Miami @ Boston picks
Fenway Park
MIA vs BOS Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 95th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Kyle Stowers is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The #3 park in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB.. Kyle Stowers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Lucas Giolito in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Heriberto Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his home run talent, Heriberto Hernandez ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #3 park in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Heriberto Hernandez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Heriberto Hernandez has paced 27.2 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 88th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Heriberto Hernandez's 95.1-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable metric to study power) is in the 83rd percentile this year.
Total RBIs

Alex Bregman o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Alex Bregman is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The #3 park in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Alex Bregman pulls many of his flyballs (36.2% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Alex Bregman will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases

Carlos Narvaez u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.7 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Carlos Narvaez is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today.. The league's 2nd-highest fences can be found at Fenway Park.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for mound aces.. Batting from the same side that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Carlos Narvaez will not have the upper hand today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Graham Pauley o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-161)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The #3 park in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB.. Graham Pauley will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Lucas Giolito in today's game.. Graham Pauley has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.9-mph to 94.5-mph in the last week.. In the past 7 days, Graham Pauley's 70% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.7%.