Colorado @ Miami Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thairo Estrada in the 20th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which often leads to lower offensive output. Sandy Alcantara will hold the platoon advantage against Thairo Estrada in today's game. In today's matchup, Thairo Estrada is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 37.3% rate (95th percentile). The Miami Marlins infield defense profiles as the strongest out of every team playing today.

Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which often leads to lower offensive output. Today, Xavier Edwards is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 41.2% rate (99th percentile). Xavier Edwards's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 87.1-mph mark last season has dropped off to 84.3-mph. Xavier Edwards's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (5.8°) is quite a bit worse than his 10.8° figure last season. As it relates to his batting average, Xavier Edwards has experienced some positive variance this year. His .282 figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .244.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Javier Sanoja hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Hitters such as Javier Sanoja with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Chase Dollander who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Javier Sanoja will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Javier Sanoja's 55% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 49.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 76th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Brenton Doyle is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Brenton Doyle hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Brenton Doyle has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 13.4% seasonal rate to 20% over the last week. In the last week, Brenton Doyle's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94-mph over the course of the season to 96-mph in recent games.

Eric Wagaman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Eric Wagaman will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Eric Wagaman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, going from 16.1% on the season to 29.4% in the last week. Eric Wagaman has hit one of the hardest balls in baseball over the past 14 days — 111-mph — which is a favorable measure of recent form and raw power.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Freeman in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Tyler Freeman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Tyler Freeman has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 5.3% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the past 7 days. Tyler Freeman has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 99.5-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal figure of 92.8-mph. In terms of his batting average, Tyler Freeman has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .213 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .234.

Otto Lopez's batting average skill is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Otto Lopez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. Extreme flyball batters like Otto Lopez tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Chase Dollander. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage in today's game. Otto Lopez has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 89.8-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 86.8-mph EV.

Nick Fortes will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Compared to last year, Nick Fortes has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 11.6% to 22.6% this season. Nick Fortes's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, increasing from 22.6% on the season to 27.8% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

When estimating his BABIP skill, Dane Myers is projected as the 9th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Dane Myers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.9% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Extreme flyball hitters like Dane Myers are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Chase Dollander. Dane Myers will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Dane Myers's 11.5% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) ranks in the 83rd percentile since the start of last season.

Among all major league parks, LoanDepot Park's centerfield dimensions are the 4th-shallowest. Over the past 14 days, Kyle Farmer's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.2-mph over the course of the season to 94.9-mph of late. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Kyle Farmer has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 22.1° compared to his seasonal mark of 14.4°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Jesus Sanchez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chase Dollander today. Jesus Sanchez will probably have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP. Extreme groundball batters like Jesus Sanchez are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Chase Dollander.

Agustin Ramirez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Agustin Ramirez will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Agustin Ramirez has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 97.6-mph average over the last week to his seasonal average of 94.6-mph. Agustin Ramirez's launch angle of late (13.1° over the last week) is significantly better than his 7.9° seasonal figure.

Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Batting from the opposite that Chase Dollander throws from, Kyle Stowers will have an edge today. Kyle Stowers will probably have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP. Kyle Stowers will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Kyle Stowers has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 11% rate last year to 20.8% this season.

Batting from the opposite that Chase Dollander throws from, Liam Hicks will have an edge in today's game. Liam Hicks is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Liam Hicks will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Among all major league parks, LoanDepot Park's centerfield dimensions are the 4th-shallowest.

Ryan McMahon is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Hitting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Ryan McMahon will have the upper hand today. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Ryan McMahon can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Ryan McMahon has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 94.2-mph average to last year's 92-mph mark. Ryan McMahon has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 98.6-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 94.2-mph figure.

Hunter Goodman is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. Hunter Goodman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Hunter Goodman has made big strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 9.2% seasonal rate to 18.2% over the last 7 days. Hunter Goodman has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph to 96.5-mph in the past 7 days.

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Connor Norby is projected as the 14th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Among all major league parks, LoanDepot Park's centerfield dimensions are the 4th-shallowest. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Connor Norby will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.9°, Connor Norby has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 27.8° figure over the past 7 days. Connor Norby has put up a .329 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 85th percentile.

Jordan Beck's BABIP talent is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jordan Beck is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Among all major league parks, LoanDepot Park's centerfield dimensions are the 4th-shallowest. The Barrel% of Jordan Beck has significantly improved, with an increase from 6.6% last year to 14.8% this season. Jordan Beck's launch angle of late (22.5° in the past week) is a considerable increase over his 15.6° seasonal angle.

Mickey Moniak will hold the platoon advantage over Sandy Alcantara in today's game. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Mickey Moniak can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Mickey Moniak has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93.8-mph average to last year's 90.5-mph average. Over the last two weeks, Mickey Moniak has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 27.6° compared to his seasonal mark of 15.4°. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.236) suggests that Mickey Moniak has had some very poor luck this year with his .216 actual batting average.

Orlando Arcia has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Jack Winkler has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.