St. Louis @ Chicago picks
Rate Field
STL vs CHW Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Lars Nootbaar o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #4 ballpark in the league for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for dingers.. Lars Nootbaar will hold the platoon advantage over Mike Vasil in today's game.
Total RBIs

Ivan Herrera o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Ivan Herrera is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The #4 ballpark in the game for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. This game is forecasted to have the highest humidity of all games on the slate (89%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters.
Total RBIs

Pedro Pages o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The #4 venue in the league for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. Pedro Pages has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Among every team on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox.
Total RBIs

Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Nolan Gorman projects as the 19th-best home run hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #4 ballpark in the league for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. Nolan Gorman will have the handedness advantage against Mike Vasil in today's matchup.. Nolan Gorman has a ton of pop (97th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (30.9% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Mike Vasil doesn't generate many whiffs (8th percentile K%) — great news for Gorman.. Nolan Gorman pulls many of his flyballs (35.1% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences today.
Total RBIs

Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Miguel Vargas is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #4 venue in the league for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for dingers.. Extreme flyball batters like Miguel Vargas tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Michael McGreevy.
Total Bases

Lars Nootbaar o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #4 ballpark in the league for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for dingers.. Lars Nootbaar will hold the platoon advantage over Mike Vasil in today's game.
Total Bases

Ivan Herrera o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Ivan Herrera is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The #4 ballpark in the game for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. This game is forecasted to have the highest humidity of all games on the slate (89%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Nolan Gorman o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+115)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Nolan Gorman projects as the 19th-best home run hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #4 ballpark in the league for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. Nolan Gorman will have the handedness advantage against Mike Vasil in today's matchup.. Nolan Gorman has a ton of pop (97th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (30.9% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Mike Vasil doesn't generate many whiffs (8th percentile K%) — great news for Gorman.. Nolan Gorman pulls many of his flyballs (35.1% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Josh Rojas o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-135)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The #4 ballpark in the league for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for dingers.. Josh Rojas will have the handedness advantage over Michael McGreevy today.. Josh Rojas will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Ryan Noda o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-150)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The #4 ballpark in the league for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. Batting from the opposite that Michael McGreevy throws from, Ryan Noda will have an edge in today's game.. Ryan Noda pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.1% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Ryan Noda will hold that advantage today.