Philadelphia @ Chicago picks
Rate Field
PHI vs CHW Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best hitter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The #5 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate today (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Bryce Harper has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences today.
Total RBIs

Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Miguel Vargas is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #5 stadium in the game for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This game is forecasted to have the most humid conditions of all games on the slate today (83%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Miguel Vargas pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs

Trea Turner o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his batting average skill, Trea Turner is projected as the 9th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trea Turner is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #5 stadium in the game for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest fences among all stadiums — generally good for dingers.. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate today (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.
Total RBIs

Colson Montgomery o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The #5 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate today (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Colson Montgomery will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker today.. Colson Montgomery pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences today.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.
Total RBIs

Max Kepler o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The #5 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. This game is forecasted to have the most humid conditions of all games on the slate today (83%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Max Kepler pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.3% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences today.. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 5th-best among every team today.. Max Kepler has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 6.2% rate last year to 11.7% this season.
Total RBIs

Lenyn Sosa o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #5 stadium in the game for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate today (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Lenyn Sosa has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Lenyn Sosa will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs

Bryson Stott o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. The #5 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. This game is forecasted to have the most humid conditions of all games on the slate today (83%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Bryson Stott has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 5th-best among every team today.
Total RBIs

J.T. Realmuto o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. J.T. Realmuto has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (63% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #5 stadium in the game for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate today (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Hitting from the same side that Adrian Houser throws from, J.T. Realmuto faces a tough challenge in today's game.
Total RBIs

Brandon Marsh o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 5th-best hitter in the game as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Brandon Marsh is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 97% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. The #5 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate today (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Brandon Marsh has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Kyle Schwarber o0.5 Total RBIs (+125)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run batter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The #5 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate today (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Kyle Schwarber has a ton of pop (100th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (27% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Tyler Alexander is a pitch-to-contact type (24th percentile K%) — great news for Schwarber.