Miami @ St. Louis picks
Busch Stadium
MIA vs STL Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 96th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. In the league, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 93°.. Kyle Stowers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sonny Gray today.
Total RBIs

Jesus Sanchez o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. In the league, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 93°.. Jesus Sanchez will hold the platoon advantage against Sonny Gray today.
Total RBIs

Otto Lopez o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Otto Lopez's batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Otto Lopez is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.. In the league, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 93°.. Otto Lopez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs

Agustin Ramirez o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his home run talent, Agustin Ramirez ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Agustin Ramirez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. In the league, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 93°.
Total RBIs

Alec Burleson o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Alec Burleson is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. In the league, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 93°.. Alec Burleson will have the handedness advantage over Sandy Alcantara in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Willson Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Willson Contreras ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Willson Contreras is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. In the league, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 93°.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Willson Contreras will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Graham Pauley o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-130)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
In the league, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 93°.. Hitting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Graham Pauley will have the upper hand today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Jesus Sanchez o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+110)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. In the league, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 93°.. Jesus Sanchez will hold the platoon advantage against Sonny Gray today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Kyle Stowers o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+115)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 96th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. In the league, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 93°.. Kyle Stowers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sonny Gray today.
Outs Recorded

Sonny Gray u17.5 Outs Recorded (+130)
Projection 17.2 (Under)
EV Model Rating
In the league, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 93°.. With 6 hitters of opposing handedness in the opposing team's projected offense, Sonny Gray will have a tough matchup while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's game.. Sonny Gray's fastball velocity has dropped 1.2 mph this year (91.1 mph) below where it was last season (92.3 mph).. Sonny Gray's cutter utilization has decreased by 6.1% from last year to this one (17.8% to 11.7%) .