Philadelphia @ Miami Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Max Kepler will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Phillips in today's matchup. Max Kepler hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Max Kepler has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 6.2% rate last season to 11.7% this season. Max Kepler's launch angle recently (30.7° in the last week) is quite a bit better than his 16.2° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Phillips throws from, Bryson Stott will have an advantage in today's matchup. Bryson Stott's launch angle recently (22.1° in the past 14 days) is significantly higher than his 16° seasonal figure. Bryson Stott has exhibited impressive plate discipline this year, grading out in the 79th percentile with a 1.74 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. J.T. Realmuto is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. J.T. Realmuto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. J.T. Realmuto has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 8.9% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the past two weeks. Over the last 14 days, J.T. Realmuto's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93-mph over the course of the season to 97.7-mph in recent games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. LoanDepot Park has the 5th-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball. Nick Castellanos has been unlucky this year, putting up a .304 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .322 — a .018 gap.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm as the 20th-best batter in baseball when assessing his batting average ability. Alec Bohm is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Alec Bohm has been unlucky this year, posting a .310 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .326 — a .016 difference. Alec Bohm has notched a .285 Expected Batting Average this year, placing in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Posting a .276 batting average this year, Alec Bohm is positioned in the 83rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 3rd-best batter in baseball as it relates to his BABIP skill. Brandon Marsh is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Brandon Marsh will hold the platoon advantage over Tyler Phillips in today's matchup. Brandon Marsh has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 102.5-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal average of 93.2-mph. Compared to last year, Brandon Marsh has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 46.6% to 51.9% this season.

Batting from the opposite that Taijuan Walker throws from, Victor Mesa will have the upper hand today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Victor Mesa will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Heriberto Hernandez will hold that advantage today. Heriberto Hernandez has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 10.9% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the past 7 days. Heriberto Hernandez has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.2-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 89.1-mph mark. Posting a .332 BABIP this year, Heriberto Hernandez grades out in the 86th percentile.

Liam Hicks is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Taijuan Walker throws from, Liam Hicks will have an edge in today's matchup. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Liam Hicks will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Liam Hicks's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, increasing from 21.3% on the season to 32.1% in the past two weeks.

Agustin Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. LoanDepot Park has the 5th-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Agustin Ramirez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Agustin Ramirez has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .228 mark is a fair amount lower than his .266 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 13th-best hitter in baseball. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage over Tyler Phillips in today's game. Kyle Schwarber's launch angle this year (19.7°) is considerably better than his 14.9° angle last year. Compared to his seasonal average of 19.7°, Kyle Schwarber has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 26.3° figure in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 8th-best hitter in MLB when it comes to his batting average talent. Trea Turner is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. LoanDepot Park has the 5th-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball. In the last week, Trea Turner's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.7-mph over the course of the season to 98.2-mph recently. Utilizing Statcast data, Trea Turner grades out in the 77th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .342.

Harrison Bader has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 11.5% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the last 14 days. Harrison Bader's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, going from 12.2% on the season to 22.2% in the past 14 days. Harrison Bader has notched a .353 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 81st percentile. By putting up a .342 BABIP this year, Harrison Bader grades out in the 93rd percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 12th-best hitter in baseball. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Bryce Harper will hold the platoon advantage over Tyler Phillips in today's game. Bryce Harper's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 13.3% to 18.9%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.290) may lead us to conclude that Bryce Harper has had bad variance on his side this year with his .264 actual batting average.

Jakob Marsee is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Jakob Marsee will hold the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jakob Marsee will hold that advantage today. With a .319 batting average this year, Jakob Marsee is ranked in the 98th percentile.

Otto Lopez's batting average ability is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Otto Lopez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.286) may lead us to conclude that Otto Lopez has had some very poor luck this year with his .244 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Xavier Edwards is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Xavier Edwards will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Taijuan Walker in this game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Xavier Edwards will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Batting from the opposite that Taijuan Walker throws from, Troy Johnston will have an edge in today's matchup. Troy Johnston hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Troy Johnston will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. In the last two weeks, Troy Johnston's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.8-mph over the course of the season to 100.1-mph lately.

Joey Wiemer has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Javier Sanoja has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.