Miami @ Arizona picks

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 10th-best batter in MLB.. Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.. Ketel Marte will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.. In the past week's worth of games, Ketel Marte's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 16.4% up to 38.1%.. Ketel Marte's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, rising from 16.4% on the season to 38.1% in the last week.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Jesus Sanchez will hold the platoon advantage over Merrill Kelly in today's game.. Jesus Sanchez has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 11.9% seasonal rate to 20% over the past two weeks.. Over the last week, Jesus Sanchez's 27.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 10.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pavin Smith in the 78th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Pavin Smith is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Hitting from the opposite that Eury Perez throws from, Pavin Smith will have an edge today.. Pavin Smith will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Pavin Smith's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls of late (21.8° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is a considerable increase over his 15.7° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eury Perez to throw 80 pitches in this game (6th-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. With 7 bats who hit from the other side in the opposing team's projected batting order, Eury Perez will have a tough matchup while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's matchup.. Given that groundball pitchers are hit hardest by flyball hitters, Eury Perez (41.3% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 3 FB hitters in Arizona's projected batting order.. Eury Perez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.. As a team, Arizona Diamondbacks hitters have performed well when assessing hitting balls in the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (between 23° and 34°), ranking 6th-best in Major League Baseball.

32% of the time that Pavin Smith has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.. Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report predicts the driest conditions of all games on the slate at 19%.. Pavin Smith's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 95.2-mph average last year has fallen off to 91.7-mph.. Pavin Smith has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .268 mark is a good deal higher than his .223 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Nick Fortes has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 86.9-mph average to last season's 84.1-mph EV.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 10th-best batter in MLB.. Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.. Ketel Marte will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.. In the past week's worth of games, Ketel Marte's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 16.4% up to 38.1%.. Ketel Marte's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, rising from 16.4% on the season to 38.1% in the last week.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Jesus Sanchez will hold the platoon advantage over Merrill Kelly in today's game.. Jesus Sanchez has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 11.9% seasonal rate to 20% over the past two weeks.. Over the last week, Jesus Sanchez's 27.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 10.1%.

Extreme groundball batters like Jose Herrera are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Eury Perez.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jose Herrera will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. In the past week's worth of games, Jose Herrera's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 1.4% up to 7.1%.. Jose Herrera's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, increasing from 19.7% on the season to 28.6% over the last week.