Philadelphia @ Miami Picks & Props

Troy Johnston hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Troy Johnston will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. In the past 14 days, Troy Johnston's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.8-mph over the course of the season to 100.1-mph lately. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Troy Johnston's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 56%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Edmundo Sosa hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Edmundo Sosa's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 39.5% to 46.1%. Ranking in the 96th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.49 ft/sec this year, Edmundo Sosa is notably fast. By putting up a .271 batting average this year, Edmundo Sosa is positioned in the 82nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. LoanDepot Park has the 3rd-shallowest centerfield fences in the league. Considering Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Javier Sanoja will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Javier Sanoja will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.281) suggests that Javier Sanoja has suffered from bad luck this year with his .239 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Batting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Bryson Stott will have an edge in today's game. Compared to his seasonal average of 16°, Bryson Stott has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 23° figure over the last 14 days. Sporting a 1.74 K/BB rate this year, Bryson Stott has demonstrated good plate discipline, grading out in the 79th percentile.

Hitting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Max Kepler will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Max Kepler hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Max Kepler has made big improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 6.2% rate last season to 11.5% this year. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.337) may lead us to conclude that Max Kepler has been unlucky this year with his .299 actual wOBA. In terms of plate discipline, Max Kepler's ability is quite impressive, posting a 1.74 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 79th percentile.

Otto Lopez's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Otto Lopez is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. Otto Lopez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage in today's game. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Otto Lopez has experienced some negative variance this year. His .299 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .339.

Harrison Bader's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, increasing from 41.2% on the season to 55.2% in the past 14 days. Harrison Bader has put up a .353 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile. Harrison Bader has recorded a .341 BABIP this year, ranking in the 91st percentile.

Eric Wagaman is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Eric Wagaman will hold the platoon advantage over Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and even better, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Eric Wagaman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Eric Wagaman will hold that advantage in today's game. Eric Wagaman has been unlucky this year, compiling a .287 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .310 — a .023 disparity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Xavier Edwards is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Xavier Edwards will hold that advantage in today's game. By putting up a .274 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Xavier Edwards is positioned in the 81st percentile. Posting a .278 batting average this year, Xavier Edwards is ranked in the 85th percentile.

Agustin Ramirez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. LoanDepot Park has the 3rd-shallowest centerfield fences in the league. Agustin Ramirez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Agustin Ramirez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. In terms of his batting average, Agustin Ramirez has suffered from bad luck this year. His .228 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .266.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 8th-best hitter in the majors as it relates to his batting average skill. Trea Turner is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. LoanDepot Park has the 3rd-shallowest centerfield fences in the league. Trea Turner has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.2-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 91.7-mph. Trea Turner has notched a .341 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 76th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. J.T. Realmuto is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. J.T. Realmuto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Over the last two weeks, J.T. Realmuto's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.9-mph over the course of the season to 96.7-mph lately. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates J.T. Realmuto's true offensive ability to be a .334, implying that he has been unlucky this year given the .017 deviation between that mark and his actual .317 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Alec Bohm is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. Posting a .284 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Alec Bohm finds himself in the 90th percentile. Sporting a .278 batting average this year, Alec Bohm finds himself in the 85th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 3rd-best batter in the majors when assessing his BABIP skill. Brandon Marsh has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (86% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Brandon Marsh will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara in today's game. Brandon Marsh's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 46.6% to 52.2%. Brandon Marsh's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, increasing from 52.2% on the season to 68.4% in the past 14 days.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 13th-best batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara in today's matchup. Kyle Schwarber has made notable gains with his Barrel%, improving his 15.6% rate last season to 20.7% this year. Kyle Schwarber's launch angle this year (19.7°) is considerably higher than his 14.9° figure last season.

Victor Mesa will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Bryce Harper projects as the 12th-best hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Bryce Harper will have the handedness advantage against Sandy Alcantara today. Bryce Harper's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 13.3% to 19.1%. Over the past week, Bryce Harper's 38.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.1%.

Jakob Marsee is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Jakob Marsee will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. In the last week's worth of games, Jakob Marsee's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.5%. Jakob Marsee has been hot recently, cruising to a .408 wOBA over the last two weeks.

Heriberto Hernandez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (53% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Considering Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Heriberto Hernandez will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Heriberto Hernandez will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the past 7 days, Heriberto Hernandez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11% up to 23.1%. Heriberto Hernandez has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89-mph to 92.4-mph in the past week's worth of games.

Because of Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Joey Wiemer will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. Joey Wiemer hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Joey Wiemer will hold that advantage today. The standard deviation of Joey Wiemer's launch angle has been very consistent in recent games (36.7° over the last week), which is a proxy for reliable bat control and seeing the ball well.