Miami @ Arizona Picks & Props

MIA vs AZ Picks

MLB Picks
Total RBIs
Agustin Ramirez logo
Agustin Ramirez o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Agustin Ramirez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. Chase Field profiles as the #2 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Agustin Ramirez will hold the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez today.. Over the past week, Agustin Ramirez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.1% up to 23.1%.. In the last week, Agustin Ramirez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.5-mph over the course of the season to 104.8-mph recently.
Total RBIs
Eric Wagaman logo
Eric Wagaman o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Eric Wagaman is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Chase Field profiles as the #2 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Batting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Eric Wagaman will have an edge today.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (15.0) provides evidence that Eric Wagaman has suffered from bad luck this year with his 9.9 actual HR/600.
Total RBIs
Connor Norby logo
Connor Norby o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Chase Field profiles as the #2 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Connor Norby will hold the platoon advantage over Eduardo Rodriguez in today's game.. Over the last two weeks, Connor Norby's 55.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48%.. When it comes to his home runs, Connor Norby has had some very poor luck this year. His 10.6 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been considerably lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 18.5.
Total RBIs
Eugenio Suarez logo
Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+110)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Eugenio Suarez projects as the 16th-best home run hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. Chase Field profiles as the #2 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Eugenio Suarez has a ton of pop (98th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (27.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Cal Quantrill has a pitch-to-contact profile (18th percentile K%) — great news for Suarez.. Eugenio Suarez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Ketel Marte logo
Ketel Marte o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Ketel Marte projects as the 11th-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best venue in MLB for LHB batting average.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Ketel Marte will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Randal Grichuk logo
Randal Grichuk o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 82nd percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Chase Field profiles as the #2 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Randal Grichuk will hold that advantage in today's game.. Randal Grichuk has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.1-mph to 96.6-mph in the past week.. Randal Grichuk has had some very poor luck with his home runs since the start of last season; his 21.8 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is quite a bit lower than his 30.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Outs Recorded
Cal Quantrill logo
Cal Quantrill u14.5 Outs Recorded (+146)
Projection 14.4 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Cal Quantrill in the 6th percentile when estimating his overall pitching talent.. Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Cal Quantrill is projected to throw 85 pitches in today's outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 4th-least of all pitchers on the slate today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in baseball for base hits.. Given that groundball hitters hold a big advantage over flyball pitchers, Cal Quantrill and his 33.3% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a tough position in this outing matching up with 3 opposing GB batters.. Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Cal Quantrill in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Pavin Smith logo
Pavin Smith u1.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 0.8 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
This year, Pavin Smith has been pinch hit for in 31% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.. In the league, Chase Field's CF fences are the 3rd-deepest.. Among all major league stadiums, the 10th-highest average fence height are at Chase Field.. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching.. The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the 5th-strongest out of every team on the slate today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Agustin Ramirez logo
Agustin Ramirez o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-115)
Projection 2.3 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Agustin Ramirez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. Chase Field profiles as the #2 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Agustin Ramirez will hold the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez today.. Over the past week, Agustin Ramirez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.1% up to 23.1%.. In the last week, Agustin Ramirez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.5-mph over the course of the season to 104.8-mph recently.
Total Bases
Agustin Ramirez logo
Agustin Ramirez o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Agustin Ramirez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. Chase Field profiles as the #2 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Agustin Ramirez will hold the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez today.. Over the past week, Agustin Ramirez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.1% up to 23.1%.. In the last week, Agustin Ramirez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.5-mph over the course of the season to 104.8-mph recently.
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MIA vs AZ Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

66% picking Arizona

34%
66%

Total PicksMIA 251, AZ 490

Moneyline
MIA
AZ
Total

65% picking Miami vs Arizona to go Over

65%
35%

Total PicksMIA 315, AZ 171

Total
Over
Under

MIA vs AZ Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ketel Marte Total Hits Props • Arizona

Ketel Marte
K. Marte
second base 2B • Arizona
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching. The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side (0) today against Cal Quantrill Ketel Marte pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.7% — 94th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-deepest RF fences in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the 2nd-strongest out of every team on the slate today. When it comes to his batting average, Ketel Marte has had positive variance on his side this year. His .307 figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .268.

Ketel Marte logo

Ketel Marte

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching. The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side (0) today against Cal Quantrill Ketel Marte pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.7% — 94th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-deepest RF fences in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the 2nd-strongest out of every team on the slate today. When it comes to his batting average, Ketel Marte has had positive variance on his side this year. His .307 figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .268.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Total Hits Props • Arizona

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
L. Gurriel Jr.
left outfield LF • Arizona
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

In the league, Chase Field's CF fences are the 3rd-deepest. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching. Batting from the same side that Cal Quantrill throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will have a tough challenge in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the 2nd-strongest out of every team on the slate today. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph dropping to 84.9-mph in the last 7 days.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. logo

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

In the league, Chase Field's CF fences are the 3rd-deepest. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching. Batting from the same side that Cal Quantrill throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will have a tough challenge in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the 2nd-strongest out of every team on the slate today. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph dropping to 84.9-mph in the last 7 days.

Connor Norby Total Hits Props • Miami

Connor Norby
C. Norby
third base 3B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Chase Field profiles as the #2 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Connor Norby will hold the platoon advantage over Eduardo Rodriguez in today's game. Over the last two weeks, Connor Norby's 55.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48%.

Connor Norby logo

Connor Norby

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Chase Field profiles as the #2 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Connor Norby will hold the platoon advantage over Eduardo Rodriguez in today's game. Over the last two weeks, Connor Norby's 55.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48%.

Xavier Edwards Total Hits Props • Miami

Xavier Edwards
X. Edwards
shortstop SS • Miami
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching. As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Xavier Edwards will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side against Eduardo Rodriguez in today's matchup. Xavier Edwards has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.9%) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 3rd-deepest RF fences today. Xavier Edwards will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Xavier Edwards's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (5.7°) is considerably worse than his 10.8° mark last year.

Xavier Edwards logo

Xavier Edwards

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching. As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Xavier Edwards will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side against Eduardo Rodriguez in today's matchup. Xavier Edwards has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.9%) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 3rd-deepest RF fences today. Xavier Edwards will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Xavier Edwards's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (5.7°) is considerably worse than his 10.8° mark last year.

Jose Herrera Total Hits Props • Arizona

Jose Herrera
J. Herrera
catcher C • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best venue in MLB for LHB batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hitters such as Jose Herrera with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Cal Quantrill who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jose Herrera will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jose Herrera has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 1.4% seasonal rate to 9.1% in the past week's worth of games.

Jose Herrera logo

Jose Herrera

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best venue in MLB for LHB batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hitters such as Jose Herrera with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Cal Quantrill who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jose Herrera will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jose Herrera has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 1.4% seasonal rate to 9.1% in the past week's worth of games.

Agustin Ramirez Total Hits Props • Miami

Agustin Ramirez
A. Ramirez
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Agustin Ramirez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Chase Field profiles as the #2 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Agustin Ramirez will hold the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez today. Over the past week, Agustin Ramirez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.1% up to 23.1%.

Agustin Ramirez logo

Agustin Ramirez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Agustin Ramirez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Chase Field profiles as the #2 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Agustin Ramirez will hold the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez today. Over the past week, Agustin Ramirez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.1% up to 23.1%.

Jack Winkler Total Hits Props • Miami

Jack Winkler
J. Winkler
second base 2B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Chase Field profiles as the #2 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Jack WInkler will hold the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez in today's matchup.

Jack Winkler logo

Jack Winkler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Chase Field profiles as the #2 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Jack WInkler will hold the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez in today's matchup.

Alek Thomas Total Hits Props • Arizona

Alek Thomas
A. Thomas
center outfield CF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best venue in MLB for LHB batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Alek Thomas will have the handedness advantage over Cal Quantrill today. Batters such as Alek Thomas with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Cal Quantrill who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Alek Thomas will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Alek Thomas logo

Alek Thomas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best venue in MLB for LHB batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Alek Thomas will have the handedness advantage over Cal Quantrill today. Batters such as Alek Thomas with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Cal Quantrill who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Alek Thomas will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Javier Sanoja Total Hits Props • Miami

Javier Sanoja
J. Sanoja
second base 2B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Javier Sanoja's batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chase Field profiles as the #2 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Javier Sanoja will have the upper hand in today's game. Extreme groundball batters like Javier Sanoja tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Eduardo Rodriguez.

Javier Sanoja logo

Javier Sanoja

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Javier Sanoja's batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chase Field profiles as the #2 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Javier Sanoja will have the upper hand in today's game. Extreme groundball batters like Javier Sanoja tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Eduardo Rodriguez.

Randal Grichuk Total Hits Props • Arizona

Randal Grichuk
R. Grichuk
right outfield RF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Chase Field profiles as the #2 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Randal Grichuk will hold that advantage in today's game. Randal Grichuk has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.1-mph to 96.6-mph in the past week.

Randal Grichuk logo

Randal Grichuk

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Chase Field profiles as the #2 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Randal Grichuk will hold that advantage in today's game. Randal Grichuk has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.1-mph to 96.6-mph in the past week.

Otto Lopez Total Hits Props • Miami

Otto Lopez
O. Lopez
second base 2B • Miami
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds

The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching. Otto Lopez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Otto Lopez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Over the last 7 days, Otto Lopez's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7% down to 0%. Over the last 14 days, Otto Lopez's 7.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.9%.

Otto Lopez logo

Otto Lopez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching. Otto Lopez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Otto Lopez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Over the last 7 days, Otto Lopez's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7% down to 0%. Over the last 14 days, Otto Lopez's 7.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.9%.

Eric Wagaman Total Hits Props • Miami

Eric Wagaman
E. Wagaman
first base 1B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Eric Wagaman is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Chase Field profiles as the #2 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Eric Wagaman will have an edge today.

Eric Wagaman logo

Eric Wagaman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Eric Wagaman is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Chase Field profiles as the #2 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Eric Wagaman will have an edge today.

Nick Fortes Total Hits Props • Miami

Nick Fortes
N. Fortes
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Chase Field profiles as the #2 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Nick Fortes will have the handedness advantage over Eduardo Rodriguez in today's game. In comparison to his 84.1-mph average last year, Nick Fortes's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 87.2 mph.

Nick Fortes logo

Nick Fortes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Chase Field profiles as the #2 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Nick Fortes will have the handedness advantage over Eduardo Rodriguez in today's game. In comparison to his 84.1-mph average last year, Nick Fortes's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 87.2 mph.

Eugenio Suarez Total Hits Props • Arizona

Eugenio Suarez
E. Suarez
third base 3B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Chase Field profiles as the #2 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Eugenio Suarez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Eugenio Suarez logo

Eugenio Suarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Chase Field profiles as the #2 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Eugenio Suarez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Pavin Smith Total Hits Props • Arizona

Pavin Smith
P. Smith
first base 1B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pavin Smith in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Pavin Smith is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best venue in MLB for LHB batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Cal Quantrill throws from, Pavin Smith will have an edge in today's game.

Pavin Smith logo

Pavin Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pavin Smith in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Pavin Smith is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best venue in MLB for LHB batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Cal Quantrill throws from, Pavin Smith will have an edge in today's game.

Jake McCarthy Total Hits Props • Arizona

Jake McCarthy
J. McCarthy
center outfield CF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Jake McCarthy's batting average ability is projected to be in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best venue in MLB for LHB batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Jake McCarthy will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cal Quantrill in today's matchup. Batters such as Jake McCarthy with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Cal Quantrill who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Jake McCarthy logo

Jake McCarthy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jake McCarthy's batting average ability is projected to be in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best venue in MLB for LHB batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Jake McCarthy will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cal Quantrill in today's matchup. Batters such as Jake McCarthy with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Cal Quantrill who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Geraldo Perdomo Total Hits Props • Arizona

Geraldo Perdomo
G. Perdomo
shortstop SS • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Geraldo Perdomo is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best venue in MLB for LHB batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Geraldo Perdomo will hold that advantage in today's game. Geraldo Perdomo has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 90.5-mph average to last season's 88.1-mph EV.

Geraldo Perdomo logo

Geraldo Perdomo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Geraldo Perdomo is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best venue in MLB for LHB batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Geraldo Perdomo will hold that advantage in today's game. Geraldo Perdomo has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 90.5-mph average to last season's 88.1-mph EV.

Dane Myers Total Hits Props • Miami

Dane Myers
D. Myers
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When it comes to his BABIP talent, Dane Myers is projected as the 17th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Dane Myers has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (84% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Chase Field profiles as the #2 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Dane Myers will have the handedness advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez in today's matchup.

Dane Myers logo

Dane Myers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his BABIP talent, Dane Myers is projected as the 17th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Dane Myers has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (84% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Chase Field profiles as the #2 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Dane Myers will have the handedness advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez in today's matchup.

Heriberto Hernandez Total Hits Props • Miami

Heriberto Hernandez
H. Hernandez
left outfield LF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Heriberto Hernandez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Chase Field profiles as the #2 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Heriberto Hernandez will have the handedness advantage over Eduardo Rodriguez in today's game. Heriberto Hernandez has been hot recently, posting a .384 wOBA over the past two weeks.

Heriberto Hernandez logo

Heriberto Hernandez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Heriberto Hernandez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Chase Field profiles as the #2 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Heriberto Hernandez will have the handedness advantage over Eduardo Rodriguez in today's game. Heriberto Hernandez has been hot recently, posting a .384 wOBA over the past two weeks.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Miami Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 MatroxSD 7-3-0 +33200
2 JayAcosta20 5-5-0 +28490
3 chuluckus 3-6-1 +28010
4 Alexandr1966 6-4-0 +26360
5 northlv6238 6-3-1 +23335
6 ewatson15 6-4-0 +22000
7 Forkball1 7-3-0 +20245
8 purple_stars 6-4-0 +16950
9 dogeatdog 6-4-0 +16115
10 jwwong 8-2-0 +16110
All Marlins Money Leaders

Arizona Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 anya 7-3-0 +19170
2 PlusOdds 3-6-1 +17545
3 Bassboy7276 6-4-0 +15647
4 uncle_Pasha_DRW 4-5-1 +13772
5 vitom 6-3-1 +13655
6 mccabecj 4-6-0 +13555
7 timstutler25 4-6-0 +12860
8 drizrazz 5-3-2 +12715
9 hoody 8-2-0 +12370
10 Brayy_Wyatt 5-5-0 +12265
All Diamondbacks Money Leaders
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