Cincinnati @ Arizona picks
Chase Field
CIN vs AZ Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Spencer Steer o0.5 Total RBIs (+235)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The #2 stadium in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. This game is projected to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Spencer Steer has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.8-mph to 93.1-mph over the past 7 days.. Spencer Steer's launch angle recently (27.6° over the past two weeks) is significantly higher than his 19° seasonal figure.
Total RBIs

Gabriel Moreno o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Gabriel Moreno's batting average skill is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #2 stadium in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. This game is projected to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Gabriel Moreno will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Ketel Marte o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 10th-best batter in MLB.. Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The #2 park in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. This game is projected to have the 13th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Total RBIs

Elly De La Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best batter in the league when estimating his BABIP skill.. Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The #2 park in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. This game is projected to have the 10th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Total RBIs

Pavin Smith o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pavin Smith in the 79th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Pavin Smith is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game.. The #2 park in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. This game is projected to have the 10th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Pavin Smith will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Littell in today's matchup.
Outs Recorded

Zack Littell u17.5 Outs Recorded (-110)
Projection 15.7 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Zack Littell is projected to throw 84 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 8th-least of the day.. Chase Field profiles as the #3 ballpark in MLB for batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This game is projected to have the 10th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Zack Littell will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.. Zack Littell has relied on his slider 5.9% less often this season (34%) than he did last year (39.9%).
Total Bases

Adrian Del Castillo u1.5 Total Bases (-195)
Projection 0.8 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adrian Del Castillo in the 19th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Adrian Del Castillo has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (71% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this game.. In Major League Baseball, Chase Field's CF fences are the 3rd-deepest.. Chase Field has the 10th-tallest average fence height among all major league parks.. Adrian Del Castillo's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 89.4-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 85.5-mph in the past 7 days.
Total Bases

Alek Thomas u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 0.8 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Alek Thomas is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in today's game.. In Major League Baseball, Chase Field's CF fences are the 3rd-deepest.. Chase Field has the 10th-tallest average fence height among all major league parks.. Alek Thomas's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls of late (5.6° over the last 14 days) is significantly lower than his 9.1° seasonal angle.. Using Statcast metrics, Alek Thomas grades out in the 14th percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .289.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Matt McLain o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+125)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. The #2 stadium in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. This game is projected to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. In the past week's worth of games, Matt McLain's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.5% up to 25%.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-130)
Projection 2.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best batter in the league when estimating his BABIP skill.. Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The #2 park in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. This game is projected to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.