Miami @ St. Louis Picks & Props

Brendan Donovan has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 8th-deepest LF fences in today's game.

Sandy Alcantara will hold the platoon advantage over Ivan Herrera today. Ivan Herrera has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 2nd-deepest RF fences in today's game.

Dingers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest among all parks. Batting from the same side that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Masyn Winn will not have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 93°. Hitting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Graham Pauley will have the upper hand today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 93°. Jesus Sanchez will hold the platoon advantage against Sonny Gray today.

Alec Burleson has gone under 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 93°. Kyle Stowers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sonny Gray today.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 93°. Eric Wagaman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. In the past week's worth of games, Eric Wagaman's 30% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15%. Despite posting a .271 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Eric Wagaman has had some very poor luck given the .031 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .302.

Otto Lopez's batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Otto Lopez is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 93°. Otto Lopez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 93°. Hitting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Liam Hicks will have an edge today. As it relates to plate discipline, Liam Hicks's talent is quite good, sporting a 1.34 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 93rd percentile.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 93°. Hitting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Victor Scott II will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Victor Scott II will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.5°, Victor Scott II has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 22.9° mark in the past 14 days.

Xavier Edwards has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.3%) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 8th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Xavier Edwards in today's game.

Dane Myers's BABIP talent is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 93°. Dane Myers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Dane Myers has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 6.8% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the past 7 days. Dane Myers has notched a .324 BABIP this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Agustin Ramirez ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Agustin Ramirez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 93°. In the past 7 days, Agustin Ramirez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.8% up to 17.6%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.272) provides evidence that Agustin Ramirez has suffered from bad luck this year with his .241 actual batting average.

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 93°. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage today. Nolan Arenado has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 91.8-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal average of 89.7-mph. Nolan Arenado has exhibited favorable plate discipline this year, checking in at the 90th percentile with a 1.39 K/BB rate.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 93°. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Pedro Pages will hold that advantage today.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Willson Contreras ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 93°. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Willson Contreras will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 93°. Jordan Walker hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jordan Walker will hold that advantage today.

Javier Sanoja has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Thomas Saggese has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.