Cincinnati @ St. Louis picks
Busch Stadium
CIN vs STL Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Matt McLain o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Among all parks, Busch Stadium has the 10th-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 94°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.. Matt McLain hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs

Tyler Stephenson o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Tyler Stephenson has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (51% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all parks, Busch Stadium has the 10th-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 94°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.
Total RBIs

Lars Nootbaar o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Among all parks, Busch Stadium has the 10th-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 94°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.. Hitting from the same side that Brent Suter throws from, Lars Nootbaar will not have the upper hand in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Elly De La Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best batter in baseball when estimating his BABIP ability.. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all parks, Busch Stadium has the 10th-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 94°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.
Total RBIs

Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Nolan Gorman as Major League Baseball's 20th-best home run hitter.. Among all parks, Busch Stadium has the 10th-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 94°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.. Brent Suter will have the handedness advantage over Nolan Gorman in today's game.
Total RBIs

Christian Encarnacion-Strand o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Encarnacion-Strand in the 89th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Among all parks, Busch Stadium has the 10th-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 94°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for bats.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.
Total RBIs

Spencer Steer o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Spencer Steer is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game.. Among all parks, Busch Stadium has the 10th-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 94°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for bats.. Over the past 7 days, Spencer Steer's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.9% up to 15.4%.
Outs Recorded

Sonny Gray u17.5 Outs Recorded (+140)
Projection 16.5 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Among all parks, Busch Stadium has the 10th-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 94°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for bats.. Rating steepest in MLB this year, Cincinnati Reds hitters jointly have recorded a 17.1° launch angle on their hardest-contacted balls (an advanced standard to evaluate power ability).
Total Bases

Nolan Gorman u1.5 Total Bases (-169)
Projection 0.8 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Nolan Gorman is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today's game.. Busch Stadium grades out as the #23 venue in the league for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Today, Nolan Gorman is at a disadvantage facing the league's 2nd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.1% rate (88th percentile).. Nolan Gorman's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 94.4-mph figure last year has dropped off to 90.7-mph.. Nolan Gorman's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined lately, going from 44.2% on the season to 20% in the last 7 days.
Total Bases

Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best batter in baseball when estimating his BABIP ability.. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all parks, Busch Stadium has the 10th-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 94°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.