Arizona @ Chicago picks
Rate Field
AZ vs CHW Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Miguel Vargas is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #4 park in the majors for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all stadiums.. Extreme flyball bats like Miguel Vargas tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Zac Gallen.
Total RBIs

Pavin Smith o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run talent, Pavin Smith ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pavin Smith is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #4 venue in the league for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all stadiums.. Pavin Smith will hold the platoon advantage over Sean Burke in today's game.
Total RBIs

Ketel Marte o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 10th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #4 venue in the league for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Ketel Marte pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.8% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences today.. Ketel Marte has made significant gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 15.7% seasonal rate to 27.3% over the last week.
Total RBIs

Tim Tawa o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #4 park in the majors for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all stadiums.. Tim Tawa has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph to 91-mph in the past week.. Tim Tawa has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .221 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .243 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total RBIs

Randal Grichuk o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 82nd percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #4 park in the majors for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Randal Grichuk pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.9% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences today.. Randal Grichuk's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, increasing from 42.4% on the season to 52.4% over the past 14 days.. Randal Grichuk has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 22.0 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a good deal lower than his 30.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total Bases

Ketel Marte o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 10th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #4 venue in the league for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Ketel Marte pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.6% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences today.. Among every team playing today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Chicago White Sox.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Miguel Vargas o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+100)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Miguel Vargas is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #4 park in the majors for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all stadiums.. Extreme flyball bats like Miguel Vargas tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Zac Gallen.
Total Bases

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #4 park in the majors for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all stadiums.. Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (16.9° in the past two weeks) is a considerable increase over his 13.1° seasonal figure.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Randal Grichuk o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-105)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 82nd percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #4 park in the majors for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Randal Grichuk pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.9% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences today.. Randal Grichuk's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, increasing from 42.4% on the season to 52.4% over the past 14 days.. Randal Grichuk has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 22.0 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a good deal lower than his 30.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Ketel Marte o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160)
Projection 2.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 10th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #4 venue in the league for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Ketel Marte pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.8% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences today.. Ketel Marte has made significant gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 15.7% seasonal rate to 27.3% over the last week.