Miami @ St. Louis picks
Busch Stadium
MIA vs STL Picks
MLB Picks
MoneyLine

Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor
Total RBIs

Heriberto Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run ability, Heriberto Hernandez ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Heriberto Hernandez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 8th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 93°.. Heriberto Hernandez has big-time HR ability (82nd percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (30.9% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Andre Pallante has a pitch-to-contact profile (8th percentile K%) — great news for Hernandez.
Total RBIs

Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run skill, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Stowers is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 8th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 93°.. Kyle Stowers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Willson Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Willson Contreras is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 8th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the slate today at 95°.. Willson Contreras will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Ivan Herrera o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Ivan Herrera is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 8th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the slate today at 95°.. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Ivan Herrera will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs

Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 8th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 93°.. Jordan Walker hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jordan Walker will hold that advantage today.
Total Bases

Alec Burleson o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 8th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the slate today at 93°.. Batting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Alec Burleson will have the upper hand in today's game.
Total Bases

Willson Contreras o0.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Willson Contreras is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 8th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 93°.. Willson Contreras will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Total Bases

Ivan Herrera o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Ivan Herrera is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 8th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the slate today at 93°.. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Ivan Herrera will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases

Kyle Stowers o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run skill, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Stowers is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 8th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the slate today at 93°.. Kyle Stowers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Willson Contreras o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-110)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Willson Contreras is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 8th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 93°.. Willson Contreras will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.