Miami @ Cincinnati Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best park in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°. Heriberto Hernandez pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst among all the teams on the slate today. Ranking in the 81st percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.44 ft/sec this year, Heriberto Hernandez is notably fast.

Hitting from the same side that Nick Martinez throws from, Agustin Ramirez meets a tough challenge in today's matchup. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Agustin Ramirez in today's game. In the past 7 days, Agustin Ramirez's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 41%. Agustin Ramirez has compiled a .256 BABIP this year, checking in at the 13th percentile.

Dane Myers's BABIP ability is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best park in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average. In the league, Great American Ball Park's left field fences are the 7th-shallowest. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°. Extreme flyball batters like Dane Myers generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Nick Martinez.

Gavin Lux's BABIP ability is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gavin Lux is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #6 park in MLB for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all parks, Great American Ball Park's RF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°.

Xavier Edwards will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Xavier Edwards's launch angle in recent games (4.9° in the past two weeks) is considerably worse than his 9.1° seasonal figure. Xavier Edwards's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (6.5°) is a considerable dropoff from his 10.8° angle last year. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.262) may lead us to conclude that Xavier Edwards has been very fortunate this year with his .284 actual batting average. Using Statcast data, Xavier Edwards grades out in the 20th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .292.

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #6 park in MLB for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°. Will Benson will hold the platoon advantage over Eury Perez today. Will Benson pulls many of his flyballs (33.2% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Will Benson will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 76th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best park in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average. In the league, Great American Ball Park's left field fences are the 7th-shallowest. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°. Noelvi Marte will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Nick Martinez will have the handedness advantage against Otto Lopez in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Otto Lopez in today's matchup. In notching a .265 BABIP this year, Otto Lopez is ranked in the 20th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best park in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°. Tyler Stephenson has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Tyler Stephenson will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Austin Hays is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best park in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°. Austin Hays pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 83rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Austin Hays will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Matt McLain is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best park in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°. Matt McLain has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best park in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°. Spencer Steer pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.5% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Spencer Steer will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #6 park in MLB for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Liam Hicks will have the upper hand today. Liam Hicks has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst among all the teams on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best batter in the game as it relates to his BABIP skill. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #6 park in MLB for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Eury Perez in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best park in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average. In the league, Great American Ball Park's left field fences are the 7th-shallowest. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst among all the teams on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #6 park in MLB for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°. Jesus Sanchez will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Martinez in today's game.

TJ Friedl is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #6 park in MLB for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°. TJ Friedl will hold the platoon advantage over Eury Perez in today's matchup. TJ Friedl pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.2% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best park in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average. In the league, Great American Ball Park's left field fences are the 7th-shallowest. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst among all the teams on the slate today.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #6 park in MLB for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all parks, Great American Ball Park's RF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best park in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°. Jose Trevino pulls many of his flyballs (34.3% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Jose Trevino will hold that advantage in today's game.

Christian Encarnacion-Strand has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.