Baltimore @ Boston picks

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to less offense.. Lucas Giolito will have the handedness advantage over Ryan Mountcastle today.. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ryan Mountcastle today.. Placing in the 10th percentile, Ryan Mountcastle has put up a .254 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Rafael Devers projects as the 14th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Fenway Park ranks as the #3 stadium in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Rafael Devers has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Rafael Devers will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Fenway Park ranks as the #3 stadium in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Ryan O'Hearn will have the handedness advantage over Lucas Giolito today.. Ryan O'Hearn has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Ramon Urias is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 96% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. Fenway Park ranks as the #3 stadium in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Ramon Urias hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. In the last 14 days, Ramon Urias has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 31° compared to his seasonal mark of 16.3°.

Rafael Devers projects as the 14th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Fenway Park ranks as the #3 stadium in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Rafael Devers has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Rafael Devers will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Fenway Park ranks as the #3 stadium in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Ryan O'Hearn will have the handedness advantage over Lucas Giolito today.. Ryan O'Hearn has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.