Boston @ Arizona Picks & Props

Chase Field ranks as the #2 park in MLB for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. In the last 7 days, Nate Eaton's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90-mph over the course of the season to 93.7-mph of late. Over the past week, Nate Eaton's 42.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 21.9%.

Chase Field ranks as the #2 park in MLB for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. James McCann will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. James McCann has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.6-mph average to last year's 86.9-mph figure. James McCann's quickness has improved this season. His 25.15 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.42 ft/sec now.

Gabriel Moreno's batting average talent is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gabriel Moreno has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (82% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Chase Field ranks as the #2 park in MLB for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Gabriel Moreno will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

When assessing his BABIP skill, Romy Gonzalez is projected as the 12th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chase Field ranks as the #2 park in MLB for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Grading out in the 97th percentile, Romy Gonzalez has notched a .304 batting average this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 75th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Chase Field ranks as the #2 venue in the league for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Nathaniel Lowe will have the handedness advantage over Brandon Pfaadt in today's matchup.

Jake McCarthy's batting average skill is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chase Field ranks as the #2 venue in the league for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Jake McCarthy will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Lucas Giolito today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jake McCarthy will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Chase Field ranks as the #2 park in MLB for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Carlos Narvaez has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 94.9-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 92.3-mph.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 10th-best batter in baseball. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Chase Field ranks as the #2 venue in the league for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Ketel Marte will hold that advantage in today's game.

Chase Field ranks as the #2 venue in the league for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Lucas Giolito throws from, Alek Thomas will have an edge in today's matchup. Alek Thomas will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Alek Thomas's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, rising from 12.5% on the season to 17.6% in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Locklear in the 75th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Chase Field ranks as the #2 park in MLB for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Tyler Locklear will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Tyler Locklear has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 6.6% seasonal rate to 12.5% over the last 14 days.

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Chase Field ranks as the #2 venue in the league for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Geraldo Perdomo will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 13% to 19.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Chase Field ranks as the #2 venue in the league for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Corbin Carroll will hold the platoon advantage over Lucas Giolito today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blaze Alexander in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Blaze Alexander has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (81% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Chase Field ranks as the #2 park in MLB for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Blaze Alexander will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 80th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Chase Field ranks as the #2 park in MLB for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Ceddanne Rafaela has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 88.8-mph average to last season's 86.6-mph EV. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.329) provides evidence that Ceddanne Rafaela has had some very poor luck this year with his .306 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Masataka Yoshida is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. Chase Field ranks as the #2 venue in the league for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Masataka Yoshida will have an edge in today's matchup.

Adrian Del Castillo is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Chase Field ranks as the #2 venue in the league for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Adrian Del Castillo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Lucas Giolito in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Adrian Del Castillo will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Alex Bregman is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. Chase Field ranks as the #2 park in MLB for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Alex Bregman has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.2-mph average to last year's 90.9-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Jarren Duran is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Chase Field ranks as the #2 venue in the league for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Jarren Duran will have an edge in today's matchup.

Trevor Story's BABIP talent is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Trevor Story is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Chase Field ranks as the #2 park in MLB for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Trevor Story has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.3-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 91.1-mph EV.

Rob Refsnyder has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

David Hamilton has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.