Houston @ Baltimore Picks & Props

The #10 park in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The shallowest RF fences in Major League Baseball are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Batting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Dylan Beavers will have an edge in today's matchup. Dylan Beavers will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Over the last 14 days, Dylan Beavers has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .445.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 80th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th-best venue in the game for right-handed batting average. Mauricio Dubon will hold the platoon advantage against Trevor Rogers in today's game. Mauricio Dubon has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.4°, Mauricio Dubon has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 20.4° mark over the past two weeks.

The #10 park in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The shallowest RF fences in Major League Baseball are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Dylan Carlson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 18.7°, Dylan Carlson has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 45° mark in the past week. Last year, Dylan Carlson had an average launch angle of 19.7° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 23.5°.

Jackson Holliday's BABIP ability is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jackson Holliday is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. The #10 park in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Jackson Holliday will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Jackson Holliday will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Ryan Mountcastle will be at a disadvantage in today's matchup. Ranking in the 14th percentile, Ryan Mountcastle has notched a .285 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year. Posting a 5.54 K/BB rate this year, Ryan Mountcastle has displayed weak plate discipline, grading out in the 5th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Jose Altuve is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th-best venue in the game for right-handed batting average. Batting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Jose Altuve will have an advantage today. Jose Altuve has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 99.9-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal EV of 89.9-mph.

Colton Cowser's BABIP ability is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Colton Cowser has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (81% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. The #10 park in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Colton Cowser will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Colton Cowser will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th-best venue in the game for right-handed batting average. Ramon Urias will hold the platoon advantage against Trevor Rogers today. Ramon Urias's average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 89.1-mph seasonal average has fallen to 84.6-mph over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th-best venue in the game for right-handed batting average. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Coby Mayo will hold that advantage today. Coby Mayo has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89-mph to 95.4-mph over the past 7 days. Coby Mayo's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, going from 45.5% on the season to 54.5% in the past two weeks. As it relates to his batting average, Coby Mayo has had bad variance on his side this year. His .198 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .230.

Carlos Correa's batting average ability is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Carlos Correa is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th-best venue in the game for right-handed batting average. Carlos Correa will have the handedness advantage against Trevor Rogers in today's game. Carlos Correa has compiled a .277 Expected Batting Average this year, placing in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Yainer Diaz today. Yainer Diaz has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph dropping to 87-mph over the past 14 days. Yainer Diaz's launch angle in recent games (0.8° in the past 7 days) is quite a bit lower than his 11° seasonal angle. Yainer Diaz's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last year to this one, falling from 49% to 42.3%. When it comes to plate discipline, Yainer Diaz's ability is quite bad, sporting a 4.46 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 12th percentile.

Jeremy Pena pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33% — 75th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-deepest LF fences today. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jeremy Pena in today's game. Jeremy Pena's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased lately, decreasing from 43% on the season to 31.4% over the past two weeks. Jeremy Pena has been lucky this year, posting a .364 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .331 — a .033 deviation.

Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th-best venue in the game for right-handed batting average. Christian Walker will hold the platoon advantage over Trevor Rogers today. Christian Walker has made substantial strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 11.8% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the past two weeks' worth of games. Christian Walker has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.5-mph to 98.1-mph in the past 7 days.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gunnar Henderson ranks as the 18th-best batter in the league. Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. The #10 park in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have an advantage today. Gunnar Henderson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th-best venue in the game for right-handed batting average. Chas McCormick will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Rogers today. Chas McCormick has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Chas McCormick has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 97.6-mph average to last year's 90.9-mph figure. Last year, Chas McCormick had an average launch angle of 15.6° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 22.5°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th-best venue in the game for right-handed batting average. Alex Jackson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Alex Jackson has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.6-mph average to last year's 93.3-mph EV. Alex Jackson's 10.8% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) ranks in the 79th percentile since the start of last season.

Jeremiah Jackson has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (67% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th-best venue in the game for right-handed batting average. Jeremiah Jackson has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jeremiah Jackson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. A consistent launch angle is an indicator of good hitting, and Jeremiah Jackson has been very consistent with his of late, compiling a 36.7° launch angle standard deviation in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th-best venue in the game for right-handed batting average. Luis Vazquez hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Luis Vazquez will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Luis Vazquez has been hot of late, putting up a an 18.2% Barrel% (a reliable standard to evaluate power) in the last week.