Tampa Bay @ Boston picks

Brayan Bello has struggled against the Rays, allowing a .340/.394/.470 slash line over 97 at-bats. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay right-hander Ryan Pepiot has had his own issues against Boston, with Red Sox hitters posting an .850 OPS against him. Expect plenty of offense at Fenway Park. 

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Jonathan Aranda is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 3rd-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Jonathan Aranda will have the handedness advantage over Brayan Bello today... and even more favorably, Bello has a large platoon split.. Jonathan Aranda pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Alex Bregman is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 3rd-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Alex Bregman pulls many of his flyballs (35.6% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Alex Bregman will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

When assessing his BABIP talent, Romy Gonzalez is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 3rd-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Romy Gonzalez has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.. Extreme flyball batters like Romy Gonzalez generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Ryan Pepiot.. Romy Gonzalez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 7th-best batter in the game when estimating his batting average ability.. Yandy Diaz is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 3rd-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Yandy Diaz has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Checking in at the 80th percentile, Yandy Diaz has posted a .277 batting average this year.

Fenway Park has the 2nd-tallest fence height (on average) in MLB.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. The weather forecast projects the 3rd-most suitable pitching weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers.

As it relates to his home run talent, Chandler Simpson ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fenway Park has the 2nd-tallest fence height (on average) in MLB.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. The weather forecast projects the 3rd-most suitable pitching weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers.

As it relates to his home run talent, Jake Mangum ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jake Mangum is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup.. Fenway Park has the 2nd-tallest fence height (on average) in MLB.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. The weather forecast projects the 4th-most suitable pitching weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Jonathan Aranda is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 3rd-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Jonathan Aranda will have the handedness advantage over Brayan Bello today... and even more favorably, Bello has a large platoon split.. Jonathan Aranda pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.