Cincinnati @ Arizona Picks & Props

CIN vs AZ Picks

MLB Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Nabil Crismatt logo
Nabil Crismatt u3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-120)
Projection 2.9 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nabil Crismatt in the 4th percentile as it relates to his strikeout talent.. Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Nabil Crismatt is projected to throw 74 pitches in today's game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 2nd-least of the day.. Chase Field projects as the #25 field in the league for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.
Total RBIs
Elly De La Cruz logo
Elly De La Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in MLB for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his better side against Jalen Beeks today.
Total RBIs
Ketel Marte logo
Ketel Marte o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ketel Marte projects as the 10th-best hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Ketel Marte will get to bat from his good side against Andrew Abbott today.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Ketel Marte will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs
Corbin Carroll logo
Corbin Carroll o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in MLB for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Corbin Carroll will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Blaze Alexander logo
Blaze Alexander o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blaze Alexander in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Blaze Alexander will have the upper hand in today's game.. Blaze Alexander will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Noelvi Marte logo
Noelvi Marte o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Noelvi Marte has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (76% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Noelvi Marte has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 89.2-mph average to last year's 87-mph average.
Total RBIs
Gavin Lux logo
Gavin Lux o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Gavin Lux is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in MLB for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Gavin Lux will have the handedness advantage against Nabil Crismatt today.
Total RBIs
Austin Hays logo
Austin Hays o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Austin Hays is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Austin Hays has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94.8-mph average to last year's 91.6-mph mark.. Over the past two weeks, Austin Hays has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 25° compared to his seasonal mark of 16.3°.. Ranking in the 76th percentile, Austin Hays sits with a .315 BABIP this year.
Total RBIs
Spencer Steer logo
Spencer Steer o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Spencer Steer's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (15.6°) is significantly better than his 11.5° angle last season.. Spencer Steer's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 16.4% on the season to 36.7% in the last two weeks.
Total RBIs
Ke'Bryan Hayes logo
Ke'Bryan Hayes o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. In the last 7 days, Ke'Bryan Hayes's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.5-mph over the course of the season to 98.2-mph in recent games.. Ke'Bryan Hayes's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 7.5% to 11.2%.. Over the last 7 days, Ke'Bryan Hayes's 38.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 11.2%.
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CIN vs AZ Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

68% picking Cincinnati

68%
32%

Total PicksCIN 519, AZ 249

Moneyline
CIN
AZ

CIN vs AZ Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Santiago Espinal Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Santiago Espinal
S. Espinal
third base 3B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Santiago Espinal has been unlucky this year, putting up a .264 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .285 — a .021 disparity. Santiago Espinal has displayed good plate discipline this year, ranking in the 75th percentile with a 1.85 K/BB rate.

Santiago Espinal logo

Santiago Espinal

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Santiago Espinal has been unlucky this year, putting up a .264 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .285 — a .021 disparity. Santiago Espinal has displayed good plate discipline this year, ranking in the 75th percentile with a 1.85 K/BB rate.

Jake McCarthy Total Hits Props • Arizona

Jake McCarthy
J. McCarthy
center outfield CF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in MLB for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Extreme flyball batters like Jake McCarthy generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Andrew Abbott. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jake McCarthy will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jake McCarthy logo

Jake McCarthy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in MLB for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Extreme flyball batters like Jake McCarthy generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Andrew Abbott. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jake McCarthy will hold that advantage in today's game.

Elly De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Elly De La Cruz
E. De La Cruz
shortstop SS • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When assessing his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in MLB for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his better side against Jalen Beeks today.

Elly De La Cruz logo

Elly De La Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

When assessing his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in MLB for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his better side against Jalen Beeks today.

Ke'Bryan Hayes Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Ke'Bryan Hayes
K. Hayes
third base 3B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 76th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. In the last 7 days, Ke'Bryan Hayes's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.5-mph over the course of the season to 98.2-mph in recent games. Ke'Bryan Hayes's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 7.5% to 11.2%.

Ke'Bryan Hayes logo

Ke'Bryan Hayes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 76th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. In the last 7 days, Ke'Bryan Hayes's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.5-mph over the course of the season to 98.2-mph in recent games. Ke'Bryan Hayes's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 7.5% to 11.2%.

Gavin Lux Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Gavin Lux
G. Lux
left outfield LF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Gavin Lux is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in MLB for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Gavin Lux will have the handedness advantage against Jalen Beeks today.

Gavin Lux logo

Gavin Lux

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Gavin Lux is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in MLB for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Gavin Lux will have the handedness advantage against Jalen Beeks today.

TJ Friedl Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

TJ Friedl
T. Friedl
center outfield CF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

TJ Friedl is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in MLB for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Jalen Beeks throws from, TJ Friedl will have an edge today. By putting up a 1.48 K/BB rate this year, TJ Friedl has demonstrated good plate discipline, ranking in the 89th percentile.

TJ Friedl logo

TJ Friedl

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

TJ Friedl is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in MLB for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Jalen Beeks throws from, TJ Friedl will have an edge today. By putting up a 1.48 K/BB rate this year, TJ Friedl has demonstrated good plate discipline, ranking in the 89th percentile.

Austin Hays Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Austin Hays
A. Hays
left outfield LF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Austin Hays is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Austin Hays has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94.8-mph average to last year's 91.6-mph mark. Over the past two weeks, Austin Hays has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 25° compared to his seasonal mark of 16.3°.

Austin Hays logo

Austin Hays

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Austin Hays is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Austin Hays has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94.8-mph average to last year's 91.6-mph mark. Over the past two weeks, Austin Hays has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 25° compared to his seasonal mark of 16.3°.

Miguel Andujar Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Miguel Andujar
M. Andujar
left outfield LF • Cincinnati
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the driest conditions on the slate at 32%. Batting from the same side that Jalen Beeks throws from, Miguel Andujar faces a tough challenge today. In today's game, Miguel Andujar is at a disadvantage facing the league's 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.2% rate (91st percentile). Miguel Andujar will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Miguel Andujar has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 5.3% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last week's worth of games.

Miguel Andujar logo

Miguel Andujar

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the driest conditions on the slate at 32%. Batting from the same side that Jalen Beeks throws from, Miguel Andujar faces a tough challenge today. In today's game, Miguel Andujar is at a disadvantage facing the league's 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.2% rate (91st percentile). Miguel Andujar will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Miguel Andujar has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 5.3% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last week's worth of games.

Ketel Marte Total Hits Props • Arizona

Ketel Marte
K. Marte
second base 2B • Arizona
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest centerfield fences in MLB. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the driest conditions on the slate at 32%. Ketel Marte's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 96.8-mph average last season has decreased to 94.4-mph. Ketel Marte has been very fortunate when it comes to his batting average this year; his .292 figure is significantly inflated relative to his .261 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ketel Marte logo

Ketel Marte

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest centerfield fences in MLB. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the driest conditions on the slate at 32%. Ketel Marte's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 96.8-mph average last season has decreased to 94.4-mph. Ketel Marte has been very fortunate when it comes to his batting average this year; his .292 figure is significantly inflated relative to his .261 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Spencer Steer Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Spencer Steer
S. Steer
first base 1B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Spencer Steer's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (15.6°) is significantly better than his 11.5° angle last season. Spencer Steer's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 16.4% on the season to 36.7% in the last two weeks.

Spencer Steer logo

Spencer Steer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Spencer Steer's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (15.6°) is significantly better than his 11.5° angle last season. Spencer Steer's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 16.4% on the season to 36.7% in the last two weeks.

Tyler Locklear Total Hits Props • Arizona

Tyler Locklear
T. Locklear
first base 1B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Locklear in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Tyler Locklear will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Tyler Locklear will hold that advantage today.

Tyler Locklear logo

Tyler Locklear

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Locklear in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Tyler Locklear will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Tyler Locklear will hold that advantage today.

Jose Trevino Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Jose Trevino
J. Trevino
catcher C • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Jose Trevino's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, rising from 10.4% on the season to 33.3% in the past week.

Jose Trevino logo

Jose Trevino

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Jose Trevino's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, rising from 10.4% on the season to 33.3% in the past week.

Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona

Corbin Carroll
C. Carroll
right outfield RF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in MLB for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Corbin Carroll will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Corbin Carroll logo

Corbin Carroll

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in MLB for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Corbin Carroll will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Alek Thomas Total Hits Props • Arizona

Alek Thomas
A. Thomas
center outfield CF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in MLB for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Extreme flyball hitters like Alek Thomas usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Andrew Abbott. Alek Thomas will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Alek Thomas has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 8.9% seasonal rate to 20% in the last week.

Alek Thomas logo

Alek Thomas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in MLB for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Extreme flyball hitters like Alek Thomas usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Andrew Abbott. Alek Thomas will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Alek Thomas has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 8.9% seasonal rate to 20% in the last week.

Geraldo Perdomo Total Hits Props • Arizona

Geraldo Perdomo
G. Perdomo
shortstop SS • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Geraldo Perdomo is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Geraldo Perdomo will hold that advantage in today's game. Compared to last year, Geraldo Perdomo has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 13% to 19.8% this season.

Geraldo Perdomo logo

Geraldo Perdomo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Geraldo Perdomo is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Geraldo Perdomo will hold that advantage in today's game. Compared to last year, Geraldo Perdomo has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 13% to 19.8% this season.

Noelvi Marte Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Noelvi Marte
N. Marte
third base 3B • Cincinnati
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds

Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the driest conditions on the slate at 32%. Jalen Beeks will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Noelvi Marte in today's matchup. Noelvi Marte hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and will be challenged by MLB's 3rd-deepest CF fences today. Noelvi Marte will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Over the last week, Noelvi Marte's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal mark of 91 mph to 87.3 mph.

Noelvi Marte logo

Noelvi Marte

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the driest conditions on the slate at 32%. Jalen Beeks will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Noelvi Marte in today's matchup. Noelvi Marte hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and will be challenged by MLB's 3rd-deepest CF fences today. Noelvi Marte will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Over the last week, Noelvi Marte's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal mark of 91 mph to 87.3 mph.

Gabriel Moreno Total Hits Props • Arizona

Gabriel Moreno
G. Moreno
catcher C • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Gabriel Moreno has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (91% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Gabriel Moreno will have the upper hand today.

Gabriel Moreno logo

Gabriel Moreno

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Gabriel Moreno has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (91% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Gabriel Moreno will have the upper hand today.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Total Hits Props • Arizona

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
L. Gurriel Jr.
left outfield LF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will have an edge in today's game.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. logo

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will have an edge in today's game.

Ildemaro Vargas Total Hits Props • Arizona

Ildemaro Vargas
I. Vargas
second base 2B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Extreme groundball hitters like Ildemaro Vargas tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Andrew Abbott. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Ildemaro Vargas will hold that advantage today. Ildemaro Vargas has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 89.4-mph average to last year's 86.7-mph EV.

Ildemaro Vargas logo

Ildemaro Vargas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Extreme groundball hitters like Ildemaro Vargas tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Andrew Abbott. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Ildemaro Vargas will hold that advantage today. Ildemaro Vargas has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 89.4-mph average to last year's 86.7-mph EV.

Blaze Alexander Total Hits Props • Arizona

Blaze Alexander
B. Alexander
shortstop SS • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blaze Alexander in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Blaze Alexander will have the upper hand in today's game. Blaze Alexander will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Blaze Alexander logo

Blaze Alexander

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blaze Alexander in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Blaze Alexander will have the upper hand in today's game. Blaze Alexander will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Cincinnati Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 MLBFan8848 4-6-0 +16975
2 samua 4-6-0 +16620
3 theSleeper 5-5-0 +15590
4 sprtnt1 7-3-0 +14035
5 northlv6238 8-1-1 +13865
6 uncle_Pasha_DRW 4-5-1 +13531
7 ASDFJKL123 5-4-1 +13198
8 stranger28 8-2-0 +13139
9 IronCity1 5-4-1 +13060
10 FAMCOLLECTOR 6-4-0 +12725
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Arizona Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 anya 7-3-0 +19170
2 PlusOdds 3-6-1 +17545
3 Bassboy7276 6-4-0 +15647
4 uncle_Pasha_DRW 4-5-1 +13772
5 vitom 6-3-1 +13655
6 mccabecj 4-6-0 +13555
7 timstutler25 4-6-0 +12860
8 drizrazz 5-3-2 +12715
9 hoody 8-2-0 +12370
10 Brayy_Wyatt 5-5-0 +12265
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