New York @ Miami picks
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NYY vs MIA Picks
MLB Picks
Total Bases


Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
Since Judge last played on July 25, Bellinger leads the Yankees in extra-base hits (four) and co-leads the team with six RBI. In fact, Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in eight of his last nine outings and 2+ total bases in five of those games.
Total RBIs

Jazz Chisholm Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run ability, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.. Batting from the opposite that Janson Junk throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have an edge today.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has made notable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 10% rate last season to 18.7% this season.. Compared to last season, Jazz Chisholm Jr. has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 15.3% to 22.7% this season.
Total RBIs

Ben Rice o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Ben Rice ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ben Rice is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Ben Rice will have the handedness advantage against Janson Junk in today's matchup.. In the past week, Ben Rice's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 16.2% up to 22.2%.. In comparison to his 90-mph average last year, Ben Rice's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 92.9 mph.
Total RBIs

Otto Lopez o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Otto Lopez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. Batting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Otto Lopez will have an edge in today's matchup.. Otto Lopez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Giancarlo Stanton o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-115)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Giancarlo Stanton as the league's 5th-best home run hitter.. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The 7th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in LoanDepot Park.. Giancarlo Stanton has big-time power (99th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (29.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Janson Junk has a pitch-to-contact profile (13th percentile K%) — great news for Stanton.. Giancarlo Stanton has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93-mph to 95.4-mph in the past 14 days.
Total Bases

Ryan McMahon o0.5 Total Bases (-170)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 87th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Hitting from the opposite that Janson Junk throws from, Ryan McMahon will have an advantage today.. Ryan McMahon has strong power (87th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (30.2% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Janson Junk has a pitch-to-contact profile (9th percentile K%) — great news for McMahon.. Ryan McMahon hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Ryan McMahon has made significant gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 13.1% seasonal rate to 20.8% over the last 14 days.
Total Bases

Trent Grisham o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run skill, Trent Grisham ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trent Grisham is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.. Batting from the opposite that Janson Junk throws from, Trent Grisham will have the upper hand in today's game.. Trent Grisham hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Trent Grisham has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.7-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal average of 95.3-mph.
Total Bases

Jazz Chisholm Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run ability, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.. Batting from the opposite that Janson Junk throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have an edge today.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has made notable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 10% rate last season to 18.7% this season.. Compared to last season, Jazz Chisholm Jr. has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 15.3% to 22.7% this season.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Ben Rice o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-125)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Ben Rice ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ben Rice is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Ben Rice will have the handedness advantage against Janson Junk in today's matchup.. In the past week, Ben Rice's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 16.2% up to 22.2%.. In comparison to his 90-mph average last year, Ben Rice's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 92.9 mph.