Chicago @ Texas picks

Jacob deGrom has remained healthy in 2025, putting up a 2.12 ERA in 76.1 innings of work over 13 starts so far this season. Even as he is about to turn 37, deGrom is holding opponents to a 0.917 WHIP. And while his strikeout rate is lower than it has been since 2016, he’s still punching out about one batter per inning. Today, deGrom will face off against a relatively weak Chicago White Sox lineup. Importantly for us, the White Sox are eighth in the majors in strikeouts, which should play right into his hands. I’m taking deGrom to pick up at least seven strikeouts in another sterling start tonight.

Junior Valentine profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is scheduled to be calling pitches today.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Miguel Vargas is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Among all stadiums, Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Compared to his seasonal average of 22.6°, Miguel Vargas has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 28° angle over the last two weeks.. Miguel Vargas's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 33.6% to 40.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Evan Carter in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Evan Carter has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (81% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.. Among all stadiums, Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Mike Vasil throws from, Evan Carter will have an advantage in today's matchup.. The Chicago White Sox infield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Among all stadiums, Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. The Chicago White Sox infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams playing today.. Adolis Garcia will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.. Adolis Garcia has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.7-mph to 95.1-mph over the last two weeks.

Andrew Benintendi's batting average skill is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Andrew Benintendi is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all stadiums, Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Andrew Benintendi will have the handedness advantage over Jacob deGrom in today's matchup.. Andrew Benintendi has made notable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 6.3% rate last year to 15.2% this season.

Among all stadiums, Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. The Chicago White Sox have 6 bats in the projected lineup that will have the handedness advantage over Jacob deGrom in this matchup.. Given the 1.42 difference between Jacob deGrom's 2.12 ERA and his 3.54 FIP, it's safe to say he's been one of the luckiest pitchers in the league this year and figures to see worse results going forward.. Jacob deGrom has been one of the luckiest pitchers in MLB on balls in play this year with a .237 BABIP and figures to see that luck normalize going forward.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Miguel Vargas is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Among all stadiums, Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Compared to his seasonal average of 22.6°, Miguel Vargas has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 28° angle over the last two weeks.. Miguel Vargas's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 33.6% to 40.3%.

Among all stadiums, Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Josh Rojas will have the handedness advantage against Jacob deGrom today.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (11.0) implies that Josh Rojas has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his 8.2 actual HR/600.

Kyle Teel's BABIP talent is projected in the 84th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Teel is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. Among all stadiums, Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Jacob deGrom throws from, Kyle Teel will have an advantage in today's game.

Andrew Benintendi's batting average skill is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Andrew Benintendi is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all stadiums, Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Andrew Benintendi will have the handedness advantage over Jacob deGrom in today's matchup.. Andrew Benintendi has made notable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 6.3% rate last year to 15.2% this season.