Arizona @ Chicago Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Miguel Vargas is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all stadiums. This game is expected to have the 5th-most humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Extreme flyball bats like Miguel Vargas tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Zac Gallen.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all stadiums. This game is expected to have the 5th-most humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (16.9° in the past two weeks) is a considerable increase over his 13.1° seasonal figure.

Luis Robert Jr.'s BABIP talent is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all stadiums. This game is expected to have the 5th-most humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Luis Robert Jr. will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. In the past 7 days, Luis Robert Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95-mph over the course of the season to 114.2-mph of late.

This game is expected to have the 5th-most humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Alek Thomas will have the handedness advantage over Sean Burke today. Alek Thomas has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Hitters such as Alek Thomas with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Sean Burke who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 10th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. This game is expected to have the 5th-most humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Ketel Marte pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.8% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Ketel Marte has made significant gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 15.7% seasonal rate to 27.3% over the last week.

Geraldo Perdomo is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all stadiums. This game is expected to have the 5th-most humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 13% to 20.5%. Geraldo Perdomo has notched a .346 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, ranking in the 81st percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

This game is expected to have the 5th-most humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Lenyn Sosa has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Lenyn Sosa will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Lenyn Sosa has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.6-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 91.5-mph average. There has been a significant improvement in Lenyn Sosa's launch angle from last season's 12.4° to 18.3° this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 79th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. This game is expected to have the 5th-most humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Randal Grichuk pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.9% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Randal Grichuk's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, increasing from 42.4% on the season to 52.4% over the past 14 days. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Randal Grichuk has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 115.5 mph (an advanced stat to measure power), ranking in the 90th percentile.

Mike Tauchman is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. This game is expected to have the 5th-most humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Mike Tauchman will have the upper hand in today's game. Mike Tauchman has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Mike Tauchman will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all stadiums. This game is expected to have the 5th-most humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Tim Tawa has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph to 91-mph in the past week. Tim Tawa has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .221 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .243 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

This game is expected to have the 5th-most humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. James McCann has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. James McCann has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .234 rate is a fair amount lower than his .272 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. James McCann grades out in the 88th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (19.9% rate since the start of last season). James McCann has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a crucial talent for batting average), checking in at the 91st percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pavin Smith in the 78th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Pavin Smith is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all stadiums. This game is expected to have the 5th-most humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Pavin Smith will hold the platoon advantage over Sean Burke in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 83rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Andrew Benintendi is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all stadiums. This game is expected to have the 5th-most humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Andrew Benintendi will have an edge in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase Meidroth in the 77th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Chase Meidroth is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. This game is expected to have the 5th-most humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Chase Meidroth has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Chase Meidroth will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Teel in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Kyle Teel is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. This game is expected to have the 5th-most humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Kyle Teel will have an edge today. Kyle Teel has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences today.

Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all stadiums. This game is expected to have the 5th-most humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Josh Rojas will have the handedness advantage over Zac Gallen in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Josh Rojas will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last week's worth of games, Josh Rojas's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 84.9-mph over the course of the season to 89.2-mph lately.

Ryan Noda has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (75% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. This game is expected to have the 5th-most humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Ryan Noda will hold the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen in today's game. Ryan Noda pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Ryan Noda will hold that advantage in today's matchup.