Miami @ Cincinnati picks
Great American Ball Park
MIA vs CIN Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Heriberto Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+275)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heriberto Hernandez in the 80th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #2 stadium in the league for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°.. Heriberto Hernandez pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst among all the teams on the slate today.
Total RBIs

Noelvi Marte o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 76th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #2 stadium in the league for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the league, Great American Ball Park's left field fences are the 7th-shallowest.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°.. Noelvi Marte will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Elly De La Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best batter in the game as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #2 stadium in the league for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Eury Perez in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Matt McLain o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Matt McLain is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #2 stadium in the league for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°.. Matt McLain has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Spencer Steer o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Great American Ball Park ranks as the #2 stadium in the league for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°.. Spencer Steer pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.5% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Spencer Steer will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Eric Wagaman o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Great American Ball Park ranks as the #2 stadium in the league for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the league, Great American Ball Park's left field fences are the 7th-shallowest.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst among all the teams on the slate today.. As it relates to his home runs, Eric Wagaman has experienced some negative variance this year. His 9.1 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been a fair amount lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 14.2.
Total RBIs

Connor Norby o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #2 stadium in the league for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the league, Great American Ball Park's left field fences are the 7th-shallowest.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst among all the teams on the slate today.
Total RBIs

Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his home run ability, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #2 stadium in the league for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all parks, Great American Ball Park's RF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Heriberto Hernandez o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-165)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heriberto Hernandez in the 80th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #2 stadium in the league for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°.. Heriberto Hernandez pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst among all the teams on the slate today.
Outs Recorded

Nick Martinez u17.5 Outs Recorded (+115)
Projection 16.6 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Great American Ball Park grades out as the #1 stadium in the league for home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the league, Great American Ball Park's left field fences are the 7th-shallowest.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°.. Nick Martinez is an extreme flyball pitcher (35.1% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #1 HR venue in Major League Baseball in this game.. Because groundball batters have a significant advantage over flyball pitchers, Nick Martinez and his 35.1% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a hard position in this outing facing 3 opposing GB batters.