Cincinnati @ Arizona picks
Chase Field
CIN vs AZ Picks
MLB Picks
Strikeouts Thrown

Nabil Crismatt u3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-120)
Projection 2.9 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nabil Crismatt in the 4th percentile as it relates to his strikeout talent.. Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Nabil Crismatt is projected to throw 74 pitches in today's game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 2nd-least of the day.. Chase Field projects as the #25 field in the league for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.
Total RBIs

Elly De La Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in MLB for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his better side against Jalen Beeks today.
Total RBIs

Ketel Marte o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Ketel Marte projects as the 10th-best hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Ketel Marte will get to bat from his good side against Andrew Abbott today.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Ketel Marte will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs

Corbin Carroll o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in MLB for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Corbin Carroll will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Blaze Alexander o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blaze Alexander in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Blaze Alexander will have the upper hand in today's game.. Blaze Alexander will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Noelvi Marte o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Noelvi Marte has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (76% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Noelvi Marte has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 89.2-mph average to last year's 87-mph average.
Total RBIs

Gavin Lux o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Gavin Lux is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in MLB for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Gavin Lux will have the handedness advantage against Nabil Crismatt today.
Total RBIs

Austin Hays o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Austin Hays is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Austin Hays has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94.8-mph average to last year's 91.6-mph mark.. Over the past two weeks, Austin Hays has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 25° compared to his seasonal mark of 16.3°.. Ranking in the 76th percentile, Austin Hays sits with a .315 BABIP this year.
Total RBIs

Spencer Steer o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Spencer Steer's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (15.6°) is significantly better than his 11.5° angle last season.. Spencer Steer's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 16.4% on the season to 36.7% in the last two weeks.
Total RBIs

Ke'Bryan Hayes o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. In the last 7 days, Ke'Bryan Hayes's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.5-mph over the course of the season to 98.2-mph in recent games.. Ke'Bryan Hayes's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 7.5% to 11.2%.. Over the last 7 days, Ke'Bryan Hayes's 38.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 11.2%.