San Francisco @ St. Louis Picks & Props

Nolan Gorman has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (67% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Carson Seymour throws from, Nolan Gorman will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Nolan Gorman tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Carson Seymour. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Nolan Gorman will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jung Hoo Lee in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Michael McGreevy throws from, Jung Hoo Lee will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Jung Hoo Lee is apt to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals only has 1 same-handed RP. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.278) provides evidence that Jung Hoo Lee has had bad variance on his side this year with his .262 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Matt Chapman is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Matt Chapman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Extreme groundball batters like Matt Chapman tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Michael McGreevy.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. The switch-hitting Patrick Bailey will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Michael McGreevy. Patrick Bailey's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 15.4% to 18.6%. Patrick Bailey's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, increasing from 41.3% on the season to 54.2% in the last 14 days. Despite posting a .255 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Patrick Bailey has suffered from bad luck given the .026 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .281.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Jordan Walker hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Jordan Walker will hold that advantage in today's game. Jordan Walker has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 11.1% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the last 14 days.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Michael McGreevy throws from, Andrew Gilbert will have an edge today. Andrew Gilbert may have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals only has 1 same-handed RP. Andrew Gilbert has been hot in recent games, putting up a a 15.8% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power) in the last 7 days. Andrew Gilbert has hit one of the hardest balls in Major League Baseball in the past week — 109.8-mph — which is a good proxy for recent form and raw power.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Pedro Pages will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Pedro Pages has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.2-mph to 97.2-mph in the last week's worth of games.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Carson Seymour throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Lars Nootbaar hits many of his flyballs to center field (41.6% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Masyn Winn is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Masyn Winn will hold that advantage today. In the past week's worth of games, Masyn Winn's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.6-mph over the course of the season to 91.6-mph lately.

James Crooks's BABIP skill is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Crooks is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Carson Seymour throws from, James Crooks will have the upper hand in today's game. James Crooks will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Heliot Ramos ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Heliot Ramos is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Grading out in the 83rd percentile, Heliot Ramos sports a .325 BABIP this year.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Victor Scott II will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carson Seymour today. Victor Scott II will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Victor Scott II has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .282 figure is quite a bit lower than his .298 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Victor Scott II is notably fast, checking in at the 100th percentile in Sprint Speed at 30.21 ft/sec this year.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Jose Fermin will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Jose Fermin has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .255 figure is deflated compared to his .278 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Extreme groundball bats like Willy Adames tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Michael McGreevy. Willy Adames has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 91.3-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 89.2-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Rafael Devers will hold the platoon advantage over Michael McGreevy in today's matchup. Rafael Devers may have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals only has 1 same-handed RP.

Dominic Smith is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Michael McGreevy throws from, Dominic Smith will have an edge today. Dominic Smith will probably have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals only has 1 same-handed RP. Dominic Smith hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thomas Saggese in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Thomas Saggese will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Thomas Saggese has recorded a .344 BABIP this year, grading out in the 90th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Ivan Herrera is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Ivan Herrera will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Ivan Herrera has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.8-mph average to last season's 91.5-mph average.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Casey Schmitt has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 9.1% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the last 7 days. Casey Schmitt has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 98.1-mph average in the last week to his seasonal figure of 94-mph. Casey Schmitt's launch angle recently (27.2° in the last 7 days) is considerably better than his 18° seasonal figure. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Casey Schmitt has experienced some negative variance this year. His .315 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .344.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Willson Contreras's launch angle recently (19° over the last 7 days) is significantly better than his 12.5° seasonal mark. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.363) may lead us to conclude that Willson Contreras has had some very poor luck this year with his .341 actual wOBA. Willson Contreras has put up a .346 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 76th percentile.