Cincinnati @ St. Louis Picks & Props

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 94°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-strongest of the day for hitters. Among every team today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds. Victor Scott II will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Sporting a .330 BABIP this year, Victor Scott II is ranked in the 81st percentile.

The 2nd-deepest RF dimensions in the majors are found in Busch Stadium. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Elly De La Cruz in today's matchup. There has been a significant decline in Elly De La Cruz's launch angle from last year's 9.7° to 6.5° this year. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.328) implies that Elly De La Cruz has experienced some positive variance this year with his .350 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 94°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-strongest of the day for hitters. Jordan Walker will hold the platoon advantage over Andrew Abbott today. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 94°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-strongest of the day for hitters. Lars Nootbaar hits many of his flyballs to center field (41.4% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among every team today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Brendan Donovan is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 94°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-strongest of the day for hitters. Among every team today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

Hitting from the same side that Miles Mikolas throws from, Matt McLain will have a tough matchup in today's matchup. Matt McLain will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. Matt McLain's average exit velocity has declined of late; his 89.1-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 86.7-mph over the last 14 days. Matt McLain's launch angle in recent games (-0.8° over the last week) is a significant dropoff from his 16.2° seasonal angle. Matt McLain has posted a .297 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, ranking in the 25th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 94°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-strongest of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Will Benson will have an advantage in today's game. Will Benson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team today.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 94°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-strongest of the day for hitters. Jake Fraley will hold the platoon advantage against Miles Mikolas in today's matchup. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team today. When it comes to plate discipline, Jake Fraley's skill is quite strong, putting up a 2.1 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 75th percentile.

TJ Friedl is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 94°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-strongest of the day for hitters. TJ Friedl will have the handedness advantage against Miles Mikolas today. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Gavin Lux is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 94°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-strongest of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Gavin Lux will have an advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Tyler Stephenson has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (50% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 94°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-strongest of the day for hitters. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 94°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-strongest of the day for hitters. Alec Burleson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 94°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-strongest of the day for hitters. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team today. In the past week's worth of games, Spencer Steer's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.8% up to 14.3%. Over the last 14 days, Spencer Steer's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.7-mph over the course of the season to 93.8-mph recently.

Masyn Winn is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 94°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-strongest of the day for hitters. Masyn Winn will have the handedness advantage against Andrew Abbott in today's matchup. Among every team today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Willson Contreras is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 94°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-strongest of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Willson Contreras will have an edge today.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 94°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-strongest of the day for hitters. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team today. Jose Trevino's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 35.3% to 40.3%. Jose Trevino has recorded a .351 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 81st percentile.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 94°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-strongest of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Yohel Pozo will have an advantage today. Among every team today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds. Yohel Pozo will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 94°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-strongest of the day for hitters. Pedro Pages will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in today's game. Among every team today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds. Pedro Pages will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 94°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-strongest of the day for hitters. Nolan Arenado will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in today's game. Among every team today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

Jose Barrero has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Christian Encarnacion-Strand has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.