Chicago @ Houston picks
Daikin Park
CHW vs HOU Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Miguel Vargas is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Minute Maid Park as the 8th-best park in the game for boosting offensive stats to right-handed hitters.. Miguel Vargas has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 11.1% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the last 7 days.. In the past 14 days, Miguel Vargas's 24.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.4%.
Total RBIs

Victor Caratini o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The #8 ballpark in baseball for boosting offensive stats to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.. Extreme groundball bats like Victor Caratini tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Sean Burke.. Out of all the teams in action today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox.. Victor Caratini will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.. Victor Caratini has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph to 93-mph in the past week.
Total RBIs

Christian Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run skill, Christian Walker ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Walker is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Minute Maid Park as the 8th-best park in the game for boosting offensive stats to right-handed hitters.. Christian Walker pulls many of his flyballs (35.3% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The Chicago White Sox infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams playing today.
Total RBIs

Jose Altuve o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Jose Altuve is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Minute Maid Park as the 8th-best park in the game for boosting offensive stats to right-handed hitters.. Jose Altuve pulls many of his flyballs (40.9% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams in action today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox.
Total RBIs

Andrew Benintendi o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. Andrew Benintendi is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. The #8 ballpark in baseball for boosting offensive stats to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest among all stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Gusto throws from, Andrew Benintendi will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Jake Meyers o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Meyers in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Minute Maid Park as the 8th-best park in the game for boosting offensive stats to right-handed hitters.. Out of all the teams in action today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jake Meyers will hold that advantage in today's game.. Jake Meyers's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 44.4% to 51.5%.
Total RBIs

Yainer Diaz o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Yainer Diaz is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Minute Maid Park as the 8th-best park in the game for boosting offensive stats to right-handed hitters.. Out of all the teams in action today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Yainer Diaz will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Outs Recorded

Sean Burke u17.5 Outs Recorded (-130)
Projection 15.4 (Under)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s appraisal, Sean Burke's overall pitching talent is in the 13th percentile among all starters in baseball currently.. It may be best to expect improved performance for the Houston Astros offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 9th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year.. Minute Maid Park ranks as the #8 stadium in the league for walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all parks, Minute Maid Park's LF fences are the 2nd-shallowest.. Given that flyball batters hold a significant edge over groundball pitchers, Sean Burke and his 38% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a difficult position in this matchup facing 3 opposing GB batters.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Vinny Capra o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-150)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Minute Maid Park as the 8th-best park in the game for boosting offensive stats to right-handed hitters.. Among all parks, Minute Maid Park's LF fences are the 2nd-shallowest.. Vinny Capra has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .121 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .226 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Vinny Capra is notably quick, ranking in the 80th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.38 ft/sec this year.
Total Bases

Christian Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run skill, Christian Walker ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Walker is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Minute Maid Park as the 8th-best park in the game for boosting offensive stats to right-handed hitters.. Christian Walker pulls many of his flyballs (35.3% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Out of all the teams in action today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox.