Texas @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

Batting from the same side that Jack Leiter throws from, Yandy Diaz meets a tough challenge today. Out of every team in action today, the 9th-worst infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. Yandy Diaz has put up a .248 BABIP this year, placing in the 13th percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wyatt Langford is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Wyatt Langford has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.7-mph to 95-mph in the past 14 days. Wyatt Langford's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (18.3°) is significantly better than his 11.5° figure last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Extreme flyball hitters like Junior Caminero are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jack Leiter. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Junior Caminero will hold that advantage in today's game.

Josh Smith is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Josh Smith will have an advantage today.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Adolis Garcia's launch angle this season (21.2°) is a significant increase over his 14.8° figure last season. Despite posting a .272 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Adolis Garcia has had some very poor luck given the .051 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .323. This year, Adolis Garcia has an average exit velocity of 92.4 mph, which ranks among the best in MLB at the 89th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Christopher Morel will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. The Barrel% of Christopher Morel has significantly improved, with an increase from 10.3% last year to 15.8% this year. Christopher Morel's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 14.7% to 23.7%.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Jonah Heim has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 6.8% seasonal rate to 12.5% over the past two weeks. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Jonah Heim's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Josh Jung has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (51% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Josh Jung's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 16.8% to 21.3%. In the past two weeks, Josh Jung's 64.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.2%.

Alejandro Osuna is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Alejandro Osuna will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Pepiot in today's game.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Danny Jansen will hold that advantage in today's game. Danny Jansen's launch angle lately (36.4° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit higher than his 23.2° seasonal mark. By putting up a 1.46 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Danny Jansen has displayed favorable plate discipline, placing in the 94th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Marcus Semien has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.6-mph to 95.4-mph over the last 7 days. Marcus Semien's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (16.8°) is a considerable increase over his 13.5° figure last season. Marcus Semien's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, increasing from 46.9% on the season to 66.7% in the last week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Jake Burger has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 13.6% seasonal rate to 21.2% over the last two weeks. Jake Burger has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph to 98.1-mph over the last week. Jake Burger's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, going from 11.9% on the season to 27.3% in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Mangum in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Extreme groundball hitters like Jake Mangum usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Jack Leiter. Jake Mangum will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Over the last 7 days, Jake Mangum's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.3% up to 11.1%.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Taylor Walls will hold that advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.230) provides evidence that Taylor Walls has had bad variance on his side this year with his .183 actual batting average.

Corey Seager projects as the 12th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Corey Seager is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Corey Seager will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Corey Seager has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 97.2-mph average over the past week to his seasonal figure of 94.9-mph.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Batting from the opposite that Jack Leiter throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an edge in today's matchup. Brandon Lowe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.3% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Jonathan Aranda will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jack Leiter today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jonathan Aranda will hold that advantage today.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Kameron Misner will have the handedness advantage over Jack Leiter today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Kameron Misner will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the last 7 days, Kameron Misner's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.8% up to 25%.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.