Cincinnati @ Arizona Picks & Props

CIN vs AZ Picks

MLB Picks
MoneyLine
Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ (-125)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
Trevor Knapp image
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor

While Zac Gallen’s 2025 numbers aren't pretty, the veteran right-hander has fared well against Cincy in the past, holding them to a lifetime OPS of .481. I'm taking the Dbacks at home in this series finale. 

Total RBIs
Ketel Marte logo
Ketel Marte o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ketel Marte projects as the 10th-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. Chase Field projects as the #2 ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Ketel Marte will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs
Adrian Del Castillo logo
Adrian Del Castillo o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Chase Field projects as the #2 ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Given Brady Singer's large platoon split, Adrian Del Castillo will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Adrian Del Castillo will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Adrian Del Castillo has made substantial strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 3.9% seasonal rate to 9.5% in the past two weeks.. Adrian Del Castillo's 22.7° launch angle (a reliable metric to assess a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the highest in the majors: 96th percentile.
Total RBIs
Noelvi Marte logo
Noelvi Marte o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 81st percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Noelvi Marte has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (75% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The #2 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. Noelvi Marte has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 89.4-mph average to last year's 87-mph figure.
Total RBIs
Spencer Steer logo
Spencer Steer o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #2 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Spencer Steer has made substantial gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 6.4% seasonal rate to 12.9% in the last two weeks.. Last year, Spencer Steer had an average launch angle of 11.5° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 16.3°.. Spencer Steer's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, going from 16.5% on the season to 32.3% in the last 14 days.
Total RBIs
Elly De La Cruz logo
Elly De La Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best batter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Chase Field projects as the #2 ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Zac Gallen in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Pavin Smith logo
Pavin Smith o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Pavin Smith ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pavin Smith is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. Chase Field projects as the #2 ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Because of Brady Singer's large platoon split, Pavin Smith will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Pavin Smith will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Matt McLain logo
Matt McLain o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. The #2 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. Despite posting a .282 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Matt McLain has had some very poor luck given the .039 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .321.
Total RBIs
Corbin Carroll logo
Corbin Carroll o0.5 Total RBIs (+110)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Chase Field projects as the #2 ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. Given Brady Singer's large platoon split, Corbin Carroll will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Ketel Marte logo
Ketel Marte o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-140)
Projection 2.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ketel Marte projects as the 10th-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. Chase Field projects as the #2 ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Ketel Marte will hold that advantage in today's game.
Outs Recorded
Zac Gallen logo
Zac Gallen u17.5 Outs Recorded (+115)
Projection 16.9 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
It is likely that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Lance Barksdale) calling pitches in this game.. The #3 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Zac Gallen has a reverse platoon split and has the misfortune of squaring off against 6 same-handed batters in this matchup.. Zac Gallen's fastball velocity has decreased 1 mph this season (92.8 mph) below where it was last season (93.8 mph).. With a 4.79 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that is concerned with the things most within a pitcher's control), Zac Gallen falls in the 24th percentile.
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CIN vs AZ Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

63% picking Cincinnati

63%
37%

Total PicksCIN 446, AZ 260

Moneyline
CIN
AZ

CIN vs AZ Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Noelvi Marte Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Noelvi Marte
N. Marte
third base 3B • Cincinnati
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Dry weather has a small but significant link with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the lowest humidity on the slate today at 34%. Hitting from the same side that Zac Gallen throws from, Noelvi Marte will be in a tough position in today's game. Noelvi Marte hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and will be challenged by the game's 3rd-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the strongest among all the teams in action today. Noelvi Marte will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

Noelvi Marte logo

Noelvi Marte

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Dry weather has a small but significant link with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the lowest humidity on the slate today at 34%. Hitting from the same side that Zac Gallen throws from, Noelvi Marte will be in a tough position in today's game. Noelvi Marte hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and will be challenged by the game's 3rd-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the strongest among all the teams in action today. Noelvi Marte will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

Miguel Andujar Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Miguel Andujar
M. Andujar
left outfield LF • Cincinnati
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Dry weather has a small but significant link with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the lowest humidity on the slate today at 34%. Batting from the same side that Zac Gallen throws from, Miguel Andujar will have a tough matchup in today's game. Today, Miguel Andujar is at a disadvantage facing the league's 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.1% rate (90th percentile). The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the strongest among all the teams in action today. Miguel Andujar will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

Miguel Andujar logo

Miguel Andujar

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Dry weather has a small but significant link with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the lowest humidity on the slate today at 34%. Batting from the same side that Zac Gallen throws from, Miguel Andujar will have a tough matchup in today's game. Today, Miguel Andujar is at a disadvantage facing the league's 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.1% rate (90th percentile). The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the strongest among all the teams in action today. Miguel Andujar will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

Jake McCarthy Total Hits Props • Arizona

Jake McCarthy
J. McCarthy
center outfield CF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Chase Field projects as the #2 ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Considering Brady Singer's large platoon split, Jake McCarthy will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Jake McCarthy will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Jake McCarthy logo

Jake McCarthy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Chase Field projects as the #2 ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Considering Brady Singer's large platoon split, Jake McCarthy will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Jake McCarthy will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Blaze Alexander Total Hits Props • Arizona

Blaze Alexander
B. Alexander
shortstop SS • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blaze Alexander in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The #2 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Blaze Alexander will hold that advantage today. Blaze Alexander has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 3.4% rate last season to 12.9% this season.

Blaze Alexander logo

Blaze Alexander

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blaze Alexander in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The #2 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Blaze Alexander will hold that advantage today. Blaze Alexander has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 3.4% rate last season to 12.9% this season.

Ketel Marte Total Hits Props • Arizona

Ketel Marte
K. Marte
second base 2B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Ketel Marte projects as the 10th-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. Chase Field projects as the #2 ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Ketel Marte will hold that advantage in today's game.

Ketel Marte logo

Ketel Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Ketel Marte projects as the 10th-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. Chase Field projects as the #2 ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Ketel Marte will hold that advantage in today's game.

Geraldo Perdomo Total Hits Props • Arizona

Geraldo Perdomo
G. Perdomo
shortstop SS • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Geraldo Perdomo is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Chase Field projects as the #2 ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Geraldo Perdomo will hold that advantage today. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 13% to 19.8%.

Geraldo Perdomo logo

Geraldo Perdomo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Geraldo Perdomo is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Chase Field projects as the #2 ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Geraldo Perdomo will hold that advantage today. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 13% to 19.8%.

Matt McLain Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Matt McLain
M. McLain
second base 2B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The #2 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Despite posting a .282 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Matt McLain has had some very poor luck given the .039 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .321.

Matt McLain logo

Matt McLain

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The #2 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Despite posting a .282 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Matt McLain has had some very poor luck given the .039 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .321.

Alek Thomas Total Hits Props • Arizona

Alek Thomas
A. Thomas
center outfield CF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Chase Field projects as the #2 ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Because of Brady Singer's large platoon split, Alek Thomas will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Alek Thomas will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Alek Thomas has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 8.8% seasonal rate to 13.9% over the past 14 days.

Alek Thomas logo

Alek Thomas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Chase Field projects as the #2 ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Because of Brady Singer's large platoon split, Alek Thomas will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Alek Thomas will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Alek Thomas has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 8.8% seasonal rate to 13.9% over the past 14 days.

James McCann Total Hits Props • Arizona

James McCann
J. McCann
catcher C • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The #2 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and James McCann will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In comparison to his 86.9-mph average last year, James McCann's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 91.7 mph. James McCann's footspeed has improved this season. His 25.15 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.43 ft/sec now.

James McCann logo

James McCann

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #2 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and James McCann will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In comparison to his 86.9-mph average last year, James McCann's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 91.7 mph. James McCann's footspeed has improved this season. His 25.15 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.43 ft/sec now.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Total Hits Props • Arizona

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
L. Gurriel Jr.
left outfield LF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. The #2 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. logo

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. The #2 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Adrian Del Castillo Total Hits Props • Arizona

Adrian Del Castillo
A. Del Castillo
catcher C • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Chase Field projects as the #2 ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Given Brady Singer's large platoon split, Adrian Del Castillo will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Adrian Del Castillo will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Adrian Del Castillo has made substantial strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 3.9% seasonal rate to 9.5% in the past two weeks.

Adrian Del Castillo logo

Adrian Del Castillo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Chase Field projects as the #2 ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Given Brady Singer's large platoon split, Adrian Del Castillo will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Adrian Del Castillo will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Adrian Del Castillo has made substantial strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 3.9% seasonal rate to 9.5% in the past two weeks.

Elly De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Elly De La Cruz
E. De La Cruz
shortstop SS • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best batter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his BABIP skill. Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Chase Field projects as the #2 ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Zac Gallen in today's matchup.

Elly De La Cruz logo

Elly De La Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best batter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his BABIP skill. Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Chase Field projects as the #2 ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Zac Gallen in today's matchup.

TJ Friedl Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

TJ Friedl
T. Friedl
center outfield CF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

TJ Friedl is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. Chase Field projects as the #2 ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, TJ Friedl will have the upper hand today. With a 1.48 K/BB rate this year, TJ Friedl has shown favorable plate discipline, checking in at the 90th percentile.

TJ Friedl logo

TJ Friedl

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

TJ Friedl is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. Chase Field projects as the #2 ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, TJ Friedl will have the upper hand today. With a 1.48 K/BB rate this year, TJ Friedl has shown favorable plate discipline, checking in at the 90th percentile.

Ke'Bryan Hayes Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Ke'Bryan Hayes
K. Hayes
third base 3B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Ke'Bryan Hayes's batting average ability is projected to be in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #2 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Ke'Bryan Hayes has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.8-mph to 91.9-mph over the past 7 days. Ke'Bryan Hayes's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (5.7°) is significantly better than his 2.6° mark last year.

Ke'Bryan Hayes logo

Ke'Bryan Hayes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Ke'Bryan Hayes's batting average ability is projected to be in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #2 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Ke'Bryan Hayes has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.8-mph to 91.9-mph over the past 7 days. Ke'Bryan Hayes's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (5.7°) is significantly better than his 2.6° mark last year.

Austin Hays Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Austin Hays
A. Hays
left outfield LF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Austin Hays is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. The #2 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Austin Hays has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.8-mph average to last season's 91.6-mph mark. Austin Hays has compiled a .321 BABIP this year, checking in at the 80th percentile.

Austin Hays logo

Austin Hays

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Austin Hays is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. The #2 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Austin Hays has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.8-mph average to last season's 91.6-mph mark. Austin Hays has compiled a .321 BABIP this year, checking in at the 80th percentile.

Gabriel Moreno Total Hits Props • Arizona

Gabriel Moreno
G. Moreno
catcher C • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Gabriel Moreno has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (89% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. The #2 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Gabriel Moreno will hold that advantage in today's game.

Gabriel Moreno logo

Gabriel Moreno

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Gabriel Moreno has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (89% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. The #2 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Gabriel Moreno will hold that advantage in today's game.

Pavin Smith Total Hits Props • Arizona

Pavin Smith
P. Smith
first base 1B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Pavin Smith ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pavin Smith is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Chase Field projects as the #2 ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Because of Brady Singer's large platoon split, Pavin Smith will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.

Pavin Smith logo

Pavin Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Pavin Smith ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pavin Smith is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Chase Field projects as the #2 ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Because of Brady Singer's large platoon split, Pavin Smith will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.

Spencer Steer Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Spencer Steer
S. Steer
first base 1B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The #2 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Spencer Steer has made substantial gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 6.4% seasonal rate to 12.9% in the last two weeks. Last year, Spencer Steer had an average launch angle of 11.5° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 16.3°. Spencer Steer's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, going from 16.5% on the season to 32.3% in the last 14 days.

Spencer Steer logo

Spencer Steer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #2 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Spencer Steer has made substantial gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 6.4% seasonal rate to 12.9% in the last two weeks. Last year, Spencer Steer had an average launch angle of 11.5° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 16.3°. Spencer Steer's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, going from 16.5% on the season to 32.3% in the last 14 days.

Gavin Lux Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Gavin Lux
G. Lux
left outfield LF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Gavin Lux is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Chase Field projects as the #2 ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Gavin Lux will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen in today's matchup.

Gavin Lux logo

Gavin Lux

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Gavin Lux is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Chase Field projects as the #2 ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Gavin Lux will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen in today's matchup.

Jose Trevino Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Jose Trevino
J. Trevino
catcher C • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The #2 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Jose Trevino's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 10.2% on the season to 31.3% over the past week.

Jose Trevino logo

Jose Trevino

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #2 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Jose Trevino's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 10.2% on the season to 31.3% over the past week.

Will Banfield Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Will Banfield
W. Banfield
catcher C • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The #2 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output.

Will Banfield logo

Will Banfield

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #2 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output.

Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona

Corbin Carroll
C. Carroll
right outfield RF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Chase Field projects as the #2 ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Given Brady Singer's large platoon split, Corbin Carroll will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.

Corbin Carroll logo

Corbin Carroll

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Chase Field projects as the #2 ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Given Brady Singer's large platoon split, Corbin Carroll will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Cincinnati Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 MLBFan8848 4-6-0 +16975
2 samua 4-6-0 +16620
3 theSleeper 5-5-0 +15590
4 sprtnt1 7-3-0 +14035
5 northlv6238 8-1-1 +13865
6 uncle_Pasha_DRW 4-5-1 +13531
7 ASDFJKL123 5-4-1 +13198
8 stranger28 8-2-0 +13139
9 IronCity1 5-4-1 +13060
10 FAMCOLLECTOR 6-4-0 +12725
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Arizona Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 anya 7-3-0 +19170
2 PlusOdds 3-6-1 +17545
3 Bassboy7276 6-4-0 +15647
4 uncle_Pasha_DRW 4-5-1 +13772
5 vitom 6-3-1 +13655
6 mccabecj 4-6-0 +13555
7 timstutler25 4-6-0 +12860
8 drizrazz 5-3-2 +12715
9 hoody 8-2-0 +12370
10 Brayy_Wyatt 5-5-0 +12265
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