Tampa Bay @ Chicago Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chandler Simpson as the 17th-best hitter in MLB when it comes to his batting average skill. Chandler Simpson is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Chandler Simpson will have the handedness advantage over Sean Burke in today's game. Chandler Simpson has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.305) may lead us to conclude that Chandler Simpson has suffered from bad luck this year with his .287 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase Meidroth in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Chase Meidroth has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Chase Meidroth will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. When it comes to plate discipline, Chase Meidroth's ability is quite impressive, sporting a 1.55 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 86th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 8th-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his batting average skill. Yandy Diaz is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Yandy Diaz has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Yandy Diaz's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (5.7°) is a significant increase over his 1.3° mark last season. Based on Statcast metrics, Yandy Diaz is in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .293.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Williams in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all parks. Carson Williams has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 8% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the past week's worth of games. Compared to his seasonal average of -0.8°, Carson Williams has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 18.5° figure over the last 7 days.

Hunter Feduccia will have the handedness advantage against Sean Burke in today's game. Hunter Feduccia has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.274) suggests that Hunter Feduccia has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .238 actual wOBA.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Junior Caminero ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Junior Caminero is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Junior Caminero pulls many of his flyballs (36.8% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Junior Caminero has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 13.5% seasonal rate to 21.6% in the past two weeks. Junior Caminero has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.4-mph average to last season's 89.5-mph EV.

Nick Fortes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. In comparison to his 84.1-mph average last year, Nick Fortes's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 87.5 mph. Nick Fortes's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 11.6% to 15.9%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 81st percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all parks. Andrew Benintendi will have the handedness advantage over Griffin Jax in today's game. Andrew Benintendi will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Andrew Benintendi's launch angle this season (19.8°) is a considerable increase over his 15.9° mark last year.

Josh Lowe's BABIP skill is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Josh Lowe is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Burke throws from, Josh Lowe will have an edge in today's game. Josh Lowe has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Josh Lowe has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 96-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal average of 92.7-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Mangum in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Jake Mangum has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Jake Mangum's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, rising from 38.4% on the season to 63% over the last 14 days. Ranking in the 93rd percentile, Jake Mangum sports a .291 batting average this year.

Kyle Teel's BABIP ability is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Teel is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all parks. Hitting from the opposite that Griffin Jax throws from, Kyle Teel will have an edge in today's game. Kyle Teel will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Mike Tauchman is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Griffin Jax throws from, Mike Tauchman will have an advantage in today's game. Mike Tauchman has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Mike Tauchman will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past two weeks, Mike Tauchman has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 21.7° compared to his seasonal mark of 11.5°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lenyn Sosa in the 76th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Lenyn Sosa is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Lenyn Sosa has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Lenyn Sosa will hold that advantage today. In the last week, Lenyn Sosa's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.9% up to 20%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edgar Quero in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Edgar Quero is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Edgar Quero has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Edgar Quero will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Edgar Quero's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, increasing from 14.2% on the season to 20.7% in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. Brandon Lowe will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Burke in today's matchup. Brandon Lowe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Brandon Lowe has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 101-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal figure of 94.6-mph.

Curtis Mead has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Curtis Mead will hold that advantage today. In the last week, Curtis Mead's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.3-mph over the course of the season to 92.7-mph of late.

Colson Montgomery is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Colson Montgomery will hold the platoon advantage over Griffin Jax in today's matchup. Colson Montgomery pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.7% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Colson Montgomery will hold that advantage today. Over the past week, Colson Montgomery's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 97.9-mph over the course of the season to 111.6-mph recently.

Richie Palacios will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Burke today. Richie Palacios pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. As it relates to plate discipline, Richie Palacios's talent is quite impressive, putting up a 1.47 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 94th percentile.

Dominic Fletcher has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Ian Seymour has gone over 0.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.

Miguel Vargas has gone over 0.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.