Miami @ Arizona picks
Chase Field
MIA vs AZ Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Eric Wagaman o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Eric Wagaman is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Chase Field profiles as the #2 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Batting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Eric Wagaman will have an edge today.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (15.0) provides evidence that Eric Wagaman has suffered from bad luck this year with his 9.9 actual HR/600.
Total RBIs

Agustin Ramirez o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Agustin Ramirez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. Chase Field profiles as the #2 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Agustin Ramirez will hold the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez today.. Over the past week, Agustin Ramirez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.1% up to 23.1%.. In the last week, Agustin Ramirez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.5-mph over the course of the season to 104.8-mph recently.
Total RBIs

Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+115)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Eugenio Suarez projects as the 16th-best home run hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. Chase Field profiles as the #2 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Eugenio Suarez has a ton of pop (98th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (27.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Cal Quantrill has a pitch-to-contact profile (18th percentile K%) — great news for Suarez.. Eugenio Suarez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Connor Norby o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Chase Field profiles as the #2 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Connor Norby will hold the platoon advantage over Eduardo Rodriguez in today's game.. Over the last two weeks, Connor Norby's 55.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48%.. When it comes to his home runs, Connor Norby has had some very poor luck this year. His 10.6 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been considerably lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 18.5.
Outs Recorded

Cal Quantrill u14.5 Outs Recorded (+136)
Projection 14.4 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Cal Quantrill in the 6th percentile when estimating his overall pitching talent.. Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Cal Quantrill is projected to throw 85 pitches in today's outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 4th-least of all pitchers on the slate today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in baseball for base hits.. Given that groundball hitters hold a big advantage over flyball pitchers, Cal Quantrill and his 33.3% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a tough position in this outing matching up with 3 opposing GB batters.. Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Cal Quantrill in today's matchup.
Total Bases

Eric Wagaman o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Eric Wagaman is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Chase Field profiles as the #2 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Batting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Eric Wagaman will have an edge today.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (15.0) provides evidence that Eric Wagaman has suffered from bad luck this year with his 9.9 actual HR/600.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Agustin Ramirez o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-118)
Projection 2.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Agustin Ramirez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. Chase Field profiles as the #2 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Agustin Ramirez will hold the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez today.. Over the past week, Agustin Ramirez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.1% up to 23.1%.. In the last week, Agustin Ramirez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.5-mph over the course of the season to 104.8-mph recently.
Total Bases

Randal Grichuk o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 82nd percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Chase Field profiles as the #2 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Randal Grichuk will hold that advantage in today's game.. Randal Grichuk has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.1-mph to 96.6-mph in the past week.. Randal Grichuk has had some very poor luck with his home runs since the start of last season; his 21.8 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is quite a bit lower than his 30.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
JW
Jack Winkler o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-150)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Chase Field profiles as the #2 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Jack WInkler will hold the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez in today's matchup.
Total Bases

Agustin Ramirez o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Agustin Ramirez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. Chase Field profiles as the #2 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Agustin Ramirez will hold the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez today.. Over the past week, Agustin Ramirez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.1% up to 23.1%.. In the last week, Agustin Ramirez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.5-mph over the course of the season to 104.8-mph recently.