Miami @ Chicago picks

Miguel Vargas is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #5 field in the game for overall RHB offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-least fair ground in the league — generally good for homers.. Extreme groundball hitters like Miguel Vargas tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Edward Cabrera.. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Miguel Vargas will hold that advantage in today's game.

Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #5 stadium in Major League Baseball for overall lefty offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Matt Mervis will hold the platoon advantage against Shane Smith in today's matchup.. Matt Mervis pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Matt Mervis has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.5-mph to 96-mph in the last week.. Matt Mervis's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (35.3° in the past two weeks) is quite a bit better than his 19.4° seasonal angle.

The 3rd-weakest projected batting order of the day in terms of overall hitting skill belongs to the Chicago White Sox.. It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Roberto Ortiz) calling pitches in today's game.. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the coldest temperature of all games on the slate today at 53°.. Edward Cabrera is an extreme groundball pitcher (46.3% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Guaranteed Rate Field — the #7 HR venue among all stadiums — in this game.. Considering that groundball pitchers hold a notable edge over groundball hitters, Edward Cabrera and his 46.3% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a strong position in today's matchup facing 3 opposing GB hitters.

Miguel Vargas is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #5 field in the game for overall RHB offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-least fair ground in the league — generally good for homers.. Extreme groundball hitters like Miguel Vargas tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Edward Cabrera.. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Miguel Vargas will hold that advantage in today's game.