Tampa Bay @ Boston Picks & Props

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. The weather forecast projects the 4th-most suitable pitching weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Typically, hitters like Jake Mangum who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Brayan Bello. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest out of all the teams in action today.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. The weather forecast projects the 4th-most suitable pitching weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Given Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Yandy Diaz will be at a tremendous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate today. Extreme groundball hitters like Yandy Diaz are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Brayan Bello.

Fenway Park profiles as the #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Taylor Walls has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The #4 ballpark in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Ha-seong Kim hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Fenway Park profiles as the #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Matt Thaiss will hold the platoon advantage over Brayan Bello today... and moreover, Bello has a large platoon split. Matt Thaiss hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Fenway Park profiles as the #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 3rd-shallowest RF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Abraham Toro will hold that advantage today.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. The weather forecast projects the 4th-most suitable pitching weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Typically, batters like Chandler Simpson who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Brayan Bello. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest out of all the teams in action today.

The #4 ballpark in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In MLB, Fenway Park's LF fences are the shallowest. Connor Wong will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

When assessing his BABIP talent, Romy Gonzalez is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #4 ballpark in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Romy Gonzalez has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme flyball batters like Romy Gonzalez generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Ryan Pepiot. Romy Gonzalez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Jonathan Aranda is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park profiles as the #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jonathan Aranda will have the handedness advantage over Brayan Bello today... and even more favorably, Bello has a large platoon split. Jonathan Aranda pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roman Anthony in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Roman Anthony is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park profiles as the #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Roman Anthony will hold the platoon advantage over Ryan Pepiot in today's matchup. Roman Anthony has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Masataka Yoshida is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park profiles as the #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Batting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Masataka Yoshida will have an edge in today's matchup. Masataka Yoshida has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. Fenway Park profiles as the #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Batting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Jarren Duran will have the upper hand in today's game. Jarren Duran has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest LF fences today.

Trevor Story is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. The #4 ballpark in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Trevor Story hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Trevor Story will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Trevor Story has compiled a .322 BABIP this year, ranking in the 78th percentile.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Junior Caminero ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The #4 ballpark in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Junior Caminero pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.4% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The #4 ballpark in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Alex Bregman pulls many of his flyballs (35.6% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Alex Bregman will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Fenway Park profiles as the #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Pepiot today. Wilyer Abreu pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Wilyer Abreu will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 81st percentile when assessing his batting average skill. The #4 ballpark in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Ceddanne Rafaela hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Ceddanne Rafaela will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Fenway Park profiles as the #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Batting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Marcelo Mayer will have an edge in today's matchup. Marcelo Mayer has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Marcelo Mayer will hold that advantage in today's game.

Carlos Narvaez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The #4 ballpark in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In MLB, Fenway Park's LF fences are the shallowest. Carlos Narvaez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Sporting a .340 BABIP this year, Carlos Narvaez has performed in the 87th percentile.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.