Arizona @ Chicago Picks & Props

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Ketel Marte will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side against Jordan Leasure today. Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ketel Marte in today's matchup. Ketel Marte's average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 90.7-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 87-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games. Ketel Marte has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .316 mark is a fair amount higher than his .270 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Andrew Benintendi is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. Hitting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Andrew Benintendi will have an edge today. Andrew Benintendi will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Luis Robert Jr.'s BABIP talent is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Luis Robert Jr. will hold that advantage in today's game. Luis Robert Jr. has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 114.2-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal EV of 95-mph. Luis Robert Jr.'s launch angle this year (19.5°) is a considerable increase over his 13.1° angle last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Teel in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. Hitting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Kyle Teel will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Kyle Teel will hold that advantage in today's game. Kyle Teel has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 5.3% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the last week.

Hitting from the opposite that Jordan Leasure throws from, Alek Thomas will have an edge in today's matchup. Alek Thomas has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Batters such as Alek Thomas with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Jordan Leasure who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Among every team playing today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox.

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. Josh Rojas will have the handedness advantage against Ryne Nelson in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Josh Rojas will hold that advantage in today's game. Josh Rojas has been unlucky this year, posting a .224 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .289 — a .065 gap.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase Meidroth in the 77th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Chase Meidroth is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Chase Meidroth has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme groundball hitters like Chase Meidroth tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Ryne Nelson. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Chase Meidroth will hold that advantage today.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Miguel Vargas is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. Miguel Vargas will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Miguel Vargas has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.5-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 90.3-mph average.

Mike Tauchman is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. Mike Tauchman will have the handedness advantage over Ryne Nelson in today's matchup. Mike Tauchman has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Mike Tauchman will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Mike Tauchman has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 6.9% seasonal rate to 15% in the last 14 days.

Lenyn Sosa has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Lenyn Sosa will hold that advantage today. Lenyn Sosa has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.6-mph to 94.1-mph over the last 14 days. There has been a significant improvement in Lenyn Sosa's launch angle from last year's 12.4° to 18° this year. Lenyn Sosa's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, going from 13.6% on the season to 37.5% over the past 14 days.

Edgar Quero's batting average skill is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Edgar Quero has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Edgar Quero will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Sporting a .346 BABIP this year, Edgar Quero is ranked in the 91st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. Among every team playing today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox. Compared to last season, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 15.1% to 18.2% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pavin Smith in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Pavin Smith is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. Pavin Smith will have the handedness advantage against Jordan Leasure in today's game. Among every team playing today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox.

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. Bats such as Jose Herrera with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Jordan Leasure who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Among every team playing today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox.

Ryan Noda is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Hitting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Ryan Noda will have an edge in today's game. Ryan Noda pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Ryan Noda will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past 7 days, Ryan Noda has displayed impressive power, recording a a 20% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Randal Grichuk pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.9% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox. Randal Grichuk has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.3-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 91.8-mph mark. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.6°, Randal Grichuk has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 24.9° figure over the last 14 days.

Geraldo Perdomo is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. Among every team playing today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 13% to 20.7%. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, rising from 20.7% on the season to 25% in the last 14 days.

Ildemaro Vargas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme flyball batters like Ildemaro Vargas usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jordan Leasure. Among every team playing today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox. Ildemaro Vargas has exhibited good plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 76th percentile with a 2.07 K/BB rate.

Tim Tawa has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.