Houston @ Tampa Bay picks
George M. Steinbrenner Field
HOU vs TB Picks
MLB Picks
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Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
The last time we saw Lance McCullers we told you he'd have a solid start after getting shelled in his debut. We'll back him for another solid start here against a Mariners side that's not exactly hitting the cover off of the baseball. The Astros have also struggled to score runs, which means we are taking the Under in this contest.
Strikeouts Thrown

Hunter Brown u6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+110)
Projection 6.1 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Projected catcher Yainer Diaz grades out as a weak pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 91°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.. Hunter Brown will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.. Hunter Brown has gone to his cut-fastball 12.1% less often this season (4.8%) than he did last year (16.9%).
Total RBIs

Yandy Diaz o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his batting average ability, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 14th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yandy Diaz is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 91°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.
Total RBIs

Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 91°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.
Total RBIs

Jose Altuve o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Jose Altuve is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 91°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.
Total RBIs

Victor Caratini o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Victor Caratini is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 91°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.. Extreme groundball batters like Victor Caratini are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Taj Bradley.
Total RBIs

Jake Meyers o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Meyers in the 79th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 91°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.. Ranking in the 79th percentile, Jake Meyers sits with a .357 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.
Total RBIs

Christian Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Christian Walker is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 91°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.
Total RBIs

Jeremy Pena o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Jeremy Pena is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 91°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.
Total RBIs

Jonathan Aranda o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 91°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Ben Rortvedt o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+105)
Projection 1.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 91°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.. Ben Rortvedt will hold the platoon advantage against Hunter Brown today.. Ben Rortvedt will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.