St. Louis @ Texas Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Globe Life Field as the 2nd-worst park in MLB for left-handed batting average. Globe Life Field has the 7th-deepest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums. This year, there has been a decline in Corey Seager's speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 25.34 ft/sec last year to 24.23 ft/sec currently.

Victor Scott II will have the handedness advantage over Jacob deGrom in today's matchup. Victor Scott II is very quick, grading out in the 100th percentile in Sprint Speed at 30.03 ft/sec this year.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Lars Nootbaar will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob deGrom in today's matchup. Lars Nootbaar's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 43.2% to 49.3%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.358) provides evidence that Lars Nootbaar has suffered from bad luck this year with his .331 actual wOBA.

Josh Smith is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. Josh Smith will hold the platoon advantage against Erick Fedde in today's game. Josh Smith will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Josh Smith has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 92.2-mph average to last year's 90-mph average.

Pedro Pages has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Willson Contreras ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Willson Contreras has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 98.3-mph average to last year's 95.1-mph average. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Willson Contreras has experienced some negative variance this year. His .310 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .351. Checking in at the 86th percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score this year, Willson Contreras demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - an important skill for achieving a high batting average.

Alejandro Osuna is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Alejandro Osuna will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Erick Fedde in today's game. Alejandro Osuna will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Alejandro Osuna has been hot in recent games, batting his way to a .412 wOBA over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Brendan Donovan is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Jacob deGrom throws from, Brendan Donovan will have an edge in today's game. Brendan Donovan's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 45.8% to 55.9%. In the past two weeks, Brendan Donovan has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .373.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Alec Burleson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jacob deGrom in today's matchup. Placing in the 78th percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season, Alec Burleson demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - a key talent for achieving a high batting average. Sporting a .277 batting average this year, Alec Burleson finds himself in the 80th percentile.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Sam Haggerty will hold that advantage today. Sam Haggerty's quickness has improved this season. His 27.78 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.61 ft/sec now.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wyatt Langford is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Wyatt Langford will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Wyatt Langford has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94.6-mph average to last year's 92.1-mph average. Wyatt Langford's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (19.2°) is considerably better than his 11.5° angle last year.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Jonah Heim will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Jake Burger will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Despite posting a .271 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jake Burger has experienced some negative variance given the .069 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .340.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Ivan Herrera is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The Barrel% of Ivan Herrera has significantly improved, with an increase from 9% last year to 18.9% this season. Ivan Herrera's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 46.6% to 64.9%. Posting a .313 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Ivan Herrera is ranked in the 99th percentile.

Josh Jung's BABIP skill is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Josh Jung is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Josh Jung will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Josh Jung has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.1-mph average to last season's 92.3-mph EV. Josh Jung's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 16.8% to 20.9%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 76th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Masyn Winn is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Masyn Winn has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.6-mph average to last year's 88-mph EV. There has been a significant improvement in Masyn Winn's launch angle from last season's 13° to 19.5° this season. Posting a .346 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Masyn Winn has performed in the 75th percentile.

When it comes to plate discipline, Nolan Arenado's skill is quite strong, putting up a 1.34 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 90th percentile.

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Marcus Semien will hold that advantage in today's game. Last season, Marcus Semien had an average launch angle of 13.5° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 16.6°. Despite posting a .247 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Marcus Semien has suffered from bad luck given the .077 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .324.

Adolis Garcia has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.