Miami @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

MIA vs TB Picks

MLB Picks
Total
Miami Marlins logo Tampa Bay Rays logo u8.5 (-108)
Pick made: 6 months ago
Robert Criscola image
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor

The Marlins have scored just 11 runs across their last six games, including their series sweep at the hands of the Rockies. But starter Edward Cabrera, who authored a 2.00 ERA in May, can keep Miami in it. Both bullpens are Top 5 by ERA over the last two weeks.

Total RBIs
Heriberto Hernandez logo
Heriberto Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+270)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 5th-best of the day for hitters.. Heriberto Hernandez has strong power (81st percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (32% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Zack Littell struggles to strike batters out (5th percentile K%) — great news for Hernandez.
Total RBIs
Connor Norby logo
Connor Norby o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 98th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 5th-best of the day for hitters.. Connor Norby has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his home runs this year; his 11.6 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly deflated relative to his 18.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Grading out in the 85th percentile, Connor Norby has posted a .328 BABIP since the start of last season.
Total RBIs
Junior Caminero logo
Junior Caminero o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Junior Caminero's batting average ability is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 5th-best of the day for hitters.. Junior Caminero will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Danny Jansen logo
Danny Jansen o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 88°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.9-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.. Extreme flyball hitters like Danny Jansen generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Edward Cabrera.. Danny Jansen will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. Danny Jansen has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 97.6-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal mark of 94.4-mph.
Total RBIs
Kyle Stowers logo
Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 90th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Kyle Stowers is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 5th-best of the day for hitters.. Kyle Stowers will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Littell today.
Total RBIs
Eric Wagaman logo
Eric Wagaman o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 5th-best of the day for hitters.. Eric Wagaman has had some very poor luck with his home runs this year; his 10.6 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is considerably lower than his 16.6 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total RBIs
Jonathan Aranda logo
Jonathan Aranda o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jonathan Aranda ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jonathan Aranda is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 5th-best of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Jonathan Aranda will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Jesus Sanchez logo
Jesus Sanchez o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 5th-best of the day for hitters.. Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage over Zack Littell today.
Total Bases
Eric Wagaman logo
Eric Wagaman o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 5th-best of the day for hitters.. Eric Wagaman has had some very poor luck with his home runs this year; his 10.6 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is considerably lower than his 16.6 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Heriberto Hernandez logo
Heriberto Hernandez o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-185)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 5th-best of the day for hitters.. Heriberto Hernandez has strong power (81st percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (32% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Zack Littell struggles to strike batters out (5th percentile K%) — great news for Hernandez.
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MIA vs TB Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

77% picking Tampa Bay

23%
77%

Total PicksMIA 100, TB 341

Moneyline
MIA
TB
Total

68% picking Miami vs Tampa Bay to go Under

32%
68%

Total PicksMIA 89, TB 185

Total
Over
Under

MIA vs TB Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Javier Sanoja Total Hits Props • Miami

Javier Sanoja
J. Sanoja
second base 2B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Javier Sanoja's batting average talent is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Hitters such as Javier Sanoja with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Zack Littell who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. As it relates to his batting average, Javier Sanoja has had bad variance on his side this year. His .236 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .274.

Javier Sanoja logo

Javier Sanoja

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Javier Sanoja's batting average talent is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Hitters such as Javier Sanoja with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Zack Littell who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. As it relates to his batting average, Javier Sanoja has had bad variance on his side this year. His .236 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .274.

Matt Thaiss Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Matt Thaiss
M. Thaiss
catcher C • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Matt Thaiss will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Edward Cabrera today. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Matt Thaiss can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Matt Thaiss will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Matt Thaiss logo

Matt Thaiss

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Matt Thaiss will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Edward Cabrera today. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Matt Thaiss can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Matt Thaiss will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Eric Wagaman Total Hits Props • Miami

Eric Wagaman
E. Wagaman
first base 1B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.

Eric Wagaman logo

Eric Wagaman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.

Xavier Edwards Total Hits Props • Miami

Xavier Edwards
X. Edwards
shortstop SS • Miami
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

Xavier Edwards has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.5%) and will be challenged by baseball's 7th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Xavier Edwards in today's game. Xavier Edwards's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 87.1-mph figure last season has dropped to 84.7-mph. Xavier Edwards's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (6.5°) is a considerable dropoff from his 10.8° angle last year. In terms of his batting average, Xavier Edwards has been lucky this year. His .283 figure has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .248.

Xavier Edwards logo

Xavier Edwards

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Xavier Edwards has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.5%) and will be challenged by baseball's 7th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Xavier Edwards in today's game. Xavier Edwards's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 87.1-mph figure last season has dropped to 84.7-mph. Xavier Edwards's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (6.5°) is a considerable dropoff from his 10.8° angle last year. In terms of his batting average, Xavier Edwards has been lucky this year. His .283 figure has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .248.

Nick Fortes Total Hits Props • Miami

Nick Fortes
N. Fortes
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.

Nick Fortes logo

Nick Fortes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.

Dane Myers Total Hits Props • Miami

Dane Myers
D. Myers
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers as the 11th-best hitter in baseball when estimating his BABIP ability. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Bats such as Dane Myers with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Zack Littell who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Dane Myers has compiled a .339 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 88th percentile.

Dane Myers logo

Dane Myers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers as the 11th-best hitter in baseball when estimating his BABIP ability. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Bats such as Dane Myers with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Zack Littell who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Dane Myers has compiled a .339 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 88th percentile.

Jose Caballero Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Jose Caballero
J. Caballero
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Jose Caballero will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Jose Caballero has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 85.7-mph average to last year's 83.5-mph mark. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.8°, Jose Caballero has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 25.5° mark over the last 14 days.

Jose Caballero logo

Jose Caballero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Jose Caballero will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Jose Caballero has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 85.7-mph average to last year's 83.5-mph mark. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.8°, Jose Caballero has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 25.5° mark over the last 14 days.

Otto Lopez Total Hits Props • Miami

Otto Lopez
O. Lopez
second base 2B • Miami
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

Batting from the same side that Zack Littell throws from, Otto Lopez will not have the upper hand in today's matchup. Otto Lopez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Otto Lopez has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 8.2% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past week's worth of games. Otto Lopez's average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 86.7-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 84.7-mph over the last 7 days. Otto Lopez's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last year to this one, falling from 41.5% to 36%.

Otto Lopez logo

Otto Lopez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Batting from the same side that Zack Littell throws from, Otto Lopez will not have the upper hand in today's matchup. Otto Lopez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Otto Lopez has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 8.2% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past week's worth of games. Otto Lopez's average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 86.7-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 84.7-mph over the last 7 days. Otto Lopez's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last year to this one, falling from 41.5% to 36%.

Jesus Sanchez Total Hits Props • Miami

Jesus Sanchez
J. Sanchez
right outfield RF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage over Zack Littell today.

Jesus Sanchez logo

Jesus Sanchez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage over Zack Littell today.

Connor Norby Total Hits Props • Miami

Connor Norby
C. Norby
third base 3B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 98th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Grading out in the 85th percentile, Connor Norby has posted a .328 BABIP since the start of last season.

Connor Norby logo

Connor Norby

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 98th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Grading out in the 85th percentile, Connor Norby has posted a .328 BABIP since the start of last season.

Danny Jansen Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Danny Jansen
D. Jansen
catcher C • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Extreme flyball hitters like Danny Jansen generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Edward Cabrera. Danny Jansen will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Danny Jansen has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 97.6-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal mark of 94.4-mph.

Danny Jansen logo

Danny Jansen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Extreme flyball hitters like Danny Jansen generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Edward Cabrera. Danny Jansen will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Danny Jansen has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 97.6-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal mark of 94.4-mph.

Taylor Walls Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Taylor Walls
T. Walls
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Taylor Walls will hold that advantage today. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Taylor Walls has experienced some negative variance this year. His .230 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .280.

Taylor Walls logo

Taylor Walls

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Taylor Walls will hold that advantage today. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Taylor Walls has experienced some negative variance this year. His .230 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .280.

Heriberto Hernandez Total Hits Props • Miami

Heriberto Hernandez
H. Hernandez
left outfield LF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.

Heriberto Hernandez logo

Heriberto Hernandez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.

Yandy Diaz Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Yandy Diaz
Y. Diaz
first base 1B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 14th-best batter in the majors as it relates to his batting average talent. Yandy Diaz is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Yandy Diaz has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Yandy Diaz logo

Yandy Diaz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 14th-best batter in the majors as it relates to his batting average talent. Yandy Diaz is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Yandy Diaz has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Junior Caminero Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Junior Caminero
J. Caminero
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Junior Caminero's batting average ability is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Junior Caminero will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Junior Caminero logo

Junior Caminero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Junior Caminero's batting average ability is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Junior Caminero will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Liam Hicks Total Hits Props • Miami

Liam Hicks
L. Hicks
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Liam Hicks is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 93% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Liam Hicks will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Littell in today's game.

Liam Hicks logo

Liam Hicks

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Liam Hicks is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 93% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Liam Hicks will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Littell in today's game.

Curtis Mead Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Curtis Mead
C. Mead
first base 1B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Curtis Mead has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Curtis Mead will hold that advantage in today's game. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Curtis Mead has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 112.4 mph (a reliable stat to study power), checking in at the 83rd percentile.

Curtis Mead logo

Curtis Mead

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Curtis Mead has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Curtis Mead will hold that advantage in today's game. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Curtis Mead has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 112.4 mph (a reliable stat to study power), checking in at the 83rd percentile.

Jake Mangum Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Jake Mangum
J. Mangum
right outfield RF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Mangum in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Jake Mangum is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jake Mangum will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jake Mangum logo

Jake Mangum

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Mangum in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Jake Mangum is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jake Mangum will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Kyle Stowers Total Hits Props • Miami

Kyle Stowers
K. Stowers
right outfield RF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Stowers is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Kyle Stowers will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Littell today.

Kyle Stowers logo

Kyle Stowers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Stowers is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Kyle Stowers will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Littell today.

Brandon Lowe Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Brandon Lowe
B. Lowe
second base 2B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an advantage today.

Brandon Lowe logo

Brandon Lowe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an advantage today.

Jonathan Aranda Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Jonathan Aranda
J. Aranda
first base 1B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jonathan Aranda ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan Aranda is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Jonathan Aranda will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Jonathan Aranda logo

Jonathan Aranda

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jonathan Aranda ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan Aranda is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Jonathan Aranda will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Agustin Ramirez Total Hits Props • Miami

Agustin Ramirez
A. Ramirez
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Agustin Ramirez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Agustin Ramirez has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Agustin Ramirez logo

Agustin Ramirez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Agustin Ramirez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Agustin Ramirez has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Kameron Misner Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Kameron Misner
K. Misner
center outfield CF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Kameron Misner will have the upper hand today. Kameron Misner may have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Kameron Misner will hold that advantage today.

Kameron Misner logo

Kameron Misner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Kameron Misner will have the upper hand today. Kameron Misner may have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Kameron Misner will hold that advantage today.

Josh Lowe Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Josh Lowe
J. Lowe
right outfield RF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.81
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

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Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Miami Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 MatroxSD 7-3-0 +33200
2 JayAcosta20 5-5-0 +28490
3 chuluckus 3-6-1 +28010
4 Alexandr1966 6-4-0 +26360
5 northlv6238 6-3-1 +23335
6 ewatson15 6-4-0 +22000
7 Forkball1 7-3-0 +20245
8 purple_stars 6-4-0 +16950
9 dogeatdog 6-4-0 +16115
10 jwwong 8-2-0 +16110
All Marlins Money Leaders

Tampa Bay Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 funaki 7-3-0 +19280
2 pokersquirrel 2-7-1 +17755
3 kowalabear 8-2-0 +15775
4 vladislav1968 5-4-1 +15330
5 kenpitch 5-4-1 +13015
6 Smmiou07 7-2-1 +12845
7 adgadg222 5-4-1 +12550
8 Mexicali72 4-6-0 +11420
9 brandydump1 6-4-0 +11345
10 mm76ers 5-5-0 +11325
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