Houston @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles George M. Steinbrenner Field as the 4th-worst venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the 5th-deepest CF dimensions among all stadiums. Batting from the same side that Taj Bradley throws from, Yainer Diaz will have a disadvantage in today's game. Yainer Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. When it comes to plate discipline, Yainer Diaz's ability is quite weak, posting a 7.24 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 4th percentile.

Jose Caballero is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 87% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jose Caballero will hold that advantage today. Jose Caballero has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 87.7-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 84.3-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Rodgers in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Batters such as Brendan Rodgers with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Taj Bradley who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Brendan Rodgers has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 5.7% rate last season to 14.5% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Jonathan Aranda will have the handedness advantage against Hunter Brown today.

Victor Caratini is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Extreme groundball batters like Victor Caratini are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Taj Bradley. In the past week's worth of games, Victor Caratini's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.3% up to 16.7%.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, Kameron Misner will have an edge in today's game. Kameron Misner will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Kameron Misner has made significant gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 6.1% seasonal rate to 11.1% over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles George M. Steinbrenner Field as the 4th-worst venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the 5th-deepest CF dimensions among all stadiums. Taj Bradley will have the handedness advantage over Jeremy Pena in today's game. Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jeremy Pena today. Jeremy Pena has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 7.5% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Brandon Lowe will have the handedness advantage against Hunter Brown in today's game.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Curtis Mead has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Curtis Mead will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.298) suggests that Curtis Mead has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .244 actual wOBA.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Ben Rortvedt will hold the platoon advantage against Hunter Brown today. Ben Rortvedt will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

When estimating his batting average ability, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 14th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yandy Diaz is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Yandy Diaz has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zachary Dezenzo in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Zachary Dezenzo has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 95.2-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal average of 91.5-mph. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Zachary Dezenzo's 75% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 61.2%.

Isaac Paredes is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. In the last two weeks, Isaac Paredes has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 27.8° compared to his seasonal mark of 18.3°. Using Statcast metrics, Isaac Paredes is in the 81st percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .348.

When assessing his batting average ability, Chandler Simpson is projected as the 18th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, Chandler Simpson will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Chandler Simpson will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Junior Caminero is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Junior Caminero will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Meyers in the 79th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Ranking in the 79th percentile, Jake Meyers sits with a .357 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year. Jake Meyers has put up a .313 batting average this year, ranking in the 95th percentile.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Mauricio Dubon has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. By putting up a .268 batting average since the start of last season, Mauricio Dubon has performed in the 80th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Jose Altuve is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.

Christian Walker is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Christian Walker has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 12.1% seasonal rate to 30.8% in the past 7 days. Christian Walker has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 99.1-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 91.1-mph average.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Taylor Walls will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Taylor Walls's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 17.3% on the season to 22.7% in the past 14 days. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.295) may lead us to conclude that Taylor Walls has been unlucky this year with his .233 actual wOBA.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.