Miami @ St. Louis Picks & Props

Busch Stadium has the 5th-most fair ground among all major league parks — generally bad for homers. Batting from the same side that Andre Pallante throws from, Agustin Ramirez will not have the upper hand today. Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Agustin Ramirez today. Agustin Ramirez's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 95.1-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 87.4-mph over the past week. In the last 14 days, Agustin Ramirez's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (4.4°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 8.3°.

Andre Pallante will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Otto Lopez in today's game. Extreme flyball batters like Otto Lopez tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Andre Pallante. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Otto Lopez today. Otto Lopez has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.4% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last 7 days. Otto Lopez's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 92.7-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 80.8-mph over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thomas Saggese in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 93°. Thomas Saggese will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Thomas Saggese has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last season's 27.86 ft/sec to 28.57 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric). Thomas Saggese grades out in the 98th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (26% rate since the start of last season).

Xavier Edwards has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.3%) and will be challenged by MLB's 8th-deepest LF fences today. Extreme flyball hitters like Xavier Edwards usually hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Andre Pallante. Xavier Edwards will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Xavier Edwards's exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 85.3-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 82-mph over the past two weeks. Compared to his seasonal figure of 8.7°, Xavier Edwards has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-2.8°) in the past two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 93°. Jordan Walker hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jordan Walker will hold that advantage today. Jordan Walker has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.3-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 91.9-mph EV.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 93°. Eric Wagaman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Eric Wagaman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, increasing from 15% on the season to 30% over the last week. Despite posting a .271 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Eric Wagaman has suffered from bad luck given the .031 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .302.

Heriberto Hernandez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 93°. In the last week, Heriberto Hernandez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 14.1% up to 22.2%. Heriberto Hernandez has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 100.2-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal EV of 95.6-mph.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 93°. Batting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Liam Hicks will have an edge today. In terms of plate discipline, Liam Hicks's skill is quite strong, sporting a 1.34 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 93rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Brendan Donovan is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 93°. Brendan Donovan will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Edward Cabrera today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Brendan Donovan will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 93°. Graham Pauley will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante in today's matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 93°. Kyle Stowers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante in today's matchup. Kyle Stowers has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 11% rate last year to 20.5% this season. Kyle Stowers has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 102.9-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal EV of 96.6-mph.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 93°. Jesus Sanchez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante in today's matchup. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Jesus Sanchez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.4-mph over the course of the season to 103.8-mph of late.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Willson Contreras is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 93°. Willson Contreras will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. In the last week, Willson Contreras's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 15.3% up to 33.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 93°. Dane Myers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Dane Myers has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 6.8% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the last 7 days. Checking in at the 82nd percentile, Dane Myers sits with a .324 BABIP this year.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 93°. Hitting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Victor Scott II will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Victor Scott II will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Victor Scott II's launch angle in recent games (22.9° over the last two weeks) is significantly better than his 13.5° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 93°. Batting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Alec Burleson will have the upper hand in today's game. Alec Burleson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Ivan Herrera is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 93°. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Ivan Herrera will hold that advantage in today's game. Ivan Herrera has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 99.2-mph average to last season's 91.5-mph average.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 93°. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Yohel Pozo will hold that advantage today.

Nolan Arenado is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 93°. Nolan Arenado will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Nolan Arenado's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.7-mph over the course of the season to 91.8-mph in recent games. Sporting a 1.39 K/BB rate this year, Nolan Arenado has shown strong plate discipline, checking in at the 90th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Masyn Winn is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 93°. Masyn Winn will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 93°. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Pedro Pages will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the last 7 days, Pedro Pages's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.3% up to 22.2%. Over the past week, Pedro Pages's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.4%. Despite posting a .243 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Pedro Pages has had bad variance on his side given the .036 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .279.