Athletics @ Boston Picks & Props

Ceddanne Rafaela's batting average skill is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fenway Park projects as the #4 park in MLB for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the opposite that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela will have an advantage in today's matchup. Ceddanne Rafaela hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Ceddanne Rafaela will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Nicholas Kurtz ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Nicholas Kurtz is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 4th-best park in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Nicholas Kurtz has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today. Nicholas Kurtz has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 18% seasonal rate to 25% over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez as the 9th-best batter in the game when estimating his BABIP ability. Romy Gonzalez is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park projects as the #4 park in MLB for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Romy Gonzalez will have the handedness advantage against Jeffrey Springs today. Romy Gonzalez has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Alex Bregman ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park projects as the #4 park in MLB for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the opposite that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Alex Bregman will have the upper hand today. Alex Bregman pulls many of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Fenway Park projects as the #4 park in MLB for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the opposite that Connelly Early throws from, Max Schuemann will have an advantage in today's game. Max Schuemann hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. By putting up a 1.71 K/BB rate this year, Max Schuemann has shown strong plate discipline, ranking in the 86th percentile.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Lawrence Butler ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 4th-best park in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Lawrence Butler has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Lawrence Butler has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 103.5-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 94-mph. Lawrence Butler's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, increasing from 47.1% on the season to 66.7% over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Darell Hernaiz in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Fenway Park projects as the #4 park in MLB for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the opposite that Connelly Early throws from, Darell Hernaiz will have an advantage in today's game. Darell Hernaiz hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41.7% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Darell Hernaiz's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, increasing from 14.4% on the season to 30.8% in the last 7 days.

When estimating his batting average talent, Jacob Wilson is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jacob Wilson is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Fenway Park projects as the #4 park in MLB for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in the league. Jacob Wilson will hold the platoon advantage over Connelly Early in today's matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Brent Rooker ranks as the 14th-best hitter in the league. Brent Rooker is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Fenway Park projects as the #4 park in MLB for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Brent Rooker will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Connelly Early in today's matchup. Brent Rooker pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.6% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today.

Fenway Park projects as the #4 park in MLB for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in the league. Batting from the opposite that Connelly Early throws from, Brett Harris will have an edge in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.207) may lead us to conclude that Brett Harris has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .187 actual batting average. In terms of plate discipline, Brett Harris's talent is quite good, putting up a 1.66 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 90th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 4th-best park in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. JJ Bleday hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 4th-best park in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Jarren Duran has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Jarren Duran will hold that advantage today. Jarren Duran has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.2-mph to 94.7-mph in the past 7 days.

Carlos Narvaez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park projects as the #4 park in MLB for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Carlos Narvaez will hold the platoon advantage over Jeffrey Springs in today's game. Carlos Narvaez has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Carlos Narvaez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Fenway Park projects as the #4 park in MLB for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Batting from the opposite that Connelly Early throws from, Zack Gelof will have an advantage in today's game. Zack Gelof hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Zack Gelof has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 101.1-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal average of 97-mph.

Rob Refsnyder's BABIP ability is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rob Refsnyder is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Fenway Park projects as the #4 park in MLB for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in the league. Rob Refsnyder will have the handedness advantage against Jeffrey Springs in today's game.

Trevor Story's BABIP talent is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Trevor Story is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Fenway Park projects as the #4 park in MLB for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the opposite that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Trevor Story will have the upper hand in today's game. Trevor Story has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

Fenway Park projects as the #4 park in MLB for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the opposite that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Nate Eaton will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Nate Eaton hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Nate Eaton will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Nate Eaton is notably athletic, checking in at the 96th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.51 ft/sec this year.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Shea Langeliers ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Shea Langeliers is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. Fenway Park projects as the #4 park in MLB for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Batting from the opposite that Connelly Early throws from, Shea Langeliers will have the upper hand today. Shea Langeliers pulls many of his flyballs (36% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Fenway Park projects as the #4 park in MLB for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The switch-hitting Nick Sogard will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Jeffrey Springs. Nick Sogard pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.4% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Nick Sogard will hold that advantage today. Nick Sogard's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, rising from 18.1% on the season to 26.3% in the past 7 days.

Fenway Park projects as the #4 park in MLB for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Batting from the opposite that Connelly Early throws from, Willie MacIver will have the upper hand in today's game. Willie MacIver has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Colby Thomas is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Fenway Park projects as the #4 park in MLB for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in the league. Colby Thomas will have the handedness advantage against Connelly Early in today's game. Colby Thomas has made notable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 14.3% seasonal rate to 25% in the past two weeks.

Tyler Soderstrom has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.