Tampa Bay @ Cincinnati Picks & Props

TB vs CIN Picks

MLB Picks
Total RBIs
Junior Caminero logo
Junior Caminero o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.9 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Junior Caminero is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best park in baseball for run-scoring.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-highest humidity on the schedule today at 79%.. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Junior Caminero will have an advantage today.
Total RBIs
Danny Jansen logo
Danny Jansen o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best park in baseball for run-scoring.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-highest humidity on the schedule today at 79%.. Danny Jansen will hold the platoon advantage over Andrew Abbott today.. Danny Jansen pulls a lot of his flyballs (43.3% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.. Out of every team playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.
Total RBIs
Christopher Morel logo
Christopher Morel o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Christopher Morel as baseball's 20th-best home run hitter.. Christopher Morel is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best park in baseball for run-scoring.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-highest humidity on the schedule today at 79%.. Christopher Morel will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in today's game.
Total RBIs
Elly De La Cruz logo
Elly De La Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best park in baseball for run-scoring.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest humidity on the schedule today at 81%.. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Ryan Pepiot in this game.
Total RBIs
Jonathan Aranda logo
Jonathan Aranda o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best park in baseball for run-scoring.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-highest humidity on the schedule today at 79%.. Jonathan Aranda pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs
Noelvi Marte logo
Noelvi Marte o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Noelvi Marte's batting average ability is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best park in baseball for run-scoring.. The 7th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-highest humidity on the schedule today at 79%.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Noelvi Marte will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Austin Hays logo
Austin Hays o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Austin Hays is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best park in baseball for run-scoring.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate.. Austin Hays pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.1% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Austin Hays will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs
Yandy Diaz logo
Yandy Diaz o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 6th-best batter in the game as it relates to his batting average ability.. Yandy Diaz is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best park in baseball for run-scoring.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-highest humidity on the schedule today at 79%.. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Yandy Diaz will have the upper hand in today's game.
Total RBIs
Matt McLain logo
Matt McLain o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Matt McLain is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best park in baseball for run-scoring.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-highest humidity on the schedule today at 79%.. Matt McLain has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.
Outs Recorded
Andrew Abbott logo
Andrew Abbott u17.5 Outs Recorded (+130)
Projection 15.7 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Willie Traynor projects as a Hitters Umpire and is likely to be umping today.. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #1 field in the league for home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 7th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest humidity on the schedule today at 81%.. With 8 hitters of opposing handedness in the opposing team's projected batting order, Andrew Abbott will have a tough matchup while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.
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TB vs CIN Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

63% picking Cincinnati

37%
63%

Total PicksTB 306, CIN 522

Moneyline
TB
CIN
Total

63% picking Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati to go Under

37%
63%

Total PicksTB 188, CIN 318

Total
Over
Under

TB vs CIN Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Taylor Walls Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Taylor Walls
T. Walls
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest humidity on the schedule today at 81%. The switch-hitting Taylor Walls will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Andrew Abbott. Taylor Walls has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

Taylor Walls logo

Taylor Walls

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest humidity on the schedule today at 81%. The switch-hitting Taylor Walls will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Andrew Abbott. Taylor Walls has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

Junior Caminero Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Junior Caminero
J. Caminero
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Junior Caminero is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest humidity on the schedule today at 81%. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Junior Caminero will have an advantage today.

Junior Caminero logo

Junior Caminero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Junior Caminero is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest humidity on the schedule today at 81%. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Junior Caminero will have an advantage today.

Danny Jansen Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Danny Jansen
D. Jansen
catcher C • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest humidity on the schedule today at 81%. Danny Jansen will hold the platoon advantage over Andrew Abbott today. Danny Jansen pulls a lot of his flyballs (43.3% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of every team playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

Danny Jansen logo

Danny Jansen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest humidity on the schedule today at 81%. Danny Jansen will hold the platoon advantage over Andrew Abbott today. Danny Jansen pulls a lot of his flyballs (43.3% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of every team playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

Yandy Diaz Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Yandy Diaz
Y. Diaz
first base 1B • Tampa Bay
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds

Yandy Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Yandy Diaz's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls in recent games (-4.2° in the last 14 days) is considerably lower than his 6.5° seasonal figure. Yandy Diaz has been unlucky this year, posting a .350 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .360 — a .010 discrepancy.

Yandy Diaz logo

Yandy Diaz

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Yandy Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Yandy Diaz's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls in recent games (-4.2° in the last 14 days) is considerably lower than his 6.5° seasonal figure. Yandy Diaz has been unlucky this year, posting a .350 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .360 — a .010 discrepancy.

Jonathan Aranda Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Jonathan Aranda
J. Aranda
first base 1B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best ballpark in the majors for LHB batting average. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest humidity on the schedule today at 81%. Jonathan Aranda pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Jonathan Aranda logo

Jonathan Aranda

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best ballpark in the majors for LHB batting average. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest humidity on the schedule today at 81%. Jonathan Aranda pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Noelvi Marte Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Noelvi Marte
N. Marte
third base 3B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Noelvi Marte's batting average ability is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. The 7th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest humidity on the schedule today at 81%. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Noelvi Marte will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Noelvi Marte logo

Noelvi Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Noelvi Marte's batting average ability is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. The 7th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest humidity on the schedule today at 81%. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Noelvi Marte will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jonny DeLuca Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Jonny DeLuca
J. DeLuca
center outfield CF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. The 7th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest humidity on the schedule today at 81%. Jonny DeLuca will hold the platoon advantage over Andrew Abbott in today's game. Out of every team playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

Jonny DeLuca logo

Jonny DeLuca

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. The 7th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest humidity on the schedule today at 81%. Jonny DeLuca will hold the platoon advantage over Andrew Abbott in today's game. Out of every team playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

Jose Caballero Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Jose Caballero
J. Caballero
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest humidity on the schedule today at 81%. Jose Caballero will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Abbott in today's matchup. Jose Caballero pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.2% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

Jose Caballero logo

Jose Caballero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest humidity on the schedule today at 81%. Jose Caballero will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Abbott in today's matchup. Jose Caballero pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.2% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

Jake Mangum Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Jake Mangum
J. Mangum
left outfield LF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Mangum in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Jake Mangum is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest humidity on the schedule today at 81%. Jake Mangum has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Jake Mangum logo

Jake Mangum

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Mangum in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Jake Mangum is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest humidity on the schedule today at 81%. Jake Mangum has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Matt McLain Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Matt McLain
M. McLain
second base 2B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Matt McLain is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest humidity on the schedule today at 81%. Matt McLain has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

Matt McLain logo

Matt McLain

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Matt McLain is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest humidity on the schedule today at 81%. Matt McLain has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

Elly De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Elly De La Cruz
E. De La Cruz
shortstop SS • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When assessing his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best ballpark in the majors for LHB batting average. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest humidity on the schedule today at 81%. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Ryan Pepiot in this game.

Elly De La Cruz logo

Elly De La Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best ballpark in the majors for LHB batting average. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest humidity on the schedule today at 81%. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Ryan Pepiot in this game.

Tyler Stephenson Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Tyler Stephenson
T. Stephenson
catcher C • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest humidity on the schedule today at 81%. Tyler Stephenson has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Tyler Stephenson will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Tyler Stephenson logo

Tyler Stephenson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest humidity on the schedule today at 81%. Tyler Stephenson has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Tyler Stephenson will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Christopher Morel Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Christopher Morel
C. Morel
left outfield LF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Christopher Morel is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest humidity on the schedule today at 81%. Christopher Morel will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in today's game.

Christopher Morel logo

Christopher Morel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Christopher Morel is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest humidity on the schedule today at 81%. Christopher Morel will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in today's game.

Jake Fraley Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Jake Fraley
J. Fraley
right outfield RF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best ballpark in the majors for LHB batting average. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest humidity on the schedule today at 81%. Jake Fraley will have the handedness advantage over Ryan Pepiot today. Jake Fraley pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Jake Fraley will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Jake Fraley logo

Jake Fraley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best ballpark in the majors for LHB batting average. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest humidity on the schedule today at 81%. Jake Fraley will have the handedness advantage over Ryan Pepiot today. Jake Fraley pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Jake Fraley will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

TJ Friedl Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

TJ Friedl
T. Friedl
center outfield CF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

TJ Friedl is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best ballpark in the majors for LHB batting average. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest humidity on the schedule today at 81%. TJ Friedl will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Pepiot today. TJ Friedl pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.7% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

TJ Friedl logo

TJ Friedl

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

TJ Friedl is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best ballpark in the majors for LHB batting average. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest humidity on the schedule today at 81%. TJ Friedl will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Pepiot today. TJ Friedl pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.7% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

Austin Hays Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Austin Hays
A. Hays
left outfield LF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Austin Hays is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest humidity on the schedule today at 81%. Austin Hays pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.1% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Austin Hays will hold that advantage today.

Austin Hays logo

Austin Hays

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Austin Hays is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest humidity on the schedule today at 81%. Austin Hays pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.1% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Austin Hays will hold that advantage today.

Gavin Lux Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Gavin Lux
G. Lux
left outfield LF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Gavin Lux is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best ballpark in the majors for LHB batting average. The 8th-shallowest RF fences in MLB are found in Great American Ball Park. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest humidity on the schedule today at 81%.

Gavin Lux logo

Gavin Lux

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Gavin Lux is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best ballpark in the majors for LHB batting average. The 8th-shallowest RF fences in MLB are found in Great American Ball Park. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest humidity on the schedule today at 81%.

Chandler Simpson Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Chandler Simpson
C. Simpson
center outfield CF • Tampa Bay
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds

Batting from the same side that Andrew Abbott throws from, Chandler Simpson will be in a tough position today. Chandler Simpson will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Chandler Simpson's true offensive skill to be a .295, indicating that he has been lucky this year given the .014 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .309 wOBA. This year, Chandler Simpson's 0% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 0th percentile among his peers.

Chandler Simpson logo

Chandler Simpson

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Batting from the same side that Andrew Abbott throws from, Chandler Simpson will be in a tough position today. Chandler Simpson will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Chandler Simpson's true offensive skill to be a .295, indicating that he has been lucky this year given the .014 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .309 wOBA. This year, Chandler Simpson's 0% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 0th percentile among his peers.

Spencer Steer Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Spencer Steer
S. Steer
first base 1B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest humidity on the schedule today at 81%. Spencer Steer pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.4% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Spencer Steer will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Spencer Steer logo

Spencer Steer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest humidity on the schedule today at 81%. Spencer Steer pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.4% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Spencer Steer will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Tampa Bay Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 funaki 7-3-0 +19280
2 pokersquirrel 2-7-1 +17755
3 kowalabear 8-2-0 +15775
4 vladislav1968 5-4-1 +15330
5 kenpitch 5-4-1 +13015
6 Smmiou07 7-2-1 +12845
7 adgadg222 5-4-1 +12550
8 Mexicali72 4-6-0 +11420
9 brandydump1 6-4-0 +11345
10 mm76ers 5-5-0 +11325
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Cincinnati Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 MLBFan8848 4-6-0 +16975
2 samua 4-6-0 +16620
3 theSleeper 5-5-0 +15590
4 sprtnt1 7-3-0 +14035
5 northlv6238 8-1-1 +13865
6 uncle_Pasha_DRW 4-5-1 +13531
7 ASDFJKL123 5-4-1 +13198
8 stranger28 8-2-0 +13139
9 IronCity1 5-4-1 +13060
10 FAMCOLLECTOR 6-4-0 +12725
All Reds Money Leaders
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