415
All Rangers Money Leaders
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