San Francisco @ Miami Picks & Props

LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to lower offensive output. Heliot Ramos has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-deepest RF fences today. Heliot Ramos will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Heliot Ramos has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .292 rate is a fair amount higher than his .265 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to lower offensive output. Xavier Edwards has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Xavier Edwards's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 87.1-mph average last season has fallen to 84.2-mph. Xavier Edwards's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (4.8°) is significantly lower than his 10.8° figure last season. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.242) provides evidence that Xavier Edwards has been lucky this year with his .262 actual batting average.

Javier Sanoja's batting average talent is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Javier Sanoja hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Extreme flyball bats like Javier Sanoja tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Hayden Birdsong. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Javier Sanoja will hold that advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.268) provides evidence that Javier Sanoja has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .245 actual batting average.

LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to lower offensive output. Hitting from the same side that Ryan Weathers throws from, Jung Hoo Lee encounters a tough challenge today. Jung Hoo Lee has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and will be challenged by MLB's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jung Hoo Lee today. This year, Jung Hoo Lee's 4.3% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 19th percentile among his peers.

The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Mike Yastrzemski has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Bats such as Mike Yastrzemski with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Ryan Weathers who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Mike Yastrzemski's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 14.6% to 19.3%. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Mike Yastrzemski has been unlucky this year. His .322 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .346. As it relates to plate discipline, Mike Yastrzemski's ability is quite impressive, putting up a 1.73 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 78th percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Willy Adames ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Among all parks, LoanDepot Park's centerfield fences are the 6th-shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Weathers throws from, Willy Adames will have the upper hand today. Extreme groundball batters like Willy Adames usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Ryan Weathers.

Eric Wagaman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.7% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Eric Wagaman will hold that advantage today. Eric Wagaman's 91.4-mph average exit velocity is one of the best in MLB this year: 76th percentile.

Wilmer Flores is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Wilmer Flores will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Weathers today. Extreme groundball batters like Wilmer Flores tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Ryan Weathers. Wilmer Flores has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 92.7-mph average to last year's 87.6-mph EV.

Among all parks, LoanDepot Park's centerfield fences are the 6th-shallowest. Patrick Bailey's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 15.4% to 24.4%. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Patrick Bailey's true offensive ability to be a .284, providing some evidence that he has been unlucky this year given the .057 gap between that mark and his actual .227 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Matt Chapman is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Weathers throws from, Matt Chapman will have an edge in today's game. Matt Chapman hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Bats such as Matt Chapman with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Ryan Weathers who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby as the 16th-best batter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP ability. Connor Norby will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Connor Norby's 13.7% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power) is in the 91st percentile since the start of last season. Connor Norby's 95.4-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced metric to evaluate power) ranks in the 90th percentile since the start of last season. Connor Norby has recorded a .338 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 89th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Otto Lopez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Otto Lopez are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Hayden Birdsong. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage today. In terms of his batting average, Otto Lopez has suffered from bad luck this year. His .231 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .262.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Jesus Sanchez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hayden Birdsong in today's game. Jesus Sanchez is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the San Francisco Giants only has 1 same-handed RP. Batters such as Jesus Sanchez with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Hayden Birdsong who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Agustin Ramirez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Agustin Ramirez will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last two weeks, Agustin Ramirez has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .352.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Kyle Stowers is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Hayden Birdsong throws from, Kyle Stowers will have an advantage today. Kyle Stowers may have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the San Francisco Giants only has 1 same-handed RP. Kyle Stowers will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Among all parks, LoanDepot Park's centerfield fences are the 6th-shallowest. Casey Schmitt will have the handedness advantage over Ryan Weathers in today's game. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Casey Schmitt has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .303 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .329. Since the start of last season, Casey Schmitt's flyball exit velocity (an advanced stat to assess power) ranks in the 86th percentile at 94.9 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Fitzgerald in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Tyler Fitzgerald is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Tyler Fitzgerald will have the handedness advantage over Ryan Weathers in today's game. Tyler Fitzgerald has posted a .371 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 100th percentile.

Hitting from the opposite that Hayden Birdsong throws from, Liam Hicks will have the upper hand in today's game. The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Liam Hicks has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Liam Hicks will hold that advantage in today's game.

Batting from the opposite that Ryan Weathers throws from, Luis Matos will have an advantage in today's game. Luis Matos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.7% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Luis Matos has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 91.9-mph average to last year's 89.6-mph EV.

Dane Myers has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.