Texas @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

George M. Steinbrenner Field profiles as the #24 field in the league for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league parks, George M. Steinbrenner Field's centerfield fences are the 5th-deepest. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Corey Seager in today's game. Compared to his seasonal angle of 11.1°, Corey Seager has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-3.3°) over the last two weeks.

This game is predicted to have the 2nd-most humidity of the day (82%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Evan Carter will have an edge in today's matchup. Evan Carter pulls many of his flyballs (33.8% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Evan Carter has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, improving his 5.9% rate last season to 11.1% this year. When it comes to his batting average, Evan Carter has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .186 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .206.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sam Haggerty in the 75th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. This game is predicted to have the 2nd-most humidity of the day (82%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Sam Haggerty's footspeed has improved this season. His 27.78 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.76 ft/sec now. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Sam Haggerty has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .269 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .352.

This game is predicted to have the 2nd-most humidity of the day (82%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wyatt Langford is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. This game is predicted to have the 2nd-most humidity of the day (82%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Wyatt Langford has seen a big gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.4-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 91.7-mph figure. Wyatt Langford's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (18.3°) is considerably higher than his 11.5° mark last year.

This game is predicted to have the 2nd-most humidity of the day (82%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Danny Jansen will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Over the last 14 days, Danny Jansen's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.4-mph over the course of the season to 97.6-mph of late. Danny Jansen's launch angle in recent games (34.8° in the past 14 days) is significantly higher than his 23.2° seasonal figure. When it comes to plate discipline, Danny Jansen's ability is quite impressive, posting a 1.43 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 95th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. This game is predicted to have the 2nd-most humidity of the day (82%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Extreme groundball batters like Junior Caminero usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Tyler Mahle. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Junior Caminero will hold that advantage in today's game.

When assessing his batting average skill, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yandy Diaz is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. This game is predicted to have the 2nd-most humidity of the day (82%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Yandy Diaz has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball batters like Yandy Diaz generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Tyler Mahle.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. This game is predicted to have the 2nd-most humidity of the day (82%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Mahle throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an edge in today's game. Brandon Lowe pulls many of his flyballs (36.3% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. This game is predicted to have the 2nd-most humidity of the day (82%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Extreme groundball bats like Marcus Semien usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Drew Rasmussen. Marcus Semien has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 97.4-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal mark of 91.3-mph. Last season, Marcus Semien had an average launch angle of 13.5° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 16.8°.

Jonah Heim is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. This game is predicted to have the 2nd-most humidity of the day (82%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Jonah Heim has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 6.8% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the last 7 days. In the last 7 days, Jonah Heim's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92-mph over the course of the season to 102.5-mph in recent games. Jonah Heim's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, rising from 42.3% on the season to 85.7% in the past week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Josh Jung is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. This game is predicted to have the 2nd-most humidity of the day (82%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Josh Jung's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 16.8% to 21.3%. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Josh Jung's 63.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.2%.

Alejandro Osuna is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. This game is predicted to have the 2nd-most humidity of the day (82%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Alejandro Osuna will have an edge today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Smith in the 75th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Josh Smith is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. This game is predicted to have the 2nd-most humidity of the day (82%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Josh Smith will have an edge in today's game. Josh Smith has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.8-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 88.3-mph mark.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jake Burger ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). This game is predicted to have the 2nd-most humidity of the day (82%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Jake Burger has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 13.6% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the past two weeks. Jake Burger has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 97.2-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 90.9-mph average. Jake Burger's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, rising from 11.9% on the season to 27.8% over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Mangum in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. This game is predicted to have the 2nd-most humidity of the day (82%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Extreme groundball hitters like Jake Mangum tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Tyler Mahle. Jake Mangum will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Ranking in the 88th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.81 ft/sec this year, Jake Mangum is very toolsy.

This game is predicted to have the 2nd-most humidity of the day (82%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Taylor Walls will hold that advantage in today's game. Taylor Walls has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .235 rate is deflated compared to his .283 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Jonathan Aranda is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. This game is predicted to have the 2nd-most humidity of the day (82%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Mahle throws from, Jonathan Aranda will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Jonathan Aranda will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

This game is predicted to have the 2nd-most humidity of the day (82%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Mahle throws from, Kameron Misner will have an edge in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Kameron Misner will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last week's worth of games, Kameron Misner's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.8% up to 20%.

Matt Thaiss has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.