St. Louis @ Texas Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Globe Life Field as the 2nd-worst stadium in the league for left-handed batting average. Globe Life Field has the 7th-deepest CF fences in MLB. This contest is expected to have the 4th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for mound aces. The Texas Rangers outfield defense projects as the 4th-best among all the teams in action today.

Marcus Semien will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Liberatore in today's game. Extreme groundball batters like Marcus Semien tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Matthew Liberatore. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Marcus Semien will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.310) implies that Marcus Semien has had some very poor luck this year with his .226 actual wOBA.

Batting from the opposite that Jack Leiter throws from, Victor Scott II will have an advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Jordan Walker has made substantial gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 5.6% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the last 14 days. Jordan Walker's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, rising from 16.9% on the season to 33.3% in the last two weeks. Despite posting a .260 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jordan Walker has had some very poor luck given the .048 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .308.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Jack Leiter throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an edge today. In the last 14 days, Lars Nootbaar has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 21.7° compared to his seasonal mark of 10.5°. Lars Nootbaar's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 43.2% to 49.3%.

Corey Seager projects as the 8th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Corey Seager is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Corey Seager will hold that advantage in today's game. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Corey Seager is in the 98th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .382. Using Statcast data, Corey Seager ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .287.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Wyatt Langford is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Wyatt Langford will have the upper hand today. Wyatt Langford will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Wyatt Langford has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 13.7% seasonal rate to 37.5% over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Ivan Herrera is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The Barrel% of Ivan Herrera has significantly improved, with an increase from 9% last year to 18.9% this season. Ivan Herrera's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 46.6% to 64.9%. Posting a .314 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Ivan Herrera grades out in the 99th percentile.

Pedro Pages has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Willson Contreras is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. This season, Willson Contreras has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 98.3 mph compared to last year's 95.1 mph mark. Willson Contreras has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 104.3-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal average of 98.3-mph. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Willson Contreras has experienced some negative variance this year. His .304 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .347.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Batting from the opposite that Jack Leiter throws from, Alec Burleson will have an advantage today. Checking in at the 78th percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season, Alec Burleson demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - a key talent for achieving a high batting average. Alec Burleson has posted a .287 batting average this year, ranking in the 86th percentile.

Yohel Pozo has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Adolis Garcia will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage in today's game. Adolis Garcia's launch angle this year (21.6°) is quite a bit better than his 14.8° mark last year. Adolis Garcia's launch angle recently (30.3° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is considerably higher than his 21.6° seasonal angle.

Josh Jung's BABIP ability is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Josh Jung is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Josh Jung will have an edge in today's matchup. Josh Jung will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Josh Jung's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 16.8% to 20.9%.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jake Burger ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Burger will hold the platoon advantage against Matthew Liberatore in today's game. Jake Burger will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Jake Burger has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 11% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the past two weeks. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jake Burger's true offensive talent to be a .339, indicating that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .065 gap between that figure and his actual .274 wOBA.

Kyle Higashioka will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Liberatore in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Kyle Higashioka tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Matthew Liberatore. Kyle Higashioka will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Kyle Higashioka has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .246 mark is considerably lower than his .283 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Masyn Winn is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Masyn Winn's launch angle this year (19.5°) is significantly better than his 13° figure last season. By putting up a .351 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Masyn Winn is positioned in the 80th percentile. Sporting a .277 batting average this year, Masyn Winn is positioned in the 76th percentile.

Sam Haggerty is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Sam Haggerty will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Matthew Liberatore in this game. Sam Haggerty will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Sam Haggerty has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last year's 27.78 ft/sec to 28.29 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Over the past 14 days, Nolan Arenado's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.1%. As it relates to plate discipline, Nolan Arenado's talent is quite good, posting a 1.4 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 88th percentile.

Jonah Heim has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (90% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. The switch-hitting Jonah Heim will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Matthew Liberatore. Jonah Heim will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Ezequiel Duran will have the upper hand today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Ezequiel Duran will hold that advantage in today's matchup.