Miami @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Christopher Morel will hold that advantage today. Christopher Morel's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 14.7% to 22.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for batters. Javier Sanoja has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.4-mph to 95.2-mph over the last two weeks. Over the last 14 days, Javier Sanoja's 60% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 49.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers as the 10th-best batter in baseball as it relates to his BABIP ability. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for batters. Dane Myers has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.7-mph to 95.9-mph in the past week's worth of games. Dane Myers has recorded a .342 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 89th percentile.

Liam Hicks has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (86% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Liam Hicks will have an edge today. Liam Hicks has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 92.9-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 90.1-mph.

The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for batters.

Hitting from the same side that Connor Gillispie throws from, Yandy Diaz has a tough challenge in today's matchup. Checking in at the 15th percentile, Yandy Diaz has notched a .251 BABIP this year.

Connor Gillispie will have the handedness advantage against Junior Caminero in today's matchup. Junior Caminero pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34% — 81st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 7th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.319) provides evidence that Junior Caminero has been very fortunate this year with his .348 actual wOBA. When it comes to plate discipline, Junior Caminero's skill is quite weak, sporting a 3.79 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 22nd percentile. Ranking in the 23rd percentile, Junior Caminero has posted a .264 BABIP this year.

The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Connor Norby is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for batters. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Connor Norby's true offensive talent to be a .313, indicating that he has been unlucky this year given the .025 disparity between that mark and his actual .288 wOBA.

Agustin Ramirez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for batters. Agustin Ramirez has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for batters. Jesus Sanchez will hold the platoon advantage over Drew Rasmussen in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Mangum in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Jake Mangum is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for batters. Batters such as Jake Mangum with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Connor Gillispie who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for batters. Matt Thaiss will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Connor Gillispie today. Matt Thaiss will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Matt Thaiss has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year's 24.85 ft/sec to 25.36 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Xavier Edwards is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for batters. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Xavier Edwards will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Drew Rasmussen today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Otto Lopez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for batters. Otto Lopez has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Kyle Stowers is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for batters. Kyle Stowers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Drew Rasmussen today.

The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Taylor Walls will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.277) suggests that Taylor Walls has been unlucky this year with his .243 actual wOBA.

Curtis Mead is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for batters. Curtis Mead has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Curtis Mead will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for batters. Kameron Misner will hold the platoon advantage against Connor Gillispie today. Kameron Misner will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for batters. Jonathan Aranda will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Connor Gillispie in today's game.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Connor Gillispie throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an advantage today.

The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jose Caballero will hold that advantage today. In comparison to his 83.5-mph average last year, Jose Caballero's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 85.8 mph. Jose Caballero's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 43.9% to 52.1%.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.