Chicago @ Houston picks
Daikin Park
CHW vs HOU Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Miguel Vargas is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Minute Maid Park as the 8th-best venue in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters.. Batting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Miguel Vargas will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Bats such as Miguel Vargas with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Framber Valdez who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
Total RBIs

Jake Meyers o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Meyers in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Minute Maid Park as the 8th-best venue in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters.. Jake Meyers will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Compared to last season, Jake Meyers has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 44.4% to 51.5% this season.. Over the last 14 days, Jake Meyers's 61.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 51.5%.
Total RBIs

Jose Altuve o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Jose Altuve is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Minute Maid Park as the 8th-best venue in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters.. Jose Altuve pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.9% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 12th-strongest among every team playing today.
Total RBIs

Christian Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Christian Walker is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Minute Maid Park as the 8th-best venue in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters.. Christian Walker pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.3% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 12th-strongest among every team playing today.
Total RBIs

Andrew Benintendi o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Andrew Benintendi is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Minute Maid Park as the 8th-best ballpark in the league for boosting offensive stats to lefties.. Home runs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the shallowest in MLB.. In the last week's worth of games, Andrew Benintendi's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 15% up to 22.2%.
Total RBIs

Isaac Paredes o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Minute Maid Park as the 8th-best venue in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters.. Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (46.8% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball bats like Isaac Paredes are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Davis Martin.. Isaac Paredes will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Victor Caratini o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Minute Maid Park as the 8th-best ballpark in the league for boosting offensive stats to lefties.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Victor Caratini will hold that advantage in today's game.. Victor Caratini has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 89.5-mph mark.. Victor Caratini's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, going from 14.2% on the season to 50% in the past week.
Total RBIs

Jeremy Pena o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Jeremy Pena is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Minute Maid Park as the 8th-best venue in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters.. Among all parks, Minute Maid Park's left field dimensions are the shallowest.. Jeremy Pena will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Yainer Diaz o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Yainer Diaz is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Minute Maid Park as the 8th-best venue in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters.. Yainer Diaz will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.. Yainer Diaz has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.9-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 91.4-mph mark.
Outs Recorded

Davis Martin u17.5 Outs Recorded (+125)
Projection 15.5 (Under)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s assessment, Davis Martin's overall pitching skill is in the 16th percentile out of all SPs in the majors right now.. Minute Maid Park profiles as the #8 field in the league for walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all parks, Minute Maid Park's left field dimensions are the shallowest.. Davis Martin will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.. Given the 1.39 discrepancy between Davis Martin's 3.62 ERA and his 5.01 estimated true talent ERA (per the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in MLB this year and figures to see worse results in the future.