Miami @ Arizona Picks & Props

MIA vs AZ Picks

MLB Picks
Game Prop
Miami Marlins logo Arizona Diamondbacks logo Any Runs Scored in 1st Inning? (Yes: -105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

The Diamondbacks are third in the majors in OPS (.788) and second in run first inning percentage (35.8%). Meanwhile, the Marlins are ninth in the majors in OPS on the road (.730). Both teams also have struggling starters. Miami's Sandy Alcantara has a 6.69 ERA with a 1.46 WHIP through 15 starts while Arizona's Brandon Pfaadt has a 5.69 ERA. Pfaadt has been even worse in the first inning where he has pitched to a 7.80 ERA with an OBA of .338.

Total RBIs
Connor Norby logo
Connor Norby o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Chase Field ranks as the #2 venue in the league for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the last 14 days, Connor Norby's 55.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48%.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (18.5) suggests that Connor Norby has had some very poor luck this year with his 10.6 actual HR/600.. Connor Norby has compiled a .337 BABIP this year, placing in the 86th percentile.
Total RBIs
Eric Wagaman logo
Eric Wagaman o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Chase Field ranks as the #2 venue in the league for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. In terms of his home runs, Eric Wagaman has experienced some negative variance this year. His 9.9 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a good deal lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 15.0.
Total RBIs
Otto Lopez logo
Otto Lopez o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Otto Lopez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. Chase Field ranks as the #2 venue in the league for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Extreme flyball bats like Otto Lopez tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Brandon Pfaadt.
Total RBIs
Jesus Sanchez logo
Jesus Sanchez o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.. The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Batting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have an edge in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball bats like Jesus Sanchez generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Brandon Pfaadt.
Total RBIs
Kyle Stowers logo
Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Stowers is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.. The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Kyle Stowers will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Kyle Stowers has made notable gains with his Barrel%, improving his 11% rate last year to 18.9% this year.
Total Bases
Jesus Sanchez logo
Jesus Sanchez o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.. The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Batting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have an edge in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball bats like Jesus Sanchez generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Brandon Pfaadt.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Jesus Sanchez logo
Jesus Sanchez o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-135)
Projection 2.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.. The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Batting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have an edge in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball bats like Jesus Sanchez generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Brandon Pfaadt.
Total Bases
Connor Norby logo
Connor Norby o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Chase Field ranks as the #2 venue in the league for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the last 14 days, Connor Norby's 55.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48%.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (18.5) suggests that Connor Norby has had some very poor luck this year with his 10.6 actual HR/600.. Connor Norby has compiled a .337 BABIP this year, placing in the 86th percentile.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Eric Wagaman logo
Eric Wagaman o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+100)
Projection 2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Chase Field ranks as the #2 venue in the league for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. In terms of his home runs, Eric Wagaman has experienced some negative variance this year. His 9.9 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a good deal lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 15.0.
Total Bases
Eric Wagaman logo
Eric Wagaman o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Chase Field ranks as the #2 venue in the league for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. In terms of his home runs, Eric Wagaman has experienced some negative variance this year. His 9.9 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a good deal lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 15.0.
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MIA vs AZ Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

62% picking Arizona

38%
62%

Total PicksMIA 284, AZ 460

Moneyline
MIA
AZ
Moneyline
Total

61% picking Miami vs Arizona to go Over

61%
39%

Total PicksMIA 291, AZ 187

Total
Over
Under

MIA vs AZ Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Agustin Ramirez Total Hits Props • Miami

Agustin Ramirez
A. Ramirez
catcher C • Miami
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The 3rd-deepest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Chase Field. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Brandon Pfaadt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Agustin Ramirez today. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 4th-strongest among every team in action today. Agustin Ramirez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.

Agustin Ramirez logo

Agustin Ramirez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The 3rd-deepest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Chase Field. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Brandon Pfaadt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Agustin Ramirez today. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 4th-strongest among every team in action today. Agustin Ramirez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.

Liam Hicks Total Hits Props • Miami

Liam Hicks
L. Hicks
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Liam Hicks will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Over the past 14 days, Liam Hicks's 75% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.6%. Liam Hicks grades out in the 99th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (23.3% rate this year).

Liam Hicks logo

Liam Hicks

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Liam Hicks will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Over the past 14 days, Liam Hicks's 75% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.6%. Liam Hicks grades out in the 99th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (23.3% rate this year).

Jesus Sanchez Total Hits Props • Miami

Jesus Sanchez
J. Sanchez
right outfield RF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have an edge in today's matchup.

Jesus Sanchez logo

Jesus Sanchez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have an edge in today's matchup.

Dane Myers Total Hits Props • Miami

Dane Myers
D. Myers
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Dane Myers is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chase Field ranks as the #2 venue in the league for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Extreme flyball batters like Dane Myers generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Brandon Pfaadt. Dane Myers has put up a .348 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 78th percentile.

Dane Myers logo

Dane Myers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Dane Myers is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chase Field ranks as the #2 venue in the league for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Extreme flyball batters like Dane Myers generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Brandon Pfaadt. Dane Myers has put up a .348 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 78th percentile.

Connor Norby Total Hits Props • Miami

Connor Norby
C. Norby
third base 3B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Chase Field ranks as the #2 venue in the league for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. In the last 14 days, Connor Norby's 55.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48%. Connor Norby has compiled a .337 BABIP this year, placing in the 86th percentile.

Connor Norby logo

Connor Norby

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Chase Field ranks as the #2 venue in the league for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. In the last 14 days, Connor Norby's 55.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48%. Connor Norby has compiled a .337 BABIP this year, placing in the 86th percentile.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Total Hits Props • Arizona

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
L. Gurriel Jr.
left outfield LF • Arizona
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The 3rd-deepest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Chase Field. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Batting from the same side that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will have a tough matchup in today's game. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph dropping to 84.9-mph in the last 7 days. Posting a .254 BABIP this year, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has performed in the 14th percentile.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. logo

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The 3rd-deepest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Chase Field. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Batting from the same side that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will have a tough matchup in today's game. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph dropping to 84.9-mph in the last 7 days. Posting a .254 BABIP this year, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has performed in the 14th percentile.

Otto Lopez Total Hits Props • Miami

Otto Lopez
O. Lopez
second base 2B • Miami
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Brandon Pfaadt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Otto Lopez in today's matchup. Otto Lopez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 3rd-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 4th-strongest among every team in action today. Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Otto Lopez in today's game.

Otto Lopez logo

Otto Lopez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Brandon Pfaadt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Otto Lopez in today's matchup. Otto Lopez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 3rd-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 4th-strongest among every team in action today. Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Otto Lopez in today's game.

Xavier Edwards Total Hits Props • Miami

Xavier Edwards
X. Edwards
shortstop SS • Miami
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds

The 3rd-deepest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Chase Field. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 4th-strongest among every team in action today. Xavier Edwards will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Xavier Edwards's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (6.8°) is considerably worse than his 10.8° mark last season.

Xavier Edwards logo

Xavier Edwards

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

The 3rd-deepest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Chase Field. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 4th-strongest among every team in action today. Xavier Edwards will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Xavier Edwards's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (6.8°) is considerably worse than his 10.8° mark last season.

Eric Wagaman Total Hits Props • Miami

Eric Wagaman
E. Wagaman
first base 1B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Chase Field ranks as the #2 venue in the league for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

Eric Wagaman logo

Eric Wagaman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Chase Field ranks as the #2 venue in the league for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

Geraldo Perdomo Total Hits Props • Arizona

Geraldo Perdomo
G. Perdomo
shortstop SS • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Geraldo Perdomo will hold that advantage today. Geraldo Perdomo has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.5-mph average to last year's 88.1-mph EV.

Geraldo Perdomo logo

Geraldo Perdomo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Geraldo Perdomo will hold that advantage today. Geraldo Perdomo has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.5-mph average to last year's 88.1-mph EV.

Kyle Stowers Total Hits Props • Miami

Kyle Stowers
K. Stowers
right outfield RF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Stowers is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Kyle Stowers will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Kyle Stowers logo

Kyle Stowers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Stowers is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Kyle Stowers will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Randal Grichuk Total Hits Props • Arizona

Randal Grichuk
R. Grichuk
right outfield RF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Randal Grichuk ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Chase Field ranks as the #2 venue in the league for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Randal Grichuk will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Randal Grichuk has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.1-mph to 96.6-mph in the last week's worth of games.

Randal Grichuk logo

Randal Grichuk

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Randal Grichuk ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Chase Field ranks as the #2 venue in the league for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Randal Grichuk will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Randal Grichuk has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.1-mph to 96.6-mph in the last week's worth of games.

Ketel Marte Total Hits Props • Arizona

Ketel Marte
K. Marte
second base 2B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 11th-best hitter in MLB. Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Ketel Marte will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Ketel Marte logo

Ketel Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 11th-best hitter in MLB. Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Ketel Marte will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Eugenio Suarez Total Hits Props • Arizona

Eugenio Suarez
E. Suarez
third base 3B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. Chase Field ranks as the #2 venue in the league for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Extreme groundball batters like Eugenio Suarez generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Sandy Alcantara.

Eugenio Suarez logo

Eugenio Suarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. Chase Field ranks as the #2 venue in the league for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Extreme groundball batters like Eugenio Suarez generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Sandy Alcantara.

James McCann Total Hits Props • Arizona

James McCann
J. McCann
catcher C • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Chase Field ranks as the #2 venue in the league for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and James McCann will hold that advantage today. When it comes to his batting average, James McCann has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .235 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .272. James McCann grades out in the 87th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (19.5% rate since the start of last season).

James McCann logo

James McCann

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Chase Field ranks as the #2 venue in the league for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and James McCann will hold that advantage today. When it comes to his batting average, James McCann has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .235 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .272. James McCann grades out in the 87th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (19.5% rate since the start of last season).

Jake McCarthy Total Hits Props • Arizona

Jake McCarthy
J. McCarthy
center outfield CF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 77th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Jake McCarthy will have an edge in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jake McCarthy will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jake McCarthy logo

Jake McCarthy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 77th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Jake McCarthy will have an edge in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jake McCarthy will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jose Herrera Total Hits Props • Arizona

Jose Herrera
J. Herrera
catcher C • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Jose Herrera will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jose Herrera has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 1.4% seasonal rate to 9.1% in the last week. Jose Herrera has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 88.3-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal figure of 85.2-mph.

Jose Herrera logo

Jose Herrera

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Jose Herrera will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jose Herrera has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 1.4% seasonal rate to 9.1% in the last week. Jose Herrera has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 88.3-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal figure of 85.2-mph.

Alek Thomas Total Hits Props • Arizona

Alek Thomas
A. Thomas
center outfield CF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Alek Thomas will have an edge in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Alek Thomas will hold that advantage in today's game.

Alek Thomas logo

Alek Thomas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Alek Thomas will have an edge in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Alek Thomas will hold that advantage in today's game.

Pavin Smith Total Hits Props • Arizona

Pavin Smith
P. Smith
first base 1B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Pavin Smith ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pavin Smith is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Pavin Smith will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara in today's matchup.

Pavin Smith logo

Pavin Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Pavin Smith ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pavin Smith is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Pavin Smith will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara in today's matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Miami Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 MatroxSD 7-3-0 +33200
2 JayAcosta20 5-5-0 +28490
3 chuluckus 3-6-1 +28010
4 Alexandr1966 6-4-0 +26360
5 northlv6238 6-3-1 +23335
6 ewatson15 6-4-0 +22000
7 Forkball1 7-3-0 +20245
8 purple_stars 6-4-0 +16950
9 dogeatdog 6-4-0 +16115
10 jwwong 8-2-0 +16110
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Arizona Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 anya 7-3-0 +19170
2 PlusOdds 3-6-1 +17545
3 Bassboy7276 6-4-0 +15647
4 uncle_Pasha_DRW 4-5-1 +13772
5 vitom 6-3-1 +13655
6 mccabecj 4-6-0 +13555
7 timstutler25 4-6-0 +12860
8 drizrazz 5-3-2 +12715
9 hoody 8-2-0 +12370
10 Brayy_Wyatt 5-5-0 +12265
All Diamondbacks Money Leaders
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