Tampa Bay @ Cincinnati picks
Great American Ball Park
TB vs CIN Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Danny Jansen o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for run-scoring.. This game is predicted to have the 4th-highest humidity on the schedule today (77%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.. Danny Jansen pulls a lot of his flyballs (43.2% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds.. This season, Danny Jansen has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 93.9 mph compared to last year's 90.5 mph mark.
Total RBIs

Elly De La Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best hitter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for run-scoring.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his better side against Shane Baz in today's matchup.. Elly De La Cruz has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs

Junior Caminero o0.5 Total RBIs (+125)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run talent, Junior Caminero ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for run-scoring.. Junior Caminero pulls many of his flyballs (35% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds.
Total RBIs

Spencer Steer o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best park in baseball for run-scoring.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest weather on the slate at 89°.. Spencer Steer pulls many of his flyballs (36.4% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Spencer Steer will hold that advantage today.. Last year, Spencer Steer had an average launch angle of 11.5° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 15.8°.
Total RBIs

Matt McLain o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Matt McLain is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for run-scoring.. Matt McLain has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Matt McLain will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Tyler Stephenson o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for run-scoring.. This game is predicted to have the 4th-highest humidity on the schedule today (77%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.. Tyler Stephenson has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Tyler Stephenson will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Danny Jansen o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+120)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for run-scoring.. This game is predicted to have the 4th-highest humidity on the schedule today (77%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.. Danny Jansen pulls a lot of his flyballs (43.2% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds.. This season, Danny Jansen has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 93.9 mph compared to last year's 90.5 mph mark.
Outs Recorded

Brady Singer o15.5 Outs Recorded (+115)
Projection 16.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Throwing 93.4 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Brady Singer checks in at the 86th percentile.. The 5th-weakest projected lineup of the day in terms of overall hitting ability belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.. The Tampa Bay Rays have been the 10th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress in future games. It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Adam Hamari) calling pitches in today's game.. According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Jose Trevino (the Reds's expected catcher today) projects as an elite pitch framer.
Total Bases

Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run talent, Junior Caminero ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for run-scoring.. Junior Caminero pulls many of his flyballs (35% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Junior Caminero's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 31.5% to 38.1%.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Junior Caminero o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-145)
Projection 2.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run talent, Junior Caminero ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for run-scoring.. Junior Caminero pulls many of his flyballs (35% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds.