Washington @ Miami Picks & Props

When it comes to his BABIP ability, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. James Wood has seen a big gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 100.8-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 93.9-mph EV. James Wood has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 98.8-mph average to last season's 96.6-mph mark. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.275) may lead us to conclude that James Wood has suffered from bad luck this year with his .260 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 14.6% to 18%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Daylen Lile is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Daylen Lile has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.2-mph to 93.5-mph over the last week. Over the last week, Daylen Lile's 73.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 52.5%. Daylen Lile has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .282 mark is a good deal lower than his .309 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Dylan Crews has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (88% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. Dylan Crews will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Weathers today. Over the past 7 days, Dylan Crews's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.5-mph over the course of the season to 98.6-mph lately. Dylan Crews's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, rising from 14.6% on the season to 33.3% over the last week. Dylan Crews has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .205 mark is deflated compared to his .242 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Weathers throws from, Brady House will have the upper hand today. Brady House has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.8-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 90.1-mph average. In the last 7 days, Brady House's 36.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17%. Sporting a .266 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Brady House has performed in the 79th percentile.

Jacob Young's BABIP skill is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Weathers throws from, Jacob Young will have an edge today. Jacob Young has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 87.9-mph average to last season's 84.9-mph EV. In terms of his batting average, Jacob Young has suffered from bad luck this year. His .231 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .272.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Otto Lopez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Otto Lopez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's game. Otto Lopez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Otto Lopez has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 7.3% seasonal rate to 13.3% in the last week.

Eric Wagaman is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Eric Wagaman will have the upper hand today. Eric Wagaman hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Eric Wagaman will hold that advantage in today's game. Eric Wagaman has been unlucky this year, compiling a .288 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .310 — a .022 difference.

Agustin Ramirez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. LoanDepot Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. Agustin Ramirez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore today. Agustin Ramirez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Agustin Ramirez has had some very poor luck this year. His .299 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .332.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. LoanDepot Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Javier Sanoja will have an advantage in today's matchup. Javier Sanoja will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Javier Sanoja has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .236 mark is deflated compared to his .277 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Andres Chaparro is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. LoanDepot Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Weathers throws from, Andres Chaparro will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Riley Adams has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (76% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. Riley Adams will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Weathers today. Riley Adams has seen a big increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 98.4-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 91.4-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Xavier Edwards is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Xavier Edwards will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Xavier Edwards has put up a .273 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Posting a 1.79 K/BB rate this year, Xavier Edwards has demonstrated strong plate discipline, ranking in the 77th percentile.

Nasim Nunez is notably quick, placing in the 98th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.76 ft/sec this year.

Jakob Marsee is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jakob Marsee will hold that advantage in today's game. Jakob Marsee is in the 97th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (60% rate this year). By putting up a .404 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Jakob Marsee finds himself in the 99th percentile. Ranking in the 98th percentile, Jakob Marsee has put up a .316 batting average this year.

Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Joey Wiemer will have an edge in today's matchup. Joey Wiemer hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 77th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Joey Wiemer will hold that advantage today. Joey Wiemer has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 11.1% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past week. Joey Wiemer has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87-mph to 96.3-mph over the last 7 days.

Paul DeJong will have the handedness advantage over Ryan Weathers in today's matchup. Paul DeJong's launch angle this season (23°) is a considerable increase over his 20° figure last season.

Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Brian Navarreto will have the upper hand today. Brian Navarreto hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Brian Navarreto will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Heriberto Hernandez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (53% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. LoanDepot Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Heriberto Hernandez will have an edge today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Heriberto Hernandez will hold that advantage today. Heriberto Hernandez has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.3-mph to 92-mph over the past 14 days.

Luis Garcia Jr. has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.