Cincinnati @ St. Louis picks
Busch Stadium
CIN vs STL Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Will Benson o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run talent, Will Benson ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Busch Stadium has the 10th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 90°.. Hitting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Will Benson will have an edge in today's matchup.. Will Benson has strong power (88th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (31.9% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Andre Pallante struggles to strike batters out (5th percentile K%) — great news for Benson.
Total RBIs

Matt McLain o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Busch Stadium has the 10th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 90°.. Matt McLain has strong power (79th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (27.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Andre Pallante struggles to strike batters out (21st percentile K%) — great news for McLain.. Matt McLain hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Elly De La Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best batter in the league when estimating his BABIP talent.. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Busch Stadium has the 10th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 92°.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Andre Pallante in today's game.
Total RBIs

Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Nolan Gorman as the league's 20th-best home run hitter.. Nolan Gorman is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Busch Stadium has the 10th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 90°.. Nolan Gorman will have the handedness advantage over Brady Singer in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Singer has a large platoon split.
Total RBIs

Lars Nootbaar o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Busch Stadium has the 10th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 90°.. Considering Brady Singer's large platoon split, Lars Nootbaar will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.. Lars Nootbaar hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41.3% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs

Ivan Herrera o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Ivan Herrera is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Busch Stadium has the 10th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 92°.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team in action today.
Total RBIs

Alec Burleson o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. Alec Burleson is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Busch Stadium has the 10th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 90°.. Alec Burleson will hold the platoon advantage over Brady Singer in today's game... and moreover, Singer has a large platoon split.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Nolan Gorman o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-105)
Projection 2.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Nolan Gorman as the league's 20th-best home run hitter.. Nolan Gorman is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Busch Stadium has the 10th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 90°.. Nolan Gorman will have the handedness advantage over Brady Singer in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Singer has a large platoon split.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Lars Nootbaar o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-105)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Busch Stadium has the 10th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 90°.. Considering Brady Singer's large platoon split, Lars Nootbaar will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.. Lars Nootbaar hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41.3% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Tyler Stephenson o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-118)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Tyler Stephenson's BABIP talent is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Tyler Stephenson has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (53% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Busch Stadium has the 10th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 90°.. This season, Tyler Stephenson has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.3 mph compared to last year's 93.8 mph mark.